
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 2 | @ 1Michigan | L 3–30 | -0.4 | — | Peacock |
| 2 | Sep 9 | vs 99Marshall | L 13–31 | -25.8 | — | ESPN3 |
| 3 | Sep 16 | @ 54Appalachian State | L 28–43 | -9.9 | — | ESPN+ |
| 4 | Sep 23 | vs Gardner-Webb FCS | W 44–0 | +7.8 | — | ESPN+ |
| 5 | Sep 30 | @ 86RiceCONF | L 17–24 | -8.3 | — | ESPN+ |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 12 | vs 18SMUCONF | L 10–31 | -14.6 | — | ESPN |
| 8 | Oct 21 | vs 125CharlotteCONF | L 7–10 | -18.0 | — | ESPN+ |
| 9 | Oct 28 | @ 42UTSACONF | L 27–41 | -7.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 10 | Nov 4 | vs 45TulaneCONF | L 10–13 | -2.2 | — | ESPNU |
| 11 | Nov 11 | @ 97Florida AtlanticCONF | W 22–7 | +12.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 12 | Nov 18 | @ 100NavyCONF | L 0–10 | -13.2 | — | ESPNEWS |
| 13 | Nov 25 | vs 110TulsaCONF | L 27–29 | -12.7 | — | ESPN+ |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 33.4% | 132nd | 34.4% | 5th |
| Rushing success rate | 35.7% | 128th | 29.9% | 2nd |
| Passing success rate | 31.5% | 131st | 39.0% | 39th |
| Explosive run rate | 12.2% | 102nd | 11.8% | 22nd |
| Explosive pass rate | 6.4% | 128th | 10.8% | 78th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.86 | 114th | 2.55 | 6th |
| Opportunity rate | 32.6% | 126th | 29.3% | 2nd |
| Stuff rate | 17.4% | 84th | 22.5% | 10th |
| Sack rate | 6.7% | 86th | 5.1% | 89th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 31.7% | 123rd | 42.2% | 87th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 55.6% | 102nd | 52.6% | 22nd |
| Havoc rate | 9.1% | 93rd | 9.2% | 43rd |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 17.5 | 125th | 22.4 | 40th |
| Yards / game | 277.3 | 130th | 341.4 | 37th |
| Yards / play | 4.14 | 130th | 5.13 | 46th |
| Pass yards / game | 163.9 | 123rd | 208.2 | 64th |
| Yards / pass att. | 5.07 | 132nd | 7.64 | 92nd |
| Completion % | 53.6% | 121st | 61.0% | 75th |
| Rush yards / game | 113.3 | 112th | 122.3 | 31st |
| Yards / carry | 3.53 | 110th | 3.37 | 19th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 30.3% | 125th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.75 | 109th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.58 | 102nd | 1.50 | 117th |
| Penalty yards / game | 54.3 | 79th | — | — |
63 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →