The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | vs 101Florida Atlantic | W 47–44 | -8.7 | — | CBSSN |
| 2 | Sep 12 | @ 96New Mexico | W 40–21 | +15.7 | — | ESPN3 |
| 3 | Sep 19 | @ 3Oklahoma | L 38–52 | +4.3 | — | FS1 |
| 4 | — | Bye | ||||
| 5 | Oct 3 | vs 17HoustonCONF | L 24–38 | -6.5 | — | CBSSN |
| 6 | Oct 10 | vs 120Louisiana Monroe | W 34–24 | -6.9 | — | ESPN3 |
| 7 | Oct 17 | @ 75East CarolinaCONF | L 17–30 | -11.5 | — | ESPNEWS |
| 8 | Oct 23 | vs 32MemphisCONF | L 42–66 | -19.7 | — | ESPN |
| 9 | Oct 31 | @ 119SMUCONF | W 40–31 | -2.7 | — | ESPNEWS |
| 10 | Nov 7 | vs 124UCFCONF | W 45–30 | -4.3 | — | ESPNEWS |
| 11 | Nov 14 | @ 65CincinnatiCONF | L 38–49 | -7.9 | — | ESPNEWS |
| 12 | Nov 21 | vs 23NavyCONF | L 21–44 | -16.7 | — | CBSSN |
| 13 | Nov 27 | @ 118TulaneCONF | W 45–34 | -0.7 | — | ESPNU |
| Bowls | Dec 26 | vs 48Virginia TechNEUTRAL | L 52–55 | +0.9 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 42.0% | 75th | 47.0% | 109th |
| Rushing success rate | 43.1% | 69th | 48.1% | 109th |
| Passing success rate | 40.8% | 67th | 45.8% | 109th |
| Explosive run rate | 11.8% | 107th | 18.5% | 117th |
| Explosive pass rate | 14.0% | 17th | 11.9% | 94th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.09 | 42nd | 3.15 | 100th |
| Opportunity rate | 36.9% | 85th | 42.9% | 115th |
| Stuff rate | 16.1% | 27th | 18.9% | 73rd |
| Sack rate | 7.6% | 106th | 4.1% | 109th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 44.3% | 33rd | 48.0% | 115th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 59.6% | 81st | 68.3% | 93rd |
| Havoc rate | 12.4% | 65th | 12.3% | 68th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 37.1 | 30th | 39.9 | 108th |
| Yards / game | 507.4 | 13th | — | — |
| Yards / play | 5.87 | 41st | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 333.2 | 11th | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.80 | 15th | — | — |
| Completion % | 62.0% | 38th | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 174.2 | 61st | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 3.83 | 103rd | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 44.0% | 25th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 3.15 | 117th | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 56.1 | 73rd | — | — |
55 players who recorded a stat in 2015 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Joseph Calcagni | QB | ||||
| 9 | Dane Evans | QB | ||||
| 10 | Chad President | QB | ||||
| 4 | D'Angelo Brewer | RB | ||||
| 20 | James Flanders | RB | ||||
| 21 | Rowdy Simon | RB | ||||
| 24 | Zack Langer | RB | ||||
| 25 | Ramadi Warren | RB | ||||
| 28 | Tavarreon Dickerson | RB | ||||
| 1 | Keyarris Garrett | WR | ||||
| 2 | Keevan Lucas | WR | ||||
| 5 | Brodrick Umblance | WR | ||||
| 7 | Bishop Louie | WR | ||||
| 11 | Nigel Carter | WR | ||||
| 29 | Justin Hobbs | WR | ||||
| 80 | Conner Floyd | WR | ||||
| 88 | Josh Atkinson | WR | ||||
| 3 | Mandel Dixon | TE | ||||
| 6 | Chris Minter | TE | ||||
| 8 | Jesse Brubaker | DE | ||||
| 54 | Derrick Alexander | DE | ||||
| 85 | Kolton Shindelar | DE | ||||
| 90 | Frankie Davis | DE | ||||
| 91 | Jake Hanks | DE | ||||
| 96 | Myles Mouton | DE | ||||
| 98 | Jeremy Smith | DE | ||||
| 93 | Suleiman Masumbuko | DT | ||||
| 95 | Hayden Carman | DT | ||||
| 99 | Derrick Luetjen | DT | ||||
| 99 | Jerry Uwaezuoke | DT | ||||
| 10 | Shawn Norman | LB | ||||
| 20 | Zik Asiegbu | LB | ||||
| 25 | Tim Quickel | LB | ||||
| 28 | Craig Suits | LB | ||||
| 38 | Matt Linscott | LB | ||||
| 40 | Trent Martin | LB | ||||
| 43 | Conner Sherwood | LB | ||||
| 44 | Petera Wilson Jr. | LB | ||||
| 55 | Matt Hickman | LB | ||||
| 59 | C.J. Gooden | LB | ||||
| Zik Asiegbu | LB | |||||
| Zik Asiegbu | LB | |||||
| 2 | Kerwin Thomas | CB | ||||
| 6 | Darrell Williams | CB | ||||
| 7 | Johnell Celistan | CB | ||||
| 23 | Will Barrow | CB | ||||
| 1 | Michael Mudoh | S | ||||
| 5 | McKinley Whitfield | S | ||||
| 13 | Jordan Mitchell | S | ||||
| 18 | Samuel Gottsch | S | ||||
| 20 | J.R. Reed | S | ||||
| 22 | Jeremy Brady | S | ||||
| 37 | Gage Murphy | S | ||||
| 19 | Redford Jones | PK | ||||
| 26 | Dalton Parks | P |
Final ratings for 2015, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2015 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2015 power rankings →