The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 1 | vs Maine FCS | W 24–21 | -20.0 | — | ESPN3 |
| 2 | Sep 10 | @ 46NavyCONF | L 24–28 | +2.5 | — | CBSSN |
| 3 | Sep 17 | vs 103Virginia | W 13–10 | -7.9 | — | ESPN3 |
| 4 | Sep 24 | vs 95Syracuse | L 24–31 | -16.1 | — | CBSSN |
| 5 | Sep 29 | @ 27HoustonCONF | L 14–42 | -16.2 | — | ESPN |
| 6 | Oct 8 | vs 101CincinnatiCONF | W 20–9 | +0.8 | — | CBSSN |
| 7 | Oct 15 | @ 28South FloridaCONF | L 27–42 | -5.9 | — | CBSSN |
| 8 | Oct 22 | vs 70UCFCONF | L 16–24 | -11.8 | — | ESPNEWS |
| 9 | Oct 29 | @ 104East CarolinaCONF | L 3–41 | -35.1 | — | ESPNEWS |
| 10 | Nov 4 | vs 23TempleCONF | L 0–21 | -15.8 | — | ESPN2 |
| 11 | — | Bye | ||||
| 12 | Nov 19 | @ 76Boston College | L 0–30 | -26.0 | — | ACCNX |
| 13 | Nov 26 | vs 97TulaneCONF | L 13–38 | -33.8 | — | ESPNEWS |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 37.6% | 118th | 45.9% | 96th |
| Rushing success rate | 36.4% | 121st | 43.0% | 55th |
| Passing success rate | 38.8% | 89th | 48.8% | 124th |
| Explosive run rate | 11.8% | 115th | 11.7% | 12th |
| Explosive pass rate | 8.3% | 103rd | 11.3% | 88th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.65 | 120th | 2.93 | 49th |
| Opportunity rate | 31.7% | 121st | 36.0% | 34th |
| Stuff rate | 21.0% | 106th | 17.6% | 73rd |
| Sack rate | 8.7% | 115th | 3.5% | 116th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 34.8% | 118th | 43.9% | 90th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 34.6% | 128th | 62.5% | 66th |
| Havoc rate | 15.8% | 118th | 10.2% | 113th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 17.8 | 128th | 28.6 | 55th |
| Yards / game | 320.0 | 122nd | — | — |
| Yards / play | 4.60 | 122nd | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 202.7 | 94th | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.40 | 105th | — | — |
| Completion % | 56.0% | 89th | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 117.3 | 118th | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 3.37 | 118th | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 33.7% | 112th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 3.08 | 117th | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 28.3 | 2nd | — | — |
42 players who recorded a stat in 2016 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Bryant Shirreffs | QB | ||||
| 7 | Garrett Anderson | QB | ||||
| 15 | Donovan Williams | QB | ||||
| 3 | Ron Johnson | RB | ||||
| 22 | Arkeel Newsome | RB | ||||
| 48 | Jason Thompson | RB | ||||
| 1 | Hergy Mayala | WR | ||||
| 2 | Tyraiq Beals | WR | ||||
| 5 | Noel Thomas | WR | ||||
| 7 | Bryan Coney | WR | ||||
| 18 | Brian Lemelle | WR | ||||
| 8 | Aaron McLean | TE | ||||
| 9 | Tyler Davis | TE | ||||
| 80 | Tommy Myers | TE | ||||
| 86 | Alec Bloom | TE | ||||
| 94 | Nicholas Lensander | TE | ||||
| 50 | Sheriden Lawley | DL | ||||
| 57 | Cole Ormsby | DL | ||||
| 92 | Mikal Myers | DL | ||||
| 94 | Kevin Murphy | DL | ||||
| 99 | Sean Marinan | DL | ||||
| 15 | Luke Carrezola | DE | ||||
| 93 | Folorunso Fatukasi | DT | ||||
| 10 | Cameron Stapleton | LB | ||||
| 11 | Junior Joseph | LB | ||||
| 13 | Vontae Diggs | LB | ||||
| 36 | Matthew Walsh | LB | ||||
| 54 | Omaine Stephens | LB | ||||
| 55 | Jon Hicks | LB | ||||
| 5 | John Robinson IV | DB | ||||
| 20 | Anthony Watkins | DB | ||||
| 32 | Aaron Garland | DB | ||||
| 6 | Jhavon Williams | CB | ||||
| 7 | John Green | CB | ||||
| 21 | Jamar Summers | CB | ||||
| 27 | Nick Vitale | CB | ||||
| 7 | Marshe Terry | S | ||||
| 16 | Brice McAllister | S | ||||
| 20 | Obi Melifonwu | S | ||||
| 17 | Bobby Puyol | PK | ||||
| 42 | Justin Wain | P | ||||
| Team | - |
Final ratings for 2016, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2016 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2016 power rankings →