
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 31 | vs Southern Utah FCS | W 24–21 | -20.2 | — | PACN |
| 2 | Sep 9 | vs 43Oklahoma State | L 15–27 | -11.1 | — | FS1 |
| 3 | Sep 16 | vs 65Fresno State | L 0–29 | -28.7 | — | FS1 |
| 4 | Sep 23 | vs 25USCCONF | L 28–42 | -9.5 | — | FOX |
| 5 | Sep 30 | @ 67CaliforniaCONF | L 21–24 | -1.2 | — | PACN |
| 6 | Oct 7 | vs 83ColoradoCONF | L 24–27 | -9.0 | — | PACN |
| 7 | — | Bye | ||||
| 8 | Oct 21 | @ 12WashingtonCONF | L 7–15 | +7.6 | — | FS1 |
| 9 | Oct 28 | vs 52Washington StateCONF | W 38–27 | +10.9 | — | PACN |
| 10 | Nov 4 | @ 37UtahCONF | L 3–55 | -26.6 | — | PACN |
| 11 | Nov 11 | @ 35UCLACONF | W 17–7 | +17.4 | — | PACN |
| 12 | Nov 18 | vs 3OregonCONF | L 13–49 | -12.6 | — | FOX |
| 13 | Nov 25 | vs 17ArizonaCONF | L 23–59 | -21.6 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 38.0% | 115th | 46.8% | 121st |
| Rushing success rate | 44.9% | 57th | 47.0% | 103rd |
| Passing success rate | 32.9% | 124th | 46.6% | 126th |
| Explosive run rate | 12.2% | 102nd | 17.0% | 108th |
| Explosive pass rate | 9.3% | 93rd | 9.5% | 44th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.31 | 44th | 3.57 | 129th |
| Opportunity rate | 36.9% | 85th | 43.8% | 125th |
| Stuff rate | 12.2% | 13th | 10.6% | 129th |
| Sack rate | 5.5% | 61st | 5.5% | 78th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 34.0% | 113th | 42.1% | 84th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 60.7% | 76th | 55.6% | 33rd |
| Havoc rate | 6.0% | 21st | 4.5% | 133rd |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 17.8 | 123rd | 31.8 | 109th |
| Yards / game | 322.3 | 111th | 396.8 | 92nd |
| Yards / play | 4.58 | 122nd | 5.77 | 93rd |
| Pass yards / game | 210.3 | 88th | 245.2 | 118th |
| Yards / pass att. | 5.74 | 127th | 7.56 | 87th |
| Completion % | 55.2% | 115th | 64.8% | 116th |
| Rush yards / game | 111.9 | 114th | 133.5 | 38th |
| Yards / carry | 3.59 | 108th | 4.21 | 70th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 30.6% | 124th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.67 | 101st | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.50 | 96th | 2.17 | 62nd |
| Penalty yards / game | 51.4 | 69th | — | — |
62 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →