The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 2 | vs 120Louisiana Tech | W 38–14 | +11.1 | — | ESPNU |
| 2 | Sep 9 | @ 9Oklahoma | L 11–28 | -0.4 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 16 | vs Prairie View A&M FCS | W 69–0 | +16.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 4 | Sep 23 | @ 30TCU | L 17–34 | -8.9 | — | FS1 |
| 5 | Sep 30 | vs 125CharlotteCONF | W 34–16 | +3.0 | — | ESPNU |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 12 | @ 105East CarolinaCONF | W 31–10 | +17.7 | — | ESPN |
| 8 | Oct 20 | @ 129TempleCONF | W 55–0 | +23.6 | — | ESPN |
| 9 | Oct 28 | vs 110TulsaCONF | W 69–10 | +25.5 | — | ESPNU |
| 10 | Nov 4 | @ 86RiceCONF | W 36–31 | +3.7 | — | ESPNU |
| 11 | Nov 10 | vs 104North TexasCONF | W 45–21 | +15.5 | — | ESPN2 |
| 12 | Nov 18 | @ 31MemphisCONF | W 38–34 | +11.7 | — | ESPN2 |
| 13 | Nov 25 | vs 100NavyCONF | W 59–14 | +23.1 | — | ESPNEWS |
| 14 | Dec 2 | @ 45Tulane | W 26–14 | +17.8 | — | ABC |
| Bowls | Dec 28 | vs 91Boston CollegeNEUTRAL | L 14–23 | -13.5 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 44.2% | 51st | 35.9% | 9th |
| Rushing success rate | 47.3% | 34th | 36.4% | 9th |
| Passing success rate | 41.0% | 66th | 35.4% | 12th |
| Explosive run rate | 14.3% | 73rd | 12.2% | 26th |
| Explosive pass rate | 14.1% | 16th | 9.1% | 37th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.27 | 49th | 2.95 | 31st |
| Opportunity rate | 39.1% | 55th | 36.7% | 49th |
| Stuff rate | 14.1% | 37th | 19.4% | 29th |
| Sack rate | 3.2% | 13th | 8.3% | 10th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 43.8% | 39th | 28.0% | 3rd |
| Red-zone TD rate | 70.2% | 23rd | 61.3% | 70th |
| Havoc rate | 6.6% | 29th | 10.5% | 16th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 38.3 | 9th | 17.8 | 11th |
| Yards / game | 454.9 | 16th | 304.1 | 12th |
| Yards / play | 6.15 | 29th | 4.37 | 6th |
| Pass yards / game | 278.4 | 23rd | 163.0 | 12th |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.38 | 21st | 5.96 | 7th |
| Completion % | 58.9% | 88th | 57.7% | 28th |
| Rush yards / game | 176.6 | 40th | 121.9 | 30th |
| Yards / carry | 4.45 | 54th | 3.42 | 21st |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 42.9% | 37th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.00 | 16th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.14 | 14th | 3.36 | 4th |
| Penalty yards / game | 40.2 | 17th | — | — |
73 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →