The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 2 | vs 38Boise State | W 56–19 | +30.3 | — | ABC |
| 2 | Sep 9 | vs 110Tulsa | W 43–10 | +16.4 | — | PACN |
| 3 | Sep 16 | @ 95Michigan State | W 41–7 | +24.9 | — | Peacock |
| 4 | Sep 23 | vs 67CaliforniaCONF | W 59–32 | +21.8 | — | ESPN |
| 5 | Sep 30 | @ 17ArizonaCONF | W 31–24 | +18.7 | — | PACN |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 14 | vs 3OregonCONF | W 36–33 | +18.6 | — | ABC |
| 8 | Oct 21 | vs 108Arizona StateCONF | W 15–7 | -2.1 | — | FS1 |
| 9 | Oct 28 | @ 113StanfordCONF | W 42–33 | +2.9 | — | FS1 |
| 10 | Nov 4 | @ 25USCCONF | W 52–42 | +19.6 | — | ABC |
| 11 | Nov 11 | vs 37UtahCONF | W 35–28 | +9.1 | — | FOX |
| 12 | Nov 18 | @ 20Oregon StateCONF | W 22–20 | +12.9 | — | ABC |
| 13 | Nov 25 | vs 52Washington StateCONF | W 24–21 | +2.9 | — | FOX |
| 14 | Dec 1 | vs 3OregonNEUTRAL | W 34–31 | +21.2 | — | ABC |
| Bowls | Jan 1 | vs 5TexasNEUTRAL | W 37–31 | +22.9 | — | ESPN |
| Bowls | Jan 8 | vs 1MichiganNEUTRAL | L 13–34 | +1.1 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 52.9% | 5th | 44.6% | 98th |
| Rushing success rate | 55.0% | 4th | 51.4% | 128th |
| Passing success rate | 51.6% | 6th | 39.7% | 47th |
| Explosive run rate | 12.7% | 92nd | 18.4% | 126th |
| Explosive pass rate | 13.0% | 23rd | 8.8% | 29th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.21 | 57th | 3.69 | 132nd |
| Opportunity rate | 40.8% | 44th | 44.2% | 126th |
| Stuff rate | 15.4% | 57th | 11.0% | 126th |
| Sack rate | 2.2% | 4th | 3.7% | 124th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 46.1% | 27th | 37.8% | 46th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 72.6% | 19th | 71.1% | 113th |
| Havoc rate | 5.8% | 15th | 6.1% | 111th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 36.0 | 14th | 24.8 | 56th |
| Yards / game | 462.1 | 13th | 406.7 | 99th |
| Yards / play | 6.95 | 7th | 5.65 | 83rd |
| Pass yards / game | 343.7 | 2nd | 249.0 | 123rd |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.98 | 14th | 6.65 | 29th |
| Completion % | 65.5% | 22nd | 59.2% | 46th |
| Rush yards / game | 118.4 | 106th | 148.1 | 59th |
| Yards / carry | 4.32 | 67th | 4.69 | 103rd |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 43.9% | 30th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.33 | 58th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 0.80 | 5th | 1.47 | 122nd |
| Penalty yards / game | 68.6 | 127th | — | — |
66 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →