The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | vs 115Middle Tennessee | W 42–0 | +17.9 | — | CBSSN |
| 2 | Sep 12 | vs 126UL Monroe | W 37–7 | +5.3 | — | CBSSN |
| 3 | Sep 19 | vs 4BYU | BYU −11.8 · o/u 41.9 | — | CBS | |
| 4 | Sep 26 | @ 6Cincinnati | L 10–24 | +2.1 | — | ESPN |
| 5 | Oct 3 | vs Abilene Christian FCS | W 55–23 | +7.2 | — | CBSSN |
| 6 | Oct 10 | vs The Citadel FCS | W 14–9 | -14.6 | — | CBSSN |
| 7 | Oct 17 | @ 91UTSA | W 28–16 | +10.6 | — | CBSSN |
| 8 | Oct 24 | vs Mercer FCS | W 49–3 | +12.1 | — | CBSSN |
| 9 | — | Bye | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | vs 33Air Force | Air Force −1.3 · o/u 33.3 | — | CBS | |
| 11 | Nov 14 | @ 40Tulane | L 12–38 | -19.1 | — | ESPN2 |
| 12 | Nov 21 | vs 62Georgia Southern | W 28–27 | -0.6 | — | CBSSN |
| 13 | — | Bye | ||||
| 14 | — | Bye | ||||
| 15 | Dec 12 | vs 97Navy | W 15–0 | +7.3 | — | CBS |
| 16 | Dec 19 | vs 33Air Force | W 10–7 | +6.3 | — | CBSSN |
| Bowls | Dec 26 | vs TBD FCSNEUTRAL | Army −19.6 · o/u 40.7 | — | ||
| Bowls | Dec 31 | vs 43West VirginiaNEUTRAL | L 21–24 | +0.2 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 41.4% | 87th | 37.4% | 13th |
| Rushing success rate | 42.6% | 80th | 34.3% | 6th |
| Passing success rate | 31.6% | 118th | 40.7% | 44th |
| Explosive run rate | 12.5% | 98th | 12.1% | 26th |
| Explosive pass rate | 14.7% | 12th | 8.2% | 17th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.97 | 61st | 2.46 | 9th |
| Opportunity rate | 32.7% | 112th | 34.3% | 25th |
| Stuff rate | 14.3% | 12th | 24.8% | 15th |
| Sack rate | 10.5% | 119th | 6.0% | 68th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 41.9% | 62nd | 37.3% | 28th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 78.8% | 9th | 51.9% | 14th |
| Havoc rate | 9.8% | 13th | 15.7% | 11th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 26.8 | 78th | 14.8 | 2nd |
| Yards / game | 317.8 | 116th | 275.3 | 1st |
| Yards / play | 4.76 | 104th | 4.87 | 19th |
| Pass yards / game | 44.8 | 127th | 151.4 | 3rd |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.00 | 41st | 6.52 | 19th |
| Completion % | 46.0% | 124th | 58.5% | 37th |
| Rush yards / game | 273.0 | 4th | 114.6 | 18th |
| Yards / carry | 4.00 | 31st | 3.77 | 33rd |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 45.2% | 29th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.17 | 37th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 0.75 | 6th | 1.50 | 104th |
| Penalty yards / game | 39.0 | 13th | — | — |
77 players who recorded a stat in 2020 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2020, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2020 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2020 power rankings →