
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | @ 52Memphis | L 24–37 | -9.2 | — | ESPN |
| 2 | Sep 12 | @ 70Kansas State | W 35–31 | +5.8 | — | FOX |
| 3 | Sep 19 | vs Central Arkansas FCS | Arkansas State −14.6 · o/u 64.4 | — | ||
| 4 | Sep 26 | vs 30Tulsa | Tulsa −8.6 · o/u 60.6 | — | ESPN2 | |
| 5 | Oct 3 | @ 14Coastal CarolinaCONF | L 23–52 | -13.9 | — | ESPN2 |
| 6 | Oct 10 | vs Central Arkansas FCS | W 50–27 | +3.4 | — | ESPN3 |
| 7 | Oct 15 | vs 63Georgia StateCONF | W 59–52 | +5.4 | — | ESPN |
| 8 | Oct 22 | @ 20Appalachian StateCONF | L 17–45 | -15.4 | — | ESPN |
| 9 | Oct 31 | vs 69TroyCONF | L 10–38 | -27.7 | — | ESPN3 |
| 10 | Nov 7 | @ 19LouisianaCONF | L 20–27 | +3.5 | — | ESPNU |
| 11 | Nov 14 | vs 126UL MonroeCONF | Arkansas State −15.7 · o/u 69.2 | — | ||
| 12 | Nov 21 | @ 107Texas StateCONF | L 45–47 | -7.9 | — | ESPN2 |
| 13 | Nov 28 | vs 104South AlabamaCONF | L 31–38 | -16.7 | — | ESPN3 |
| 14 | Dec 5 | vs 126UL MonroeCONF | W 48–15 | +6.4 | — | ESPN3 |
| 15 | Dec 12 | vs Incarnate Word FCS | Arkansas State −14.6 · o/u 64.4 | — |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 44.1% | 51st | 42.9% | 55th |
| Rushing success rate | 40.5% | 98th | 37.6% | 17th |
| Passing success rate | 46.8% | 29th | 48.2% | 112th |
| Explosive run rate | 11.2% | 109th | 13.5% | 50th |
| Explosive pass rate | 13.7% | 20th | 14.7% | 117th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.82 | 86th | 2.55 | 14th |
| Opportunity rate | 36.4% | 85th | 34.1% | 22nd |
| Stuff rate | 20.7% | 86th | 23.3% | 24th |
| Sack rate | 5.6% | 53rd | 4.7% | 95th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 41.7% | 64th | 44.4% | 90th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 68.4% | 41st | 65.9% | 78th |
| Havoc rate | 12.6% | 65th | 12.7% | 59th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 32.9 | 35th | 37.2 | 111th |
| Yards / game | 489.7 | 14th | 470.1 | 115th |
| Yards / play | 6.14 | 32nd | 6.15 | 100th |
| Pass yards / game | 364.4 | 2nd | 299.7 | 125th |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.00 | 12th | 8.90 | 118th |
| Completion % | 59.4% | 78th | 64.2% | 98th |
| Rush yards / game | 125.4 | 103rd | 156.1 | 53rd |
| Yards / carry | 3.00 | 80th | 3.96 | 42nd |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 39.9% | 67th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.45 | 63rd | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.64 | 92nd | 1.82 | 87th |
| Penalty yards / game | 57.4 | 82nd | — | — |
62 players who recorded a stat in 2020 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2020, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2020 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2020 power rankings →