
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 2 | vs 67California | L 21–58 | -31.8 | — | ESPNU |
| 2 | Sep 9 | @ 130Florida International | L 39–46 | -19.6 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 16 | @ 120Louisiana Tech | W 40–37 | -4.8 | — | ESPN+ |
| 4 | — | Bye | ||||
| 5 | Sep 30 | vs Abilene Christian FCS | W 45–31 | -9.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 6 | Oct 7 | @ 100NavyCONF | L 24–27 | -6.2 | — | CBSSN |
| 7 | Oct 14 | vs 129TempleCONF | W 45–14 | +10.1 | — | ESPNU |
| 8 | Oct 21 | @ 45TulaneCONF | L 28–35 | -1.2 | — | ESPN2 |
| 9 | Oct 28 | vs 31MemphisCONF | L 42–45 | -0.3 | — | ESPN+ |
| 10 | Nov 4 | vs 42UTSACONF | L 29–37 | -6.6 | — | ESPN+ |
| 11 | Nov 10 | @ 18SMUCONF | L 21–45 | -12.6 | — | ESPN2 |
| 12 | Nov 18 | @ 110TulsaCONF | W 35–28 | +1.4 | — | ESPN+ |
| 13 | Nov 25 | vs 107UABCONF | W 45–42 | -7.0 | — | ESPN+ |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 44.7% | 44th | 48.5% | 130th |
| Rushing success rate | 46.4% | 41st | 51.3% | 127th |
| Passing success rate | 43.4% | 50th | 44.3% | 111th |
| Explosive run rate | 18.9% | 13th | 16.0% | 96th |
| Explosive pass rate | 10.4% | 71st | 12.3% | 112th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.44 | 14th | 3.49 | 122nd |
| Opportunity rate | 43.7% | 16th | 42.2% | 112th |
| Stuff rate | 15.7% | 63rd | 14.1% | 98th |
| Sack rate | 6.9% | 92nd | 4.7% | 105th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 43.2% | 44th | 45.4% | 113th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 65.3% | 51st | 77.3% | 127th |
| Havoc rate | 8.7% | 79th | 6.1% | 111th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 34.5 | 18th | 37.1 | 129th |
| Yards / game | 495.8 | 6th | 476.4 | 133rd |
| Yards / play | 6.27 | 24th | 6.42 | 127th |
| Pass yards / game | 304.7 | 12th | 212.7 | 70th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.91 | 45th | 8.12 | 115th |
| Completion % | 61.5% | 65th | 58.4% | 33rd |
| Rush yards / game | 191.2 | 22nd | 255.2 | 133rd |
| Yards / carry | 5.11 | 17th | 5.63 | 132nd |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 42.0% | 44th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.58 | 93rd | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 3.17 | 114th | 1.58 | 115th |
| Penalty yards / game | 46.6 | 49th | — | — |
63 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →