
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Sep 12 | @ 11Iowa State | W 31–14 | +30.5 | — | ESPN |
| 3 | Sep 19 | @ 63Georgia StateCONF | W 34–31 | +5.5 | — | ESPN2 |
| 4 | Sep 26 | vs 62Georgia SouthernCONF | W 20–18 | +0.4 | — | ESPN2 |
| 5 | — | Bye | ||||
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 14 | vs 14Coastal CarolinaCONF | L 27–30 | +4.8 | — | ESPN |
| 8 | Oct 23 | @ 47UAB | W 24–20 | +8.5 | — | CBSSN |
| 9 | Oct 31 | @ 107Texas StateCONF | W 44–34 | +4.1 | — | ESPNU |
| 10 | Nov 7 | vs 96Arkansas StateCONF | W 27–20 | -0.1 | — | ESPNU |
| 11 | Nov 14 | vs 104South AlabamaCONF | W 38–10 | +15.7 | — | ESPN+ |
| 12 | Nov 21 | vs Central Arkansas FCS | Louisiana −28.0 · o/u 50.6 | — | ESPN+ | |
| 13 | Nov 28 | @ 126UL MonroeCONF | W 70–20 | +16.4 | — | ESPN3 |
| 14 | Dec 4 | @ 20Appalachian StateCONF | W 24–21 | +13.0 | — | ESPN |
| 15 | — | Bye | ||||
| 16 | Dec 19 | @ 14Coastal Carolina | Coastal Carolina −3.4 · o/u 53.4 | — | ESPN | |
| Bowls | Dec 26 | vs 91UTSANEUTRAL | W 31–24 | +3.5 | — | ABC |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 46.8% | 30th | 43.0% | 58th |
| Rushing success rate | 49.5% | 25th | 47.9% | 94th |
| Passing success rate | 43.3% | 54th | 36.5% | 11th |
| Explosive run rate | 17.6% | 30th | 13.1% | 43rd |
| Explosive pass rate | 10.5% | 68th | 9.1% | 35th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.40 | 8th | 3.37 | 112th |
| Opportunity rate | 44.6% | 16th | 40.7% | 88th |
| Stuff rate | 15.1% | 19th | 12.1% | 124th |
| Sack rate | 2.0% | 6th | 5.4% | 81st |
| 3rd-down conversion | 45.0% | 35th | 45.2% | 93rd |
| Red-zone TD rate | 65.2% | 61st | 64.7% | 71st |
| Havoc rate | 10.0% | 19th | 11.0% | 93rd |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 33.6 | 28th | 22.0 | 31st |
| Yards / game | 421.6 | 43rd | 355.4 | 33rd |
| Yards / play | 6.20 | 31st | 4.80 | 17th |
| Pass yards / game | 208.6 | 83rd | 159.2 | 7th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.00 | 41st | 5.79 | 4th |
| Completion % | 58.1% | 89th | 51.9% | 4th |
| Rush yards / game | 213.0 | 21st | 184.7 | 88th |
| Yards / carry | 5.00 | 3rd | 4.31 | 67th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 42.8% | 46th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.18 | 41st | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 0.82 | 7th | 1.73 | 90th |
| Penalty yards / game | 61.5 | 96th | — | — |
67 players who recorded a stat in 2020 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2020, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2020 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2020 power rankings →