ACC · 2026

SMU Mustangs

Head coach Rhett Lashlee · Gerald J. Ford Stadium
2-11-1 in conference
TDC Rank
#36
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
+4.5
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+3.5
31st in FBS
Defense
+0.9
55th in FBS
Schedule so far
-5.2
53rd toughest
Projected
7.6-4.4
bowl-eligible 91%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

+4.5 now, +4.9 preseason · down 16 spots since preseason
0+5FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3#37

Final record odds

7.6-4.4 expected · most likely 8-4 (25%)
4-87%5-714%6-622%7-525%8-419%9-39%10-211-1

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 7@45Florida StateCONFW 27–24+9.0—ESPN
2Sep 12vsUC Davis FCSW 56–10+4.5—ACCNX
3Sep 19@30LouisvilleCONFL 31–41-1.3—ESPN2
4Sep 26vs117Missouri StateSMU −14.5 · o/u 51.8—83%ACC Network
5Oct 3vs119Boston CollegeCONFSMU −15.4 · o/u 49.6—84%CW
6—Bye
7Oct 17vs28VirginiaCONFSMU −1.7 · o/u 51.4—54%
8Oct 24vs89CaliforniaCONFSMU −10.2 · o/u 53.6—75%
9Oct 31@85SyracuseCONFSMU −4.2 · o/u 48.5—61%
10Nov 6vs27Virginia TechCONFSMU −1.2 · o/u 57.6—53%ESPN
11Nov 14vs51Wake ForestCONFSMU −5.0 · o/u 55.5—63%
12Nov 21@1Notre DameNotre Dame −14.8 · o/u 50.9—17%NBC
13Nov 28@116StanfordCONFSMU −8.1 · o/u 51.4—70%

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.29433rd+0.10490th
Success rate52.5%14th38.4%54th
Explosiveness1.36331st1.422118th
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate55.2%7th38.5%54th
Rushing success rate52.4%17th42.4%85th
Passing success rate57.8%9th33.3%20th
Explosive run rate11.0%106th14.1%92nd
Explosive pass rate18.4%11th7.7%45th
Line yards / carry3.3051st2.7351st
Opportunity rate45.1%31st41.3%114th
Stuff rate14.6%56th21.7%43rd
Sack rate3.3%45th5.8%54th
3rd-down conversion48.4%37th21.2%7th
Red-zone TD rate72.7%42nd100.0%131st
Havoc rate8.7%18th14.3%67th
Box score · season totals
Points / game38.038th25.090th
Yards / game537.05th333.068th
Yards / play7.827th5.1879th
Pass yards / game368.72nd157.725th
Yards / pass att.10.709th5.7725th
Completion %74.8%7th54.9%28th
Rush yards / game168.364th175.3111th
Yards / carry5.0043rd4.96121st
3rd-down conv. %47.4%41st18.4%3rd
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)2.33126th1.0079th
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.0033rd1.6774th
Penalty yards / game61.390th60.746th

Roster

100 players · Head coach Rhett Lashlee

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
1Ty HawkinsQBSO6' 0"205San Antonio, TX
7Kevin JenningsQBSR6' 0"195Oak Cliff, TX
12Cole LeinartQBFR6' 3"204Los Angeles, CA
14Charlie FiserQBSR6' 1"184Little Rock, AR
28Mabrey MettauerQBJR6' 5"225The Woodlands, TX
4Dramekco GreenRBSO6' 0"210Conroe, TX
6Kendrick RaphaelRBSR5' 11"201Naples, FL
20EJ KellyRBFR5' 10"190Houston, TX
21Christian RhodesRBFR6' 1"210Dallas, TX
24Link RhodesRBSR6' 1"210Stockton, CA
25William FierroRBSR5' 10"184La Jolla, CA
0Derrick McFallWRJR5' 11"182Tyler, TX
2Jalen HaleWRSR6' 1"192Longview, TX
3Yannick SmithWRJR6' 2"208Summerville, SC
8Yamir KnightWRSR5' 8"185Smyrna, DE
10Jalen CooperWRSO6' 2"182Cibolo, TX
11Carterrious BrownWRSO6' 2"195Monroe, LA
13Daylon SingletonWRSO5' 11"181Desoto, TX
15Aljour Miles IIWRFR6' 3"205Sacramento, CA
16Jakai AndersonWRFR6' 0"179New Orleans, LA
22Jordyn AdamsWRFR6' 1"196Gulfport, MS
26David Kniffen Jr.WRFR5' 11"165Plano, TX
27Siler CookeWRFR5' 10"165Dallas, TX
81Tyrone CrethersWRFR5' 11"200Richardson, TX
83X'Zavier BarnettWRFR6' 3"195Yoakum, TX
5Randy Pittman Jr.TESR6' 2"240Panama City, FL
9Zack TurnerTEFR6' 3"230Dallas, TX
18Theo Melin OhrstromTESR6' 6"250Stockholm, Sweden
42Will LockeTEJR6' 4"243Helotes, TX
84Tripp RiordanTESR6' 5"250Frisco, TX
85Andre Nickerson Jr.TEFR6' 3"221Inglewood, CA
88Trey JacksonTEJR6' 5"240Dallas, TX
89Miles UterTESO6' 5"245Daphne, AL
50Graham UterOLJR6' 5"305Daphne, AL
52Toa KatoaOLFR6' 4"335Euless, TX
55Sam UtuOLFR6' 5"325Orange, CA
57Henry DouglassOLSR6' 3"307Atlanta, GA
58Abel HoopiiOLSO6' 5"345Anianiku, HI
59PJ WilliamsOLSR6' 5"306Dickinson, TX
60Evan GoodwinOLFR6' 7"315Bauxite, AR
63Addison NicholsOLSR6' 5"320Norcross, GA
64Joshua BatesOLSR6' 3"310Durango, CO
65Bennett Johnson VOLFR6' 7"280San Antonio, TX
66Hunter RyanOLSR6' 2"272Dallas, TX
70Paxton BriggleOLSR6' 5"300Austin, TX
74Andrew ChambleeOLSR6' 6"311Maumelle, AR
75Dramodd OdomsOLSO6' 6"310Houston, TX
76Drew HillOLSO6' 3"292Corona, CA
78Drew EversOLFR6' 4"306Flower Mound, TX
79Sione Ma'uOLJR6' 6"350Auckland, New Zealand
5Malcolm Alcorn-CrowderDLSR6' 6"300Brockton, MA
55Woo SpencerDLSR6' 4"315New Albany, IN
90Jalen ShiversDLSO6' 4"280Atlanta, GA
93Kevin AllenDLSR6' 2"298Fort Worth, TX
94Jonathan JeffersonDLSR6' 4"330Douglasville, GA
96Christian de MoorDLJR6' 1"245Frisco, TX
97Christian DavisDLSR6' 3"315Ruston, LA
99Dakota DicksonDLFR6' 4"319Oakland, CA
6Tavion AtkinsonDEJR6' 4"272Houston, TX
9Ira Singleton IVDEJR6' 4"245Lilburn, GA
14Trey WilsonDESR6' 3"245Garland, TX
16Marques WhiteDESR6' 2"250Glendale, AZ
33Amontre HarrisDEFR6' 4"235Humble, TX
52Jahkai LangDESR6' 4"255Troy, MO
58Aakil WashingtonDESR6' 2"250Atlanta, GA
95Wyatt SmithDEFR6' 4"222Austin, TX
12Caden MarshallLBJR6' 2"225Paris, TN
23Alexander KilgoreLBSR6' 2"231Katy, TX
28Brandon BookerLBJR6' 1"231Desoto, TX
29Brandon MiyazonoLBSR6' 2"235Frisco, TX
30Kenneth Goodwin IIILBFR6' 2"225Miami, FL
32Jamal AndersonLBSR6' 3"231Buford, GA
50Marcus BrouseLBFR5' 11"218Southlake, TX
53Zachary HibnerLBFR6' 1"223Burke, VA
0William NettlesCBJR6' 0"200Mesquite, TX
2Zadian GentryCBSO6' 1"178Denison, TX
3Javion HolidayCBSO6' 1"193Duncanville, TX
4Jayvon ThomasCBSR5' 11"200Dallas, TX
8Marcellus Barnes Jr.CBJR6' 1"175Chattanooga, TN
13Jaelyn Davis-RobinsonCBSR6' 1"188Waxahachie, TX
20Deuce GilbertCBFR5' 11"190Forney, TX
35Dante Wesley IICBJR6' 0"196Cedar Hill, TX
44Michael De HoyosCBSR5' 10"193San Antonio, TX
1Jarvis LeeSSR5' 10"190Jacksonville, FL
7Ahmaad MosesSSR5' 10"205Arlington, TX
10Tyren Polley Jr.SSO6' 0"200Duncanville, TX
11Jaden Milliner-JonesSSR6' 0"202Desoto, TX
15La'Modrick SpencerSSR6' 0"192Dallas, TX
22Sael ReyesSSO6' 1"195East Saint Louis, IL
26Jaylen MosesSJR5' 10"191Carrollton, TX
27Abdul MuhammadSSR5' 8"184Dallas, TX
36Connor CarreraSSR6' 0"195Allen, TX
38Jake BallardSJR5' 10"184Flower Mound, TX
95Michael SlabaPKSR5' 11"195Rogers, AR
96Wiley OlsonPKFR5' 11"171Austin, TX
97Brendan BairdPKSR6' 1"200Albuquerque, NM
99Nick ReedPKSR5' 8"178Harrison, NY
43Wade McSparronPJR6' 4"225Geelong, Australia
47Cody WillifordLSFR5' 10"202Southlake, TX
48Morgan TribbettLSJR5' 11"217Eaton, CO

Updated Sep 24, 3:19 PM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →