American · 2015 · Final

Cincinnati Bearcats 2015

7-64-4 in conference
Final TDC rank
#65
of 128 FBS teams
Rating
+0.7
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+4.3
32nd in FBS
Defense
-3.6
94th in FBS
Schedule
-1.6
70th toughest
Preseason
+1.7
rating going in

2015 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

+0.7 now, +1.7 preseason · down 18 spots since preseason
0+5FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Bowls#66

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 5vsAlabama A&M FCSW 52–10+6.8—ESPN3
2Sep 12vs44TempleCONFL 26–34-5.4—ESPNEWS
3Sep 19@114Miami (OH)W 37–33-6.2—ESPN3
4Sep 24@32MemphisCONFL 46–53+2.2—ESPN
5Oct 1vs55MiamiW 34–23+11.5—ESPN
6—Bye
7Oct 16@30BYUL 24–38-4.6—ESPN
8Oct 24vs90ConnecticutCONFW 37–13+16.5—CBSSN
9Oct 31vs124UCFCONFW 52–7+12.0—ESPNEWS
10Nov 7@17HoustonCONFL 30–33+9.4—ESPN2
11Nov 14vs93TulsaCONFW 49–38+3.2—ESPNEWS
12Nov 20@49South FloridaCONFL 27–65-22.6—CBSSN
13Nov 28@75East CarolinaCONFW 19–16+4.5—CBSSN
BowlsDec 24vs38San Diego StateNEUTRALL 7–42-21.9—ESPN

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate48.5%15th42.0%68th
Rushing success rate48.4%20th44.0%78th
Passing success rate48.6%10th39.9%56th
Explosive run rate13.3%90th13.3%44th
Explosive pass rate12.4%32nd8.8%36th
Line yards / carry3.1137th3.23107th
Opportunity rate38.8%63rd40.3%90th
Stuff rate15.5%20th14.5%115th
Sack rate3.9%26th2.8%126th
3rd-down conversion52.1%5th37.6%42nd
Red-zone TD rate64.2%53rd63.8%79th
Havoc rate12.3%64th11.1%96th
Box score · season totals
Points / game33.948th41.5110th
Yards / game537.96th——
Yards / play6.4418th——
Pass yards / game359.96th——
Yards / pass att.8.5524th——
Completion %62.3%32nd——
Rush yards / game177.957th——
Yards / carry4.5256th——
3rd-down conv. %50.8%2nd——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)————
Sacks / game (allowed · made)2.0058th——
Penalty yards / game72.9124th——

Players

60 players who recorded a stat in 2015 (from box scores)

60 players

Final ratings for 2015, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2015 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2015 power rankings →