The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sep 19 | @ 115Middle Tennessee | W 47–14 | +18.8 | — | ESPN |
| 4 | Sep 26 | @ 4BYU | L 7–48 | -12.0 | — | ESPN |
| 5 | Oct 3 | @ 104South AlabamaCONF | Troy −5.4 · o/u 42.1 | — | ||
| 6 | Oct 10 | vs 107Texas StateCONF | W 37–17 | +10.0 | — | ESPN3 |
| 7 | Oct 17 | vs Eastern Kentucky FCS | W 31–29 | -17.6 | — | ESPN3 |
| 8 | Oct 24 | vs 63Georgia StateCONF | L 34–36 | -3.6 | — | ESPNU |
| 9 | Oct 31 | @ 96Arkansas StateCONF | W 38–10 | +22.4 | — | ESPN3 |
| 10 | Nov 7 | @ 62Georgia SouthernCONF | L 13–20 | -4.5 | — | ESPN3 |
| 11 | Nov 14 | vs 14Coastal CarolinaCONF | Coastal Carolina −8.0 · o/u 51.7 | — | ESPN2 | |
| 12 | Nov 21 | vs 115Middle Tennessee | L 17–20 | -15.4 | — | ESPN3 |
| 13 | Nov 28 | @ 20Appalachian StateCONF | L 10–47 | -18.6 | — | ESPN2 |
| 14 | Dec 5 | @ 104South AlabamaCONF | W 29–0 | +20.2 | — | ESPN3 |
| 15 | Dec 12 | vs 14Coastal CarolinaCONF | L 38–42 | +3.8 | — | ESPN+ |
| 16 | Dec 17 | vs 126UL MonroeCONF | Troy −20.5 · o/u 53.7 | — |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 44.3% | 50th | 43.5% | 61st |
| Rushing success rate | 41.4% | 90th | 42.9% | 56th |
| Passing success rate | 45.8% | 34th | 44.2% | 78th |
| Explosive run rate | 12.7% | 96th | 12.1% | 26th |
| Explosive pass rate | 9.4% | 82nd | 11.2% | 80th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.99 | 59th | 2.88 | 47th |
| Opportunity rate | 34.7% | 100th | 37.3% | 50th |
| Stuff rate | 20.3% | 78th | 18.5% | 72nd |
| Sack rate | 4.4% | 36th | 5.8% | 72nd |
| 3rd-down conversion | 53.1% | 5th | 39.6% | 50th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 61.5% | 76th | 60.6% | 44th |
| Havoc rate | 11.9% | 52nd | 13.0% | 56th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 27.4 | 70th | 25.7 | 42nd |
| Yards / game | 392.8 | 65th | 405.1 | 61st |
| Yards / play | 5.36 | 76th | 5.38 | 57th |
| Pass yards / game | 290.2 | 21st | 223.8 | 73rd |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.00 | 41st | 7.33 | 61st |
| Completion % | 65.6% | 21st | 67.0% | 118th |
| Rush yards / game | 102.6 | 117th | 166.6 | 65th |
| Yards / carry | 3.00 | 80th | 4.09 | 48th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 45.5% | 25th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.64 | 86th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.00 | 48th | 2.00 | 73rd |
| Penalty yards / game | 46.3 | 39th | — | — |
62 players who recorded a stat in 2020 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2020, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2020 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2020 power rankings →