
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 2 | vs Monmouth FCS | W 42–20 | -1.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 9 | vs 62Ohio | L 10–17 | -9.4 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 16 | @ 21Clemson | L 14–48 | -17.0 | — | ACC Network |
| 4 | Sep 23 | @ 75Illinois | L 17–23 | -5.3 | — | BTN |
| 5 | — | Bye | ||||
| 6 | Oct 7 | vs 110TulsaCONF | W 20–17 | -7.7 | — | ESPN+ |
| 7 | Oct 14 | @ 96South FloridaCONF | W 56–14 | +27.6 | — | ESPN2 |
| 8 | Oct 21 | vs 42UTSACONF | L 10–36 | -23.3 | — | ESPN+ |
| 9 | Oct 27 | @ 125CharlotteCONF | W 38–16 | +12.1 | — | ESPN2 |
| 10 | Nov 4 | @ 107UABCONF | L 42–45 | -7.9 | — | ESPN+ |
| 11 | Nov 11 | vs 105East CarolinaCONF | L 7–22 | -23.4 | — | ESPN+ |
| 12 | Nov 18 | vs 45TulaneCONF | L 8–24 | -15.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 13 | Nov 25 | @ 86RiceCONF | L 21–24 | -4.3 | — | ESPN+ |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 39.0% | 108th | 43.4% | 80th |
| Rushing success rate | 42.4% | 84th | 41.4% | 48th |
| Passing success rate | 36.4% | 106th | 45.4% | 123rd |
| Explosive run rate | 15.2% | 55th | 13.8% | 53rd |
| Explosive pass rate | 8.1% | 115th | 10.0% | 57th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.31 | 43rd | 3.31 | 103rd |
| Opportunity rate | 37.2% | 79th | 36.6% | 48th |
| Stuff rate | 11.7% | 11th | 10.9% | 127th |
| Sack rate | 7.3% | 101st | 5.5% | 78th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 34.3% | 112th | 38.8% | 54th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 62.9% | 66th | 63.2% | 79th |
| Havoc rate | 7.6% | 55th | 5.9% | 117th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 23.8 | 91st | 25.5 | 59th |
| Yards / game | 330.8 | 102nd | 397.3 | 93rd |
| Yards / play | 4.89 | 107th | 5.21 | 54th |
| Pass yards / game | 215.5 | 78th | 234.0 | 104th |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.28 | 113th | 7.24 | 68th |
| Completion % | 64.3% | 32nd | 64.0% | 107th |
| Rush yards / game | 115.3 | 110th | 149.3 | 64th |
| Yards / carry | 3.75 | 104th | 3.75 | 35th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 33.9% | 112th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.42 | 68th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.50 | 96th | 2.33 | 48th |
| Penalty yards / game | 33.3 | 7th | — | — |
63 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →