The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sep 19 | @ 22Oklahoma State | L 7–16 | +0.5 | — | ESPN |
| 4 | Sep 26 | @ 96Arkansas State | Tulsa −8.6 · o/u 60.6 | — | ESPN2 | |
| 5 | Oct 3 | @ 17UCFCONF | W 34–26 | +19.0 | — | ESPN2 |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 17 | vs 6CincinnatiCONF | Cincinnati −6.5 · o/u 43.1 | — | ESPN2 | |
| 8 | Oct 23 | @ 114South FloridaCONF | W 42–13 | +17.8 | — | ESPN |
| 9 | Oct 30 | vs 92East CarolinaCONF | W 34–30 | -1.7 | — | ESPN2 |
| 10 | Nov 7 | @ 97NavyCONF | Tulsa −9.1 · o/u 40.9 | — | CBSSN | |
| 11 | Nov 14 | vs 39SMUCONF | W 28–24 | +5.6 | — | ESPN2 |
| 12 | Nov 19 | vs 40TulaneCONF | W 30–24 | +7.5 | — | ESPN |
| 13 | Nov 28 | @ 65HoustonCONF | Tulsa −3.4 · o/u 52.4 | — | ||
| 14 | Dec 5 | @ 97NavyCONF | W 19–6 | +9.4 | — | ESPN2 |
| 15 | Dec 12 | vs 6CincinnatiCONF | Cincinnati −6.5 · o/u 43.1 | — | ||
| 16 | Dec 19 | @ 6Cincinnati | L 24–27 | +13.1 | — | ABC |
| Bowls | Dec 31 | vs 75Mississippi StateNEUTRAL | L 26–28 | -2.8 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 42.5% | 71st | 36.9% | 10th |
| Rushing success rate | 43.8% | 67th | 36.6% | 12th |
| Passing success rate | 41.1% | 73rd | 37.2% | 15th |
| Explosive run rate | 14.9% | 61st | 13.7% | 53rd |
| Explosive pass rate | 9.3% | 83rd | 8.7% | 29th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.94 | 63rd | 2.70 | 30th |
| Opportunity rate | 36.6% | 84th | 32.9% | 13th |
| Stuff rate | 18.9% | 54th | 20.5% | 45th |
| Sack rate | 6.5% | 75th | 7.7% | 27th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 43.3% | 54th | 34.8% | 17th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 54.3% | 96th | 43.3% | 5th |
| Havoc rate | 11.8% | 49th | 12.0% | 78th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 27.1 | 74th | 21.6 | 28th |
| Yards / game | 410.4 | 52nd | 333.0 | 19th |
| Yards / play | 5.41 | 71st | 4.53 | 7th |
| Pass yards / game | 252.8 | 42nd | 175.9 | 16th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.00 | 41st | 6.09 | 8th |
| Completion % | 56.5% | 98th | 60.7% | 56th |
| Rush yards / game | 157.7 | 70th | 143.4 | 43rd |
| Yards / carry | 3.00 | 80th | 3.61 | 26th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 41.7% | 55th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 2.00 | 109th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.33 | 76th | 2.56 | 42nd |
| Penalty yards / game | 82.4 | 126th | — | — |
44 players who recorded a stat in 2020 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Davis Brin | QB | ||||
| 11 | Zach Smith | QB | ||||
| 12 | Seth Boomer | QB | ||||
| 6 | Christian Lovick | RB | ||||
| 8 | Deneric Prince | RB | ||||
| 21 | T.K. Wilkerson | RB | ||||
| 23 | Anthony Watkins | RB | ||||
| 24 | Corey Taylor | RB | ||||
| 1 | Josh Stewart | WR | ||||
| 2 | Keylon Stokes | WR | ||||
| 5 | JuanCarlos Santana | WR | ||||
| 9 | Sam Crawford | WR | ||||
| 13 | Josh Johnson | WR | ||||
| 20 | Cannon Montgomery | WR | ||||
| 84 | Malik Rodgers | WR | ||||
| 32 | James Palmer | TE | ||||
| 47 | Ethan Hall | TE | ||||
| 90 | Jaxon Player | DL | ||||
| 91 | Cullen Wick | DL | ||||
| 97 | Tyarise Stevenson | DL | ||||
| 98 | Haydon Grant | DL | ||||
| 94 | Anthony Goodlow | DE | ||||
| 11 | Treyvon Reeves | LB | ||||
| 19 | Grant Sawyer | LB | ||||
| 23 | Zaven Collins | LB | ||||
| 30 | Justin Wright | LB | ||||
| 40 | Mitchell Kulkin | LB | ||||
| 54 | Trevor Reh | LB | ||||
| 12 | Allie Green IV | DB | ||||
| 13 | Lamar Mullins | DB | ||||
| 13 | Reggie Ellis | DB | ||||
| 0 | Tyon Davis | CB | ||||
| 11 | Ryan Nixon | CB | ||||
| 24 | DaMarco Williams | CB | ||||
| 26 | Akayleb Evans | CB | ||||
| 1 | Kendarin Ray | S | ||||
| 3 | Cristian Williams | S | ||||
| 21 | Bryson Powers | S | ||||
| 25 | Jaise Oliver | S | ||||
| 43 | Tyler Tipton | PK | ||||
| 90 | Zack Long | PK | ||||
| 37 | Lachlan Wilson | P | ||||
| 49 | Kyle Gibbs | LS | ||||
| Team | - |
Final ratings for 2020, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2020 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2020 power rankings →