
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 2 | vs The Citadel FCS | W 34–0 | +4.3 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 9 | vs 107UAB | W 49–35 | +4.0 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 16 | @ 44Wisconsin | L 14–35 | -15.1 | — | BTN |
| 4 | Sep 23 | @ 112Ball State | W 40–3 | +22.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 5 | Sep 30 | vs 64Coastal CarolinaCONF | W 38–28 | +7.3 | — | NFL Net |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 14 | @ 22James MadisonCONF | L 13–41 | -15.1 | — | ESPN2 |
| 8 | Oct 21 | vs 127UL MonroeCONF | W 38–28 | -5.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 9 | Oct 26 | vs 85Georgia StateCONF | W 44–27 | +10.8 | — | ESPN2 |
| 10 | Nov 4 | @ 72Texas StateCONF | L 24–45 | -19.9 | — | ESPN+ |
| 11 | Nov 11 | @ 99MarshallCONF | L 33–38 | -7.8 | — | NFL Net |
| 12 | Nov 18 | vs 94Old DominionCONF | L 17–20 | -10.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 13 | Nov 25 | @ 54Appalachian StateCONF | L 27–55 | -20.3 | — | ESPNU |
| Bowls | Dec 16 | vs 62OhioNEUTRAL | L 21–41 | -19.9 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 45.2% | 40th | 45.3% | 108th |
| Rushing success rate | 48.5% | 23rd | 46.3% | 95th |
| Passing success rate | 43.5% | 46th | 44.3% | 111th |
| Explosive run rate | 16.7% | 33rd | 18.8% | 131st |
| Explosive pass rate | 8.5% | 108th | 10.9% | 82nd |
| Line yards / carry | 3.19 | 62nd | 3.20 | 82nd |
| Opportunity rate | 43.0% | 23rd | 42.5% | 116th |
| Stuff rate | 19.1% | 107th | 17.2% | 56th |
| Sack rate | 5.5% | 61st | 5.4% | 80th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 46.3% | 25th | 41.7% | 78th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 55.6% | 102nd | 71.7% | 116th |
| Havoc rate | 8.3% | 70th | 9.3% | 40th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 30.1 | 51st | 30.5 | 103rd |
| Yards / game | 419.5 | 37th | 396.1 | 91st |
| Yards / play | 5.52 | 67th | 5.90 | 100th |
| Pass yards / game | 302.2 | 13th | 223.7 | 89th |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.81 | 91st | 7.70 | 97th |
| Completion % | 65.2% | 24th | 62.9% | 101st |
| Rush yards / game | 117.2 | 108th | 161.5 | 89th |
| Yards / carry | 4.04 | 90th | 4.63 | 97th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 46.0% | 16th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 2.38 | 132nd | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.62 | 104th | 1.77 | 97th |
| Penalty yards / game | 51.8 | 71st | — | — |
71 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →