The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Sep 12 | @ 104South Alabama | W 27–24 | -2.6 | — | ESPN2 |
| 3 | Sep 19 | vs 97NavyCONF | L 24–27 | -10.7 | — | ABC |
| 4 | Sep 26 | @ 111Southern Mississippi | W 66–24 | +23.1 | — | |
| 5 | — | Bye | ||||
| 6 | Oct 8 | @ 65HoustonCONF | L 31–49 | -15.8 | — | ESPN |
| 7 | Oct 16 | vs 39SMUCONF | L 34–37 | -1.4 | — | ESPN |
| 8 | Oct 24 | @ 17UCFCONF | L 34–51 | -6.0 | — | ESPN2 |
| 9 | Oct 31 | vs 118TempleCONF | W 38–3 | +14.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 10 | Nov 7 | @ 92East CarolinaCONF | W 38–21 | +15.4 | — | ESPN+ |
| 11 | Nov 14 | vs 50Army | W 38–12 | +24.7 | — | ESPN2 |
| 12 | Nov 19 | @ 30TulsaCONF | L 24–30 | +1.6 | — | ESPN |
| 13 | — | Bye | ||||
| 14 | Dec 5 | vs 52MemphisCONF | W 35–21 | +13.7 | — | ESPN+ |
| Bowls | Dec 22 | vs 54NevadaNEUTRAL | L 27–38 | -9.4 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 43.4% | 62nd | 39.0% | 23rd |
| Rushing success rate | 46.5% | 42nd | 39.1% | 23rd |
| Passing success rate | 39.3% | 87th | 38.9% | 30th |
| Explosive run rate | 20.5% | 11th | 10.2% | 9th |
| Explosive pass rate | 10.1% | 73rd | 14.9% | 118th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.33 | 19th | 2.62 | 19th |
| Opportunity rate | 44.5% | 18th | 32.3% | 10th |
| Stuff rate | 18.9% | 54th | 21.6% | 32nd |
| Sack rate | 10.3% | 117th | 7.7% | 27th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 30.9% | 118th | 42.2% | 66th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 72.5% | 23rd | 63.4% | 65th |
| Havoc rate | 14.2% | 91st | 13.4% | 46th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 34.7 | 22nd | 28.1 | 57th |
| Yards / game | 393.8 | 63rd | 422.0 | 77th |
| Yards / play | 5.47 | 66th | 5.39 | 59th |
| Pass yards / game | 176.7 | 109th | 257.8 | 114th |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.00 | 79th | 8.47 | 111th |
| Completion % | 52.7% | 117th | 60.5% | 52nd |
| Rush yards / game | 217.1 | 17th | 143.3 | 42nd |
| Yards / carry | 5.00 | 3rd | 3.41 | 18th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 33.8% | 104th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.17 | 37th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.92 | 104th | 3.25 | 11th |
| Penalty yards / game | 51.9 | 64th | — | — |
56 players who recorded a stat in 2020 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Michael Pratt | QB | ||||
| 9 | Keon Howard | QB | ||||
| 13 | Justin Ibieta | QB | ||||
| 5 | Stephon Huderson | RB | ||||
| 8 | Josh Coltrin | RB | ||||
| 20 | Cam Carroll | RB | ||||
| 22 | Tyjae Spears | RB | ||||
| 27 | Ygenio Booker | RB | ||||
| 1 | Mykel Jones | WR | ||||
| 2 | Duece Watts | WR | ||||
| 3 | Phat Watts | WR | ||||
| 4 | Jha'Quan Jackson | WR | ||||
| 11 | Amare Jones | WR | ||||
| 15 | Jacob Robertson Jr. | WR | ||||
| 23 | Jaetavian Toles | WR | ||||
| 30 | Logan Ammons | WR | ||||
| 86 | Sorrell Brown | WR | ||||
| 14 | Christian Daniels | TE | ||||
| 46 | Keitha Jones Jr. | TE | ||||
| 80 | Tyrick James | TE | ||||
| 84 | Will Wallace | TE | ||||
| 71 | Bailey Malovic | OL | ||||
| 2 | Brandon Brown | DL | ||||
| 41 | Darius Hodges | DL | ||||
| 77 | Jeffery Johnson | DL | ||||
| 91 | Adonis Friloux | DL | ||||
| 5 | Cameron Sample | DE | ||||
| 7 | Patrick Johnson | DE | ||||
| 91 | Noah Seiden | DE | ||||
| 99 | Alfred Thomas | DE | ||||
| 48 | De'Andre Williams | NT | ||||
| 94 | Eric Hicks Jr. | NT | ||||
| 0 | Marvin Moody | LB | ||||
| 1 | Nick Anderson | LB | ||||
| 2 | Dorian Williams | LB | ||||
| 2 | Jesus Machado | LB | ||||
| 33 | Kevin Henry | LB | ||||
| 54 | Carlos Hatcher | LB | ||||
| 59 | Sam Bruchhaus | LB | ||||
| 8 | Willie Langham | DB | ||||
| 10 | Kyle Meyers | DB | ||||
| 16 | Levi Williams | DB | ||||
| 17 | Cornelius Dyson | DB | ||||
| 21 | Ajani Kerr | DB | ||||
| 34 | Kanyon Walker | DB | ||||
| 9 | Jaylon Monroe | CB | ||||
| 25 | Kevaris Hall | CB | ||||
| 30 | Jonathan Mestayer II | S | ||||
| 31 | Larry Brooks | S | ||||
| 36 | Chase Kuerschen | S | ||||
| 37 | Macon Clark | S | ||||
| 62 | Merek Glover | PK | ||||
| 96 | Casey Glover | P | ||||
| 97 | Ryan Wright | P | ||||
| 48 | Kyle O'Connor | LS | ||||
| Team | - |
Final ratings for 2020, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2020 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2020 power rankings →