The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 31 | vs North Carolina A&T FCS | W 35–6 | +2.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 9 | @ 90Georgia Southern | L 35–49 | -15.8 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 16 | vs 73Louisiana | L 21–41 | -23.9 | — | ESPN+ |
| 4 | Sep 23 | @ 2Georgia | L 21–49 | -3.5 | — | ESPN2 |
| 5 | Sep 30 | @ 45TulaneCONF | L 23–35 | -6.2 | — | ESPN2 |
| 6 | Oct 7 | vs 96South FloridaCONF | W 56–35 | +13.2 | — | ESPNEWS |
| 7 | Oct 14 | @ 42UTSACONF | L 20–41 | -14.5 | — | ESPNU |
| 8 | Oct 21 | vs 31MemphisCONF | L 21–45 | -21.3 | — | ESPN2 |
| 9 | — | Bye | ||||
| 10 | Nov 4 | vs 97Florida AtlanticCONF | W 45–42 | -4.9 | — | ESPN+ |
| 11 | Nov 11 | @ 100NavyCONF | L 6–31 | -27.5 | — | CBSSN |
| 12 | Nov 18 | vs 129TempleCONF | W 34–24 | -6.4 | — | ESPN+ |
| 13 | Nov 25 | @ 104North TexasCONF | L 42–45 | -6.4 | — | ESPN+ |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 48.5% | 13th | 47.3% | 127th |
| Rushing success rate | 50.8% | 14th | 52.6% | 130th |
| Passing success rate | 46.4% | 23rd | 42.1% | 84th |
| Explosive run rate | 20.2% | 6th | 17.4% | 116th |
| Explosive pass rate | 10.9% | 59th | 10.0% | 57th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.71 | 4th | 3.52 | 125th |
| Opportunity rate | 46.1% | 7th | 42.2% | 112th |
| Stuff rate | 12.7% | 16th | 11.1% | 125th |
| Sack rate | 6.9% | 92nd | 6.5% | 49th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 42.3% | 48th | 46.9% | 120th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 55.8% | 101st | 69.8% | 109th |
| Havoc rate | 6.9% | 35th | 5.8% | 120th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 29.9 | 52nd | 36.8 | 128th |
| Yards / game | 450.0 | 18th | 435.0 | 121st |
| Yards / play | 6.10 | 32nd | 5.98 | 108th |
| Pass yards / game | 288.9 | 18th | 224.8 | 93rd |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.12 | 37th | 7.34 | 79th |
| Completion % | 71.7% | 5th | 62.0% | 91st |
| Rush yards / game | 161.1 | 62nd | 197.1 | 126th |
| Yards / carry | 4.54 | 47th | 5.17 | 125th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 40.3% | 56th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.67 | 101st | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.67 | 106th | 2.25 | 55th |
| Penalty yards / game | 56.3 | 85th | — | — |
68 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →