The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 2 | vs 64Coastal Carolina | W 27–13 | +11.3 | — | ESPN |
| 2 | Sep 9 | @ 109San Diego State | W 35–10 | +19.1 | — | CBS |
| 3 | Sep 16 | vs North Carolina Central FCS | W 59–7 | +10.6 | — | PACN |
| 4 | Sep 23 | @ 37UtahCONF | L 7–14 | +0.2 | — | FOX |
| 5 | — | Bye | ||||
| 6 | Oct 7 | vs 52Washington StateCONF | W 25–17 | +7.9 | — | PACN |
| 7 | Oct 14 | @ 20Oregon StateCONF | L 24–36 | -1.1 | — | FOX |
| 8 | Oct 21 | @ 113StanfordCONF | W 42–7 | +21.7 | — | ESPN |
| 9 | Oct 28 | vs 83ColoradoCONF | W 28–16 | +6.0 | — | ABC |
| 10 | Nov 4 | @ 17ArizonaCONF | L 10–27 | -5.3 | — | FS1 |
| 11 | Nov 11 | vs 108Arizona StateCONF | L 7–17 | -20.1 | — | PACN |
| 12 | Nov 18 | @ 25USCCONF | W 38–20 | +27.6 | — | ABC |
| 13 | Nov 25 | vs 67CaliforniaCONF | L 7–33 | -28.0 | — | ESPN |
| Bowls | Dec 16 | vs 38Boise StateNEUTRAL | W 35–22 | +17.3 | — | ABC |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 43.4% | 59th | 37.2% | 14th |
| Rushing success rate | 45.9% | 46th | 37.7% | 19th |
| Passing success rate | 40.8% | 70th | 36.9% | 21st |
| Explosive run rate | 17.7% | 21st | 10.4% | 11th |
| Explosive pass rate | 10.6% | 67th | 8.2% | 17th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.37 | 30th | 2.67 | 8th |
| Opportunity rate | 40.9% | 41st | 33.4% | 13th |
| Stuff rate | 16.3% | 66th | 24.7% | 4th |
| Sack rate | 8.5% | 113th | 7.8% | 18th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 47.2% | 21st | 36.9% | 36th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 55.6% | 102nd | 37.5% | 1st |
| Havoc rate | 8.9% | 83rd | 11.2% | 10th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 26.5 | 72nd | 18.4 | 14th |
| Yards / game | 427.1 | 32nd | 301.5 | 10th |
| Yards / play | 5.67 | 57th | 4.41 | 7th |
| Pass yards / game | 229.2 | 60th | 199.5 | 48th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.27 | 73rd | 6.38 | 14th |
| Completion % | 58.0% | 94th | 60.7% | 65th |
| Rush yards / game | 197.9 | 17th | 80.8 | 2nd |
| Yards / carry | 4.88 | 27th | 2.65 | 3rd |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 44.4% | 24th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.69 | 105th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 3.23 | 116th | 3.31 | 6th |
| Penalty yards / game | 58.1 | 98th | — | — |
75 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →