The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | @ 107Texas State | W 31–24 | +1.1 | — | ESPN |
| 2 | Sep 11 | @ 31TCU | TCU −3.9 · o/u 63.7 | — | FS1 | |
| 3 | Sep 19 | @ 117North Texas | W 65–35 | +16.9 | — | CBSSN |
| 4 | Sep 26 | vs Stephen F. Austin FCS | W 50–7 | +11.0 | — | ESPN+ |
| 5 | Oct 3 | vs 52MemphisCONF | W 30–27 | +2.7 | — | ESPN2 |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 16 | @ 40TulaneCONF | W 37–34 | +8.6 | — | ESPN |
| 8 | Oct 24 | vs 6CincinnatiCONF | L 13–42 | -13.7 | — | ESPN2 |
| 9 | Oct 31 | vs 97NavyCONF | W 51–37 | +6.3 | — | ESPN2 |
| 10 | Nov 7 | @ 118TempleCONF | W 47–23 | +14.7 | — | ESPN+ |
| 11 | Nov 14 | @ 30TulsaCONF | L 24–28 | +3.6 | — | ESPN2 |
| 12 | Nov 21 | vs 65HoustonCONF | SMU −5.5 · o/u 70.1 | — | ||
| 13 | Nov 28 | @ 92East CarolinaCONF | L 38–52 | -15.6 | — | ESPN+ |
| 14 | Dec 5 | vs 65HoustonCONF | SMU −5.5 · o/u 70.1 | — | ||
| 15 | — | Bye | ||||
| 16 | Dec 19 | vs 91UTSANEUTRAL | SMU −7.1 · o/u 64.8 | — |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 45.2% | 43rd | 44.5% | 75th |
| Rushing success rate | 46.4% | 43rd | 45.3% | 67th |
| Passing success rate | 44.1% | 48th | 43.6% | 70th |
| Explosive run rate | 14.9% | 61st | 13.5% | 50th |
| Explosive pass rate | 14.0% | 19th | 11.5% | 83rd |
| Line yards / carry | 3.04 | 53rd | 2.96 | 59th |
| Opportunity rate | 41.9% | 31st | 39.9% | 76th |
| Stuff rate | 19.8% | 73rd | 19.2% | 63rd |
| Sack rate | 5.8% | 59th | 7.9% | 22nd |
| 3rd-down conversion | 49.3% | 19th | 45.5% | 96th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 61.4% | 77th | 72.2% | 107th |
| Havoc rate | 10.5% | 24th | 13.2% | 48th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 38.6 | 15th | 30.9 | 75th |
| Yards / game | 494.5 | 12th | 422.2 | 78th |
| Yards / play | 6.39 | 23rd | 5.45 | 61st |
| Pass yards / game | 318.0 | 13th | 227.1 | 79th |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.00 | 12th | 7.56 | 78th |
| Completion % | 65.4% | 22nd | 58.1% | 35th |
| Rush yards / game | 176.5 | 53rd | 180.3 | 81st |
| Yards / carry | 4.00 | 31st | 4.21 | 61st |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 46.6% | 20th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.20 | 42nd | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.10 | 57th | 2.60 | 38th |
| Penalty yards / game | 59.0 | 89th | — | — |
58 players who recorded a stat in 2020 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shane Buechele | QB | ||||
| 21 | TaMerik Williams | RB | ||||
| 25 | TJ McDaniel | RB | ||||
| 26 | Ulysses Bentley IV | RB | ||||
| 31 | Tyler Lavine | RB | ||||
| 1 | Terrance Gipson | WR | ||||
| 4 | Tyler Page | WR | ||||
| 5 | Danny Gray | WR | ||||
| 6 | Austin Upshaw | WR | ||||
| 8 | Reggie Roberson Jr. | WR | ||||
| 11 | Rashee Rice | WR | ||||
| 80 | Zae Baines | WR | ||||
| 83 | Kylen Granson | WR | ||||
| 84 | Matt Dorrity | WR | ||||
| 13 | Judah Bell | TE | ||||
| 86 | Tommy McIntyre | TE | ||||
| 34 | Toby Ndukwe | DL | ||||
| 33 | Junior Aho | DE | ||||
| 51 | Warren Walls | DE | ||||
| 55 | Gary Wiley | DE | ||||
| 90 | Nelson Paul | DE | ||||
| 97 | Turner Coxe | DE | ||||
| 9 | Darren Brown | DT | ||||
| 40 | Elijah Chatman | DT | ||||
| 57 | Mike Williams | DT | ||||
| 91 | Terrance Newman | DT | ||||
| 96 | DeVere Levelston | DT | ||||
| 98 | Jacob Pugh | DT | ||||
| 99 | Harrison Loveless | DT | ||||
| 0 | Brian Holloway | LB | ||||
| 3 | Delano Robinson | LB | ||||
| 9 | Shaine Hailey | LB | ||||
| 14 | Richard Moore | LB | ||||
| 16 | Keke Burns | LB | ||||
| 24 | Jimmy Phillips Jr. | LB | ||||
| 27 | Ja'Terious Evans | LB | ||||
| 31 | Preston Ellison | LB | ||||
| 32 | Jc Rispress | LB | ||||
| 35 | Armando Fitz | LB | ||||
| 50 | Richard McBryde | LB | ||||
| 8 | Bryan Massey | DB | ||||
| 16 | Trevor Denbow | DB | ||||
| 19 | Roderick Roberson | DB | ||||
| 22 | Donald Clay | DB | ||||
| 22 | Karl Taylor | DB | ||||
| 23 | Brandon Stephens | DB | ||||
| 5 | Ar'mani Johnson | CB | ||||
| 13 | Sam Westfall | CB | ||||
| 36 | Terry Keys | CB | ||||
| 1 | Brandon Crossley | S | ||||
| 3 | T.Q. Jackson | S | ||||
| 11 | Chevin Calloway | S | ||||
| 18 | Chace Cromartie | S | ||||
| 20 | Ra-Sun Kazadi | S | ||||
| 34 | Chris Naggar | PK | ||||
| 7 | Matt Fraanje | P | ||||
| 37 | Max Quick | P | ||||
| Team | - |
Final ratings for 2020, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2020 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2020 power rankings →