The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | vs Houston Baptist FCS | W 57–31 | +5.1 | — | ESPN3 |
| 2 | — | Bye | ||||
| 3 | Sep 19 | vs 39SMU | L 35–65 | -24.5 | — | CBSSN |
| 4 | Sep 26 | @ 65Houston | Houston −13.4 · o/u 75.7 | — | ESPN+ | |
| 5 | Oct 3 | vs 111Southern MississippiCONF | L 31–41 | -21.2 | — | |
| 6 | Oct 10 | vs 105CharlotteCONF | L 21–49 | -35.2 | — | ESPNU |
| 7 | Oct 17 | @ 115Middle TennesseeCONF | W 52–35 | +8.7 | — | |
| 8 | — | Bye | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | @ 121UTEPCONF | UTEP −0.6 · o/u 66.0 | — | CBSSN | |
| 10 | Nov 7 | vs 98Louisiana TechCONF | Louisiana Tech −2.9 · o/u 75.5 | — | CBSSN | |
| 11 | Nov 14 | @ 47UABCONF | UAB −15.7 · o/u 70.0 | — | ||
| 12 | Nov 21 | vs 79RiceCONF | W 27–17 | +6.2 | — | ESPN3 |
| 13 | Nov 28 | @ 91UTSACONF | L 17–49 | -28.2 | — | |
| 14 | Dec 3 | vs 98Louisiana TechCONF | L 31–42 | -19.3 | — | CBSSN |
| 15 | Dec 11 | @ 121UTEPCONF | W 45–43 | -8.7 | — | ESPN3 |
| Bowls | Dec 21 | vs 20Appalachian StateNEUTRAL | L 28–56 | -17.4 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 46.2% | 35th | 46.6% | 92nd |
| Rushing success rate | 50.1% | 20th | 48.6% | 96th |
| Passing success rate | 41.5% | 69th | 44.1% | 74th |
| Explosive run rate | 13.9% | 73rd | 19.1% | 108th |
| Explosive pass rate | 14.8% | 11th | 11.2% | 80th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.38 | 11th | 3.47 | 118th |
| Opportunity rate | 43.1% | 23rd | 42.8% | 100th |
| Stuff rate | 13.9% | 9th | 14.4% | 109th |
| Sack rate | 5.1% | 44th | 6.5% | 57th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 47.3% | 26th | 46.5% | 103rd |
| Red-zone TD rate | 62.1% | 73rd | 79.2% | 121st |
| Havoc rate | 10.9% | 29th | 10.5% | 103rd |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 34.4 | 23rd | 42.8 | 125th |
| Yards / game | 513.2 | 8th | 522.1 | 127th |
| Yards / play | 6.45 | 20th | 6.75 | 122nd |
| Pass yards / game | 283.0 | 25th | 237.9 | 91st |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.00 | 12th | 8.13 | 104th |
| Completion % | 55.1% | 108th | 62.7% | 77th |
| Rush yards / game | 230.2 | 13th | 269.2 | 124th |
| Yards / carry | 5.00 | 3rd | 6.10 | 121st |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 46.7% | 18th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.50 | 67th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.70 | 35th | 2.10 | 70th |
| Penalty yards / game | 53.6 | 70th | — | — |
65 players who recorded a stat in 2020 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2020, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2020 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2020 power rankings →