The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | vs Stephen F. Austin FCS | W 24–14 | -9.6 | — | ESPN3 |
| 2 | Sep 12 | @ 12Texas | L 3–59 | -22.2 | — | LHN |
| 3 | Sep 19 | vs Abilene Christian FCS | W 17–13 | -15.6 | — | ESPN3 |
| 4 | Sep 26 | @ 126UL Monroe | W 31–6 | +7.6 | — | ESPN2 |
| 5 | — | Bye | ||||
| 6 | Oct 10 | @ 98Louisiana TechCONF | L 17–21 | -8.3 | — | ESPN2 |
| 7 | Oct 17 | vs 111Southern MississippiCONF | Southern Mississippi −1.5 · o/u 51.5 | — | ESPN2 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | @ 105CharlotteCONF | L 28–38 | -15.7 | — | ESPN+ |
| 9 | Oct 31 | vs 117North TexasCONF | UTEP −0.6 · o/u 66.0 | — | CBSSN | |
| 10 | Nov 7 | vs 119Florida InternationalCONF | UTEP −1.3 · o/u 51.1 | — | ||
| 11 | Nov 14 | @ 91UTSACONF | L 21–52 | -27.9 | — | ESPN+ |
| 12 | Nov 20 | vs 47UABCONFNEUTRAL | UAB −15.2 · o/u 47.6 | — | ||
| 13 | Nov 28 | @ 79RiceCONF | Rice −13.0 · o/u 38.2 | — | ||
| 14 | Dec 4 | vs 111Southern MississippiCONF | Southern Mississippi −1.5 · o/u 51.5 | — | ||
| 15 | Dec 11 | vs 117North TexasCONF | L 43–45 | -15.3 | — | ESPN3 |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 39.4% | 101st | 43.8% | 65th |
| Rushing success rate | 39.6% | 103rd | 43.4% | 60th |
| Passing success rate | 39.2% | 88th | 44.1% | 74th |
| Explosive run rate | 10.2% | 118th | 11.8% | 23rd |
| Explosive pass rate | 10.2% | 72nd | 15.3% | 121st |
| Line yards / carry | 2.73 | 97th | 2.79 | 42nd |
| Opportunity rate | 32.1% | 115th | 39.9% | 76th |
| Stuff rate | 19.2% | 62nd | 19.3% | 61st |
| Sack rate | 2.7% | 8th | 4.7% | 95th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 47.5% | 25th | 39.3% | 48th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 74.1% | 20th | 73.1% | 112th |
| Havoc rate | 13.3% | 79th | 13.6% | 40th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 23.0 | 103rd | 31.0 | 76th |
| Yards / game | 348.1 | 100th | 381.3 | 46th |
| Yards / play | 5.05 | 91st | 5.96 | 93rd |
| Pass yards / game | 209.3 | 82nd | 230.4 | 85th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.00 | 41st | 8.56 | 113th |
| Completion % | 52.7% | 116th | 63.6% | 89th |
| Rush yards / game | 138.9 | 89th | 140.4 | 39th |
| Yards / carry | 3.00 | 80th | 4.10 | 49th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 43.6% | 39th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.88 | 100th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.50 | 26th | 1.62 | 96th |
| Penalty yards / game | 63.1 | 101st | — | — |
59 players who recorded a stat in 2020 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2020, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2020 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2020 power rankings →