Sun Belt · 2020 · Final

Arkansas State Red Wolves 2020

4-72-6 in conference
Final TDC rank
#96
of 128 FBS teams
Rating
-5.1
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+3.5
27th in FBS
Defense
-8.5
125th in FBS
Schedule
-2.2
99th toughest
Preseason
-1.3
rating going in

2020 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

-5.1 now, -1.3 preseason · down 16 spots since preseason
-50FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Wk 16Bowls#96

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 5@52MemphisL 24–37-9.2—ESPN
2Sep 12@70Kansas StateW 35–31+5.8—FOX
3Sep 19vsCentral Arkansas FCSArkansas State −14.6 · o/u 64.4—81%
4Sep 26vs30TulsaTulsa −8.6 · o/u 60.6—28%ESPN2
5Oct 3@14Coastal CarolinaCONFL 23–52-13.9—ESPN2
6Oct 10vsCentral Arkansas FCSW 50–27+3.4—ESPN3
7Oct 15vs63Georgia StateCONFW 59–52+5.4—ESPN
8Oct 22@20Appalachian StateCONFL 17–45-15.4—ESPN
9Oct 31vs69TroyCONFL 10–38-27.7—ESPN3
10Nov 7@19LouisianaCONFL 20–27+3.5—ESPNU
11Nov 14vs126UL MonroeCONFArkansas State −15.7 · o/u 69.2—86%
12Nov 21@107Texas StateCONFL 45–47-7.9—ESPN2
13Nov 28vs104South AlabamaCONFL 31–38-16.7—ESPN3
14Dec 5vs126UL MonroeCONFW 48–15+6.4—ESPN3
15Dec 12vsIncarnate Word FCSArkansas State −14.6 · o/u 64.4—81%

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate44.1%51st42.9%55th
Rushing success rate40.5%98th37.6%17th
Passing success rate46.8%29th48.2%112th
Explosive run rate11.2%109th13.5%50th
Explosive pass rate13.7%20th14.7%117th
Line yards / carry2.8286th2.5514th
Opportunity rate36.4%85th34.1%22nd
Stuff rate20.7%86th23.3%24th
Sack rate5.6%53rd4.7%95th
3rd-down conversion41.7%64th44.4%90th
Red-zone TD rate68.4%41st65.9%78th
Havoc rate12.6%65th12.7%59th
Box score · season totals
Points / game32.935th37.2111th
Yards / game489.714th470.1115th
Yards / play6.1432nd6.15100th
Pass yards / game364.42nd299.7125th
Yards / pass att.8.0012th8.90118th
Completion %59.4%78th64.2%98th
Rush yards / game125.4103rd156.153rd
Yards / carry3.0080th3.9642nd
3rd-down conv. %39.9%67th——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.4563rd——
Sacks / game (allowed · made)2.6492nd1.8287th
Penalty yards / game57.482nd——

Players

62 players who recorded a stat in 2020 (from box scores)

62 players

Final ratings for 2020, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2020 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2020 power rankings →