The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 4 | vs 7Baylor | L 21–56 | -17.8 | — | ESPN |
| 2 | Sep 12 | vs 128North Texas | W 31–13 | -3.9 | — | ESPN3 |
| 3 | Sep 19 | @ 15TCU | L 37–56 | -5.8 | — | FOXNET |
| 4 | Sep 26 | vs James Madison FCS | L 45–48 | -26.5 | — | ESPN3 |
| 5 | Oct 3 | vs 75East CarolinaCONF | L 23–49 | -28.1 | — | ESPNEWS |
| 6 | Oct 8 | @ 17HoustonCONF | L 28–49 | -8.6 | — | ESPN2 |
| 7 | — | Bye | ||||
| 8 | Oct 24 | @ 49South FloridaCONF | L 14–38 | -17.7 | — | ESPNEWS |
| 9 | Oct 31 | vs 93TulsaCONF | L 31–40 | -16.8 | — | ESPNEWS |
| 10 | Nov 6 | vs 44TempleCONF | L 40–60 | -17.4 | — | ESPN2 |
| 11 | Nov 14 | @ 23NavyCONF | L 14–55 | -18.8 | — | CBSSN |
| 12 | Nov 21 | vs 118TulaneCONF | W 49–21 | +8.7 | — | ESPNEWS |
| 13 | Nov 28 | @ 32MemphisCONF | L 0–63 | -28.4 | — | ESPNEWS |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 40.5% | 87th | 49.7% | 123rd |
| Rushing success rate | 44.5% | 54th | 54.0% | 126th |
| Passing success rate | 36.1% | 105th | 43.3% | 90th |
| Explosive run rate | 17.0% | 28th | 18.9% | 119th |
| Explosive pass rate | 10.5% | 64th | 15.4% | 125th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.93 | 77th | 3.55 | 127th |
| Opportunity rate | 40.3% | 43rd | 45.5% | 124th |
| Stuff rate | 18.6% | 60th | 12.9% | 124th |
| Sack rate | 10.3% | 126th | 4.1% | 109th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 40.0% | 74th | 47.6% | 112th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 66.7% | 39th | 79.6% | 123rd |
| Havoc rate | 13.8% | 93rd | 10.1% | 116th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 35.0 | 39th | 44.1 | 115th |
| Yards / game | 382.8 | 76th | — | — |
| Yards / play | 5.05 | 97th | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 218.3 | 70th | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.16 | 67th | — | — |
| Completion % | 55.5% | 89th | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 164.5 | 72nd | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 3.92 | 96th | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 39.0% | 68th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 3.42 | 125th | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 50.3 | 50th | — | — |
54 players who recorded a stat in 2015 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Matt Davis | QB | ||||
| 7 | Darrel Colbert Jr. | QB | ||||
| 14 | Garrett Krstich | QB | ||||
| 6 | Braeden West | RB | ||||
| 10 | Xavier Jones | RB | ||||
| 21 | Darius Durall | RB | ||||
| 42 | Prescott Line | RB | ||||
| 1 | Kevin Thomas | WR | ||||
| 2 | Deion Sanders Jr. | WR | ||||
| 9 | Shelby Walker | WR | ||||
| 12 | Xavier Castille | WR | ||||
| 13 | Ryheem Malone | WR | ||||
| 16 | Courtland Sutton | WR | ||||
| 18 | Darius Joseph | WR | ||||
| 24 | Mitchell Kaufman | TE | ||||
| 84 | Jeremiah Gaines | TE | ||||
| 78 | Bozidar Antunovic | OL | ||||
| 34 | Jarvis Pruitt | DL | ||||
| 39 | Keyfer Roberts | DL | ||||
| 87 | Elie Nabushosi | DL | ||||
| 95 | Andrew McCleneghen | DL | ||||
| 96 | Cameron Smith | DL | ||||
| 98 | Deon Green | DL | ||||
| 23 | Nick Horton | DE | ||||
| 91 | Spencer Hollie | DE | ||||
| 92 | Zelt Minor | DE | ||||
| 93 | Mason Gentry | DE | ||||
| 99 | Justin Lawler | DE | ||||
| 1 | Jonathan Yenga | LB | ||||
| 2 | Caleb Tuiasosopo | LB | ||||
| 11 | Kyran Mitchell | LB | ||||
| 18 | William Jeanlys | LB | ||||
| 22 | Matt McNew | LB | ||||
| 25 | Derek Longoria | LB | ||||
| 30 | Robert Seals | LB | ||||
| 32 | RC Cox | LB | ||||
| 40 | Carlos Carroll | LB | ||||
| 44 | Jackson Mitchell | LB | ||||
| 48 | Anthony Rhone | LB | ||||
| 3 | Cedric Lancaster | DB | ||||
| 4 | David Johnson | DB | ||||
| 6 | Jesse Montgomery | DB | ||||
| 9 | Horace Richardson | DB | ||||
| 10 | Ajee Montes | DB | ||||
| 20 | A.J. Justice | DB | ||||
| 26 | Troy Castle | DB | ||||
| 28 | Shakiel Randolph | DB | ||||
| 29 | Darrion Richardson | DB | ||||
| 12 | Kevin Johnson | CB | ||||
| 15 | Jordan Wyatt | CB | ||||
| 23 | Charles Tutt | CB | ||||
| 14 | Josh Williams | PK | ||||
| 27 | Chad Hedlund | PK | ||||
| 35 | Jackson Koonce | P |
Final ratings for 2015, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2015 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2015 power rankings →