The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 1 | @ 71Wake Forest | L 3–7 | -3.1 | — | ACCNX |
| 2 | Sep 10 | vs Southern FCS | W 66–21 | +8.4 | — | ESPN3 |
| 3 | Sep 17 | vs 46NavyCONF | L 14–21 | -5.5 | — | ESPN3 |
| 4 | Sep 24 | vs 96Louisiana | W 41–39 | -7.2 | — | ESPN3 |
| 5 | Oct 1 | @ 116Massachusetts | W 31–24 | -2.5 | — | ESPN3 |
| 6 | Oct 7 | @ 70UCFCONF | UCF −8.1 · o/u 47.5 | — | ||
| 7 | Oct 14 | vs 44MemphisCONF | L 14–24 | -8.4 | — | ESPNU |
| 8 | Oct 22 | @ 36TulsaCONF | L 27–50 | -14.8 | — | ESPNU |
| 9 | Oct 29 | vs 94SMUCONF | L 31–35 | -13.0 | — | ESPNEWS |
| 10 | Nov 5 | @ 70UCFCONF | L 6–37 | -25.3 | — | ESPN3 |
| 11 | Nov 12 | @ 27HoustonCONF | L 18–30 | -2.8 | — | CBSSN |
| 12 | Nov 19 | vs 23TempleCONF | L 0–31 | -21.3 | — | ESPN3 |
| 13 | Nov 26 | @ 121ConnecticutCONF | W 38–13 | +14.1 | — | ESPNEWS |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 37.1% | 121st | 39.7% | 30th |
| Rushing success rate | 40.4% | 108th | 41.9% | 44th |
| Passing success rate | 31.0% | 127th | 37.1% | 28th |
| Explosive run rate | 11.8% | 115th | 14.9% | 61st |
| Explosive pass rate | 9.1% | 90th | 11.0% | 83rd |
| Line yards / carry | 2.88 | 96th | 2.53 | 13th |
| Opportunity rate | 36.0% | 107th | 33.4% | 22nd |
| Stuff rate | 18.3% | 63rd | 24.2% | 8th |
| Sack rate | 6.6% | 82nd | 7.5% | 20th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 27.4% | 128th | 45.9% | 104th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 63.6% | 63rd | 68.6% | 96th |
| Havoc rate | 12.7% | 79th | 15.1% | 13th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 26.3 | 94th | 39.5 | 110th |
| Yards / game | 341.4 | 118th | — | — |
| Yards / play | 4.71 | 119th | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 113.3 | 126th | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 5.27 | 127th | — | — |
| Completion % | 42.3% | 128th | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 228.1 | 26th | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 4.63 | 55th | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 27.8% | 128th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.75 | 44th | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 55.1 | 70th | — | — |
49 players who recorded a stat in 2016 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Johnathan Brantley | QB | ||||
| 14 | Glen Cuiellette | QB | ||||
| 3 | Sherman Badie | RB | ||||
| 7 | Devin Glenn | RB | ||||
| 11 | Darius Bradwell | RB | ||||
| 11 | Tre Jackson | RB | ||||
| 25 | Joshua Rounds | RB | ||||
| 26 | Dontrell Hilliard | RB | ||||
| 27 | Andrew Zuckerman | RB | ||||
| 29 | Jared Bertrand | RB | ||||
| 33 | Lazedrick Thompson | RB | ||||
| 5 | Terren Encalade | WR | ||||
| 8 | Devon Breaux | WR | ||||
| 9 | Chris Johnson | WR | ||||
| 30 | Tristan Cooper | WR | ||||
| 81 | D.J. Owens | WR | ||||
| 85 | Larry Dace | WR | ||||
| 86 | Darnell Mooney | WR | ||||
| 22 | Marshall Wadleigh | TE | ||||
| 83 | Trey Scott | TE | ||||
| 89 | Kendall Ardoin | TE | ||||
| 97 | John Washington | DL | ||||
| 54 | Quinlan Carroll | DE | ||||
| 57 | Peter Woullard | DE | ||||
| 87 | Ade Aruna | DE | ||||
| 90 | Robert Kennedy | DE | ||||
| 92 | Daren Williams | DE | ||||
| 65 | Braynon Edwards | DT | ||||
| 77 | Tanzel Smart | DT | ||||
| 91 | Eldrick Washington | DT | ||||
| 94 | Sean Wilson | DT | ||||
| 2 | Nico Marley | LB | ||||
| 40 | Zachery Harris | LB | ||||
| 52 | Eric Thomas | LB | ||||
| 56 | Rae Juan Marbley | LB | ||||
| 19 | Elijah Allen | DB | ||||
| 17 | Parry Nickerson | CB | ||||
| 21 | Donnie Lewis Jr. | CB | ||||
| 23 | Richard Allen | CB | ||||
| 32 | Stephon Lofton | CB | ||||
| 6 | Jarrod Franklin | S | ||||
| 19 | Taris Shenall | S | ||||
| 38 | Roderic Teamer | S | ||||
| 42 | Andrew DiRocco | PK | ||||
| 45 | Randy Harvey | PK | ||||
| 49 | Zachary Block | P | ||||
| 36 | Larry Bryant | DEF | ||||
| 50 | Robert Hunt | G | ||||
| Team | - |
Final ratings for 2016, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2016 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2016 power rankings →