
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 2 | @ 104North Texas | W 58–21 | +25.2 | — | ESPNU |
| 2 | Sep 9 | vs 53Auburn | L 10–14 | -4.0 | — | ESPN |
| 3 | Sep 16 | vs Idaho FCS | W 31–17 | -9.2 | — | PACN |
| 4 | Sep 23 | @ 12WashingtonCONF | L 32–59 | -9.4 | — | ESPN |
| 5 | Sep 30 | vs 108Arizona StateCONF | W 24–21 | -7.1 | — | PACN |
| 6 | Oct 7 | vs 20Oregon StateCONF | L 40–52 | -6.1 | — | PACN |
| 7 | Oct 14 | @ 37UtahCONF | L 14–34 | -12.8 | — | PACN |
| 8 | — | Bye | ||||
| 9 | Oct 28 | vs 25USCCONF | L 49–50 | +3.5 | — | PACN |
| 10 | Nov 4 | @ 3OregonCONF | L 19–63 | -10.3 | — | PACN |
| 11 | Nov 11 | vs 52Washington StateCONF | W 42–39 | +2.9 | — | ESPN2 |
| 12 | Nov 18 | @ 113StanfordCONF | W 27–15 | +5.9 | — | PACN |
| 13 | Nov 25 | @ 35UCLACONF | W 33–7 | +32.1 | — | ESPN |
| Bowls | Dec 16 | vs 40Texas TechNEUTRAL | L 14–34 | -15.8 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 40.2% | 94th | 45.5% | 110th |
| Rushing success rate | 43.7% | 69th | 47.0% | 103rd |
| Passing success rate | 36.9% | 104th | 44.2% | 109th |
| Explosive run rate | 16.6% | 34th | 12.9% | 36th |
| Explosive pass rate | 10.4% | 71st | 10.8% | 78th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.43 | 17th | 3.25 | 92nd |
| Opportunity rate | 40.7% | 46th | 39.8% | 91st |
| Stuff rate | 13.7% | 31st | 14.4% | 94th |
| Sack rate | 5.1% | 54th | 3.8% | 123rd |
| 3rd-down conversion | 39.0% | 82nd | 41.8% | 81st |
| Red-zone TD rate | 69.0% | 29th | 69.1% | 108th |
| Havoc rate | 6.9% | 35th | 5.9% | 117th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 30.2 | 49th | 32.9 | 115th |
| Yards / game | 390.9 | 63rd | 414.4 | 105th |
| Yards / play | 5.33 | 78th | 5.58 | 76th |
| Pass yards / game | 218.2 | 73rd | 268.0 | 130th |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.55 | 103rd | 7.53 | 86th |
| Completion % | 59.6% | 83rd | 63.2% | 103rd |
| Rush yards / game | 172.7 | 47th | 132.9 | 37th |
| Yards / carry | 4.52 | 49th | 3.79 | 38th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 38.7% | 65th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 2.15 | 130th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.85 | 52nd | 1.85 | 88th |
| Penalty yards / game | 44.9 | 40th | — | — |
67 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →