ACC · 2026

SMU Mustangs

Head coach Rhett Lashlee · Gerald J. Ford Stadium
6-24-2 in conference
TDC Rank
#29
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
+11.9
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+7.1
21st in FBS
Defense
+4.8
39th in FBS
Schedule so far
-2.9
68th toughest
Projected
8.2-3.8
bowl-eligible >99%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

+11.9 now, +12.9 preseason · down 10 spots since preseason
0+5+10+15+20FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9#31

Final record odds

8.2-3.8 expected · most likely 8-4 (45%)
6-616%7-545%8-434%9-310-2

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 7@41Florida StateCONFW 27–24 ›+14.0—ESPN
2Sep 12vsUC Davis FCSW 56–10 ›+4.3—ACCNX
3Sep 19@15LouisvilleCONFL 31–41 ›+9.9—ESPN2
4Sep 26vs118Missouri StateW 34–24 ›-8.3—ACC Network
5Oct 3vs81Boston CollegeCONFW 25–16 ›+1.5—CW
6—Bye
7Oct 17vs47VirginiaCONFW 23–13 ›+12.2—CW
8Oct 24vs93CaliforniaCONFW 59–20 ›+18.8—CW
9Oct 31@65SyracuseCONFL 27–30 ›+2.8—ESPN2
10Nov 6vs49Virginia TechCONFSMU −10.0 · o/u 58.9—75%ESPN
11Nov 14vs14Wake ForestCONFWake Forest −0.6 · o/u 54.7—49%
12Nov 21@1Notre DameNotre Dame −18.7 · o/u 54.1—11%NBC
13Nov 28@100StanfordCONFSMU −18.1 · o/u 55.3—89%

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.24623rd+0.08565th
Success rate49.3%17th38.6%35th
Explosiveness1.24270th1.27486th
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate50.0%12th38.4%33rd
Rushing success rate47.5%31st42.9%75th
Passing success rate52.3%8th34.2%13th
Explosive run rate13.2%80th11.9%49th
Explosive pass rate15.0%12th6.9%18th
Line yards / carry2.85115th2.7937th
Opportunity rate38.4%78th36.7%58th
Stuff rate20.2%107th18.6%60th
Sack rate4.7%55th8.4%11th
3rd-down conversion46.2%29th29.5%4th
Red-zone TD rate68.8%32nd61.1%79th
Havoc rate11.2%25th14.5%57th
Box score · season totals
Points / game35.326th22.353rd
Yards / game464.114th307.626th
Yards / play6.6014th4.6524th
Pass yards / game318.07th181.828th
Yards / pass att.9.507th6.0119th
Completion %74.0%2nd61.2%63rd
Rush yards / game146.186th125.942nd
Yards / carry4.2080th3.8152nd
3rd-down conv. %45.5%30th27.0%3rd
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.3876th0.75121st
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.7555th2.8815th
Penalty yards / game69.3113th66.124th

Charting

Where the ball goes, read from the play-by-play: air yards, yards after the catch, run direction, pressure and tempo. Ranks run highest to lowest

Partial season. ESPN's play-by-play has throw and catch spots for 7 of this team's 8 games, so the maps and air-yard numbers cover those games only. Ranks compare teams on whatever each had charted.

Avg. depth of throw
8.7
74th of 138
YAC per catch
6.3
26th of 138
Deep shots (20+)
15%
59th of 138
Shotgun
94%
81st of 138
No-huddle
66%
66th of 138
QB pressured
12%
79th of 138 (1st = most)
Defense: pressure rate
16%
45th of 138
Defense: YAC allowed
5.2
70th of 138 (1st = most)

Offense: where it throws210 throws charted

74% comp8.7 avg. depth6.3 YAC/catch15% 20+ air yds23–5 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 22 throws (10%), 22 caught (100%), 143 yds, 6.5 per throw22100% · 143yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 9 throws (4%), 9 caught (100%), 89 yds, 9.9 per throw9100% · 89yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 5 caught (71%), 42 yds, 6.0 per throw771% · 42yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 2 caught (40%), 31 yds, 6.2 per throw540% · 31yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 1 caught (50%), 17 yds, 8.5 per throw250% · 17yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 3 caught (60%), 75 yds, 15.0 per throw560% · 75yLeft, 30+ air yards: 2 throws (1%), 1 caught (50%), 35 yds, 17.5 per throw250% · 35yMiddle, Behind air yards: 7 throws (3%), 7 caught (100%), 69 yds, 9.9 per throw7100% · 69yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 4 caught (67%), 19 yds, 3.2 per throw667% · 19yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 19 throws (9%), 12 caught (63%), 130 yds, 6.8 per throw1963% · 130yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 6 caught (86%), 106 yds, 15.1 per throw786% · 106yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 2 caught (100%), 96 yds, 48.0 per throw2100% · 96yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 3 throws (1%), 1 caught (33%), 11 yds, 3.7 per throw333% · 11yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (2%), 1 caught (25%), 51 yds, 12.8 per throw425% · 51yRight, Behind air yards: 21 throws (10%), 19 caught (90%), 81 yds, 3.9 per throw2190% · 81yRight, 0–4 air yards: 16 throws (8%), 10 caught (63%), 62 yds, 3.9 per throw1663% · 62yRight, 5–9 air yards: 32 throws (15%), 27 caught (84%), 257 yds, 8.0 per throw3284% · 257yRight, 10–14 air yards: 17 throws (8%), 11 caught (65%), 199 yds, 11.7 per throw1765% · 199yRight, 15–19 air yards: 9 throws (4%), 4 caught (44%), 107 yds, 11.9 per throw944% · 107yRight, 20–29 air yards: 8 throws (4%), 8 caught (100%), 268 yds, 33.5 per throw8100% · 268yRight, 30+ air yards: 7 throws (3%), 2 caught (29%), 77 yds, 11.0 per throw729% · 77y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Defense: where it's thrown on192 throws charted

60% comp7.0 avg. depth5.2 YAC/catch11% 20+ air yds9–3 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 21 throws (11%), 17 caught (81%), 36 yds, 1.7 per throw2181% · 36yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 25 throws (13%), 18 caught (72%), 113 yds, 4.5 per throw2572% · 113yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 16 throws (8%), 7 caught (44%), 89 yds, 5.6 per throw1644% · 89yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 1 caught (17%), 12 yds, 2.0 per throw617% · 12yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 2 caught (100%), 37 yds, 18.5 per throw2100% · 37yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 5 throws (3%), 3 caught (60%), 100 yds, 20.0 per throw560% · 100yLeft, 30+ air yards: 1 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw10% · 0yMiddle, Behind air yards: 4 throws (2%), 4 caught (100%), 24 yds, 6.0 per throw4100% · 24yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 16 throws (8%), 10 caught (63%), 101 yds, 6.3 per throw1663% · 101yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 9 throws (5%), 5 caught (56%), 39 yds, 4.3 per throw956% · 39yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 9 throws (5%), 5 caught (56%), 72 yds, 8.0 per throw956% · 72yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 2 caught (50%), 35 yds, 8.8 per throw450% · 35yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 1 caught (50%), 30 yds, 15.0 per throw250% · 30yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 1 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw10% · 0yRight, Behind air yards: 17 throws (9%), 14 caught (82%), 54 yds, 3.2 per throw1782% · 54yRight, 0–4 air yards: 20 throws (10%), 14 caught (70%), 74 yds, 3.7 per throw2070% · 74yRight, 5–9 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 5 caught (83%), 46 yds, 7.7 per throw683% · 46yRight, 10–14 air yards: 12 throws (6%), 3 caught (25%), 71 yds, 5.9 per throw1225% · 71yRight, 15–19 air yards: 7 throws (4%), 5 caught (71%), 107 yds, 15.3 per throw771% · 107yRight, 20–29 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 2 caught (50%), 52 yds, 13.0 per throw450% · 52yRight, 30+ air yards: 5 throws (3%), 1 caught (20%), 44 yds, 8.8 per throw520% · 44y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Offense: run direction226 carries

Left
23%
6.4 YPC · 51% succ.
Middle
51%
4.6 YPC · 43% succ.
Right
27%
4.1 YPC · 40% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Defense: runs faced192 carries

Left
23%
3.8 YPC · 43% succ.
Middle
54%
4.6 YPC · 41% succ.
Right
23%
6.2 YPC · 56% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Pressure = the QB was hurried or sacked, as the play-by-play records it (it misses some, so compare teams rather than reading it as an exact rate). Every snap counts, including garbage time and FCS games.

Roster

100 players · Head coach Rhett Lashlee

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
1Ty HawkinsQBSO6' 0"205San Antonio, TX
7Kevin JenningsQBSR6' 0"195Oak Cliff, TX
12Cole LeinartQBFR6' 3"204Los Angeles, CA
14Charlie FiserQBSR6' 1"184Little Rock, AR
28Mabrey MettauerQBJR6' 5"225The Woodlands, TX
4Dramekco GreenRBSO6' 0"210Conroe, TX
6Kendrick RaphaelRBSR5' 11"201Naples, FL
20EJ KellyRBFR5' 10"190Houston, TX
21Christian RhodesRBFR6' 1"210Dallas, TX
24Link RhodesRBSR6' 1"210Stockton, CA
25William FierroRBSR5' 10"184La Jolla, CA
0Derrick McFallWRJR5' 11"182Tyler, TX
2Jalen HaleWRSR6' 1"192Longview, TX
3Yannick SmithWRJR6' 2"208Summerville, SC
8Yamir KnightWRSR5' 8"185Smyrna, DE
10Jalen CooperWRSO6' 2"182Cibolo, TX
11Carterrious BrownWRSO6' 2"195Monroe, LA
13Daylon SingletonWRSO5' 11"181Desoto, TX
15Aljour Miles IIWRFR6' 3"205Sacramento, CA
16Jakai AndersonWRFR6' 0"179New Orleans, LA
22Jordyn AdamsWRFR6' 1"196Gulfport, MS
26David Kniffen Jr.WRFR5' 11"165Plano, TX
27Siler CookeWRFR5' 10"165Dallas, TX
81Tyrone CrethersWRFR5' 11"200Richardson, TX
83X'Zavier BarnettWRFR6' 3"195Yoakum, TX
5Randy Pittman Jr.TESR6' 2"240Panama City, FL
9Zack TurnerTEFR6' 3"230Dallas, TX
18Theo Melin OhrstromTESR6' 6"250Stockholm, Sweden
42Will LockeTEJR6' 4"243Helotes, TX
84Tripp RiordanTESR6' 5"250Frisco, TX
85Andre Nickerson Jr.TEFR6' 3"221Inglewood, CA
88Trey JacksonTEJR6' 5"240Dallas, TX
89Miles UterTESO6' 5"245Daphne, AL
50Graham UterOLJR6' 5"305Daphne, AL
52Toa KatoaOLFR6' 4"335Euless, TX
55Sam UtuOLFR6' 5"325Orange, CA
57Henry DouglassOLSR6' 3"307Atlanta, GA
58Abel HoopiiOLSO6' 5"345Anianiku, HI
59PJ WilliamsOLSR6' 5"306Dickinson, TX
60Evan GoodwinOLFR6' 7"315Bauxite, AR
63Addison NicholsOLSR6' 5"320Norcross, GA
64Joshua BatesOLSR6' 3"310Durango, CO
65Bennett Johnson VOLFR6' 7"280San Antonio, TX
66Hunter RyanOLSR6' 2"272Dallas, TX
70Paxton BriggleOLSR6' 5"300Austin, TX
74Andrew ChambleeOLSR6' 6"311Maumelle, AR
75Dramodd OdomsOLSO6' 6"310Houston, TX
76Drew HillOLSO6' 3"292Corona, CA
78Drew EversOLFR6' 4"306Flower Mound, TX
79Sione Ma'uOLJR6' 6"350Auckland, New Zealand
5Malcolm Alcorn-CrowderDLSR6' 6"300Brockton, MA
55Woo SpencerDLSR6' 4"315New Albany, IN
90Jalen ShiversDLSO6' 4"280Atlanta, GA
93Kevin AllenDLSR6' 2"298Fort Worth, TX
94Jonathan JeffersonDLSR6' 4"330Douglasville, GA
96Christian de MoorDLJR6' 1"245Frisco, TX
97Christian DavisDLSR6' 3"315Ruston, LA
99Dakota DicksonDLFR6' 4"319Oakland, CA
6Tavion AtkinsonDEJR6' 4"272Houston, TX
9Ira Singleton IVDEJR6' 4"245Lilburn, GA
14Trey WilsonDESR6' 3"245Garland, TX
16Marques WhiteDESR6' 2"250Glendale, AZ
33Amontre HarrisDEFR6' 4"235Humble, TX
52Jahkai LangDESR6' 4"255Troy, MO
58Aakil WashingtonDESR6' 2"250Atlanta, GA
95Wyatt SmithDEFR6' 4"222Austin, TX
12Caden MarshallLBJR6' 2"225Paris, TN
23Alexander KilgoreLBSR6' 2"231Katy, TX
28Brandon BookerLBJR6' 1"231Desoto, TX
29Brandon MiyazonoLBSR6' 2"235Frisco, TX
30Kenneth Goodwin IIILBFR6' 2"225Miami, FL
32Jamal AndersonLBSR6' 3"231Buford, GA
50Marcus BrouseLBFR5' 11"218Southlake, TX
53Zachary HibnerLBFR6' 1"223Burke, VA
0William NettlesCBJR6' 0"200Mesquite, TX
2Zadian GentryCBSO6' 1"178Denison, TX
3Javion HolidayCBSO6' 1"193Duncanville, TX
4Jayvon ThomasCBSR5' 11"200Dallas, TX
8Marcellus Barnes Jr.CBJR6' 1"175Chattanooga, TN
13Jaelyn Davis-RobinsonCBSR6' 1"188Waxahachie, TX
20Deuce GilbertCBFR5' 11"190Forney, TX
35Dante Wesley IICBJR6' 0"196Cedar Hill, TX
44Michael De HoyosCBSR5' 10"193San Antonio, TX
1Jarvis LeeSSR5' 10"190Jacksonville, FL
7Ahmaad MosesSSR5' 10"205Arlington, TX
10Tyren Polley Jr.SSO6' 0"200Duncanville, TX
11Jaden Milliner-JonesSSR6' 0"202Desoto, TX
15La'Modrick SpencerSSR6' 0"192Dallas, TX
22Sael ReyesSSO6' 1"195East Saint Louis, IL
26Jaylen MosesSJR5' 10"191Carrollton, TX
27Abdul MuhammadSSR5' 8"184Dallas, TX
36Connor CarreraSSR6' 0"195Allen, TX
38Jake BallardSJR5' 10"184Flower Mound, TX
95Michael SlabaPKSR5' 11"195Rogers, AR
96Wiley OlsonPKFR5' 11"171Austin, TX
97Brendan BairdPKSR6' 1"200Albuquerque, NM
99Nick ReedPKSR5' 8"178Harrison, NY
43Wade McSparronPJR6' 4"225Geelong, Australia
47Cody WillifordLSFR5' 10"202Southlake, TX
48Morgan TribbettLSJR5' 11"217Eaton, CO

Program History

Final TDC rating, rank and record for every season since 2014

Final rating by season

Best: 2024 (+11.7, #11) · worst: 2014 (-18.0, #126)
-20-100+10FBS avg201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025#20
SeasonRecordConfRankRatingOffDef
2026 so far6-24-2#29+11.9+7.1+4.8
20259-46-2#20+9.7+5.5+4.1
202411-38-0#11+11.7+7.9+3.8
202311-38-0#18+8.9+4.0+4.9
20227-65-3#52+3.2+7.9-4.7
20218-44-4#34+5.6+7.5-2.0
20207-34-3#39+3.6+7.2-3.6
201910-36-2#32+5.5+11.1-5.5
20185-74-4#94-5.0+1.7-6.7
20177-64-4#74-1.0+6.4-7.4
20165-73-5#94-6.6-1.7-4.8
20152-101-7#119-14.2-2.6-11.5
20141-111-7#126-18.0-13.6-4.4

SMU's past seasons use the same rating model as this one. Click a season to see its full page.

Updated Nov 3, 12:25 PM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →