
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 26 | vs 62Ohio | W 20–13 | +4.6 | — | FS1 |
| 1 | Sep 2 | vs Idaho State FCS | W 36–28 | -15.2 | — | CBSSN |
| 2 | Sep 9 | vs 35UCLA | L 10–35 | -22.1 | — | CBS |
| 3 | Sep 16 | @ 20Oregon State | L 9–26 | -6.1 | — | FS1 |
| 4 | Sep 22 | vs 38Boise StateCONF | L 31–34 | -1.2 | — | CBSSN |
| 5 | Sep 30 | @ 48Air ForceCONF | L 10–49 | -23.5 | — | CBSSN |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 14 | @ 126Hawai'iCONF | W 41–34 | -3.1 | — | CBSSN |
| 8 | Oct 21 | vs 132NevadaCONF | L 0–6 | -24.7 | — | FS2 |
| 9 | — | Bye | ||||
| 10 | Nov 4 | vs 106Utah StateCONF | L 24–32 | -17.1 | — | FS1 |
| 11 | Nov 11 | @ 111Colorado StateCONF | L 19–22 | -8.9 | — | CBSSN |
| 12 | Nov 18 | @ 59San José StateCONF | L 13–24 | -7.4 | — | CBSSN |
| 13 | Nov 25 | vs 65Fresno StateCONF | W 33–18 | +12.1 | — | FS1 |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 42.3% | 69th | 47.2% | 123rd |
| Rushing success rate | 43.5% | 71st | 53.4% | 132nd |
| Passing success rate | 40.7% | 72nd | 41.9% | 81st |
| Explosive run rate | 11.2% | 117th | 15.9% | 91st |
| Explosive pass rate | 9.7% | 83rd | 10.0% | 57th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.11 | 77th | 3.65 | 131st |
| Opportunity rate | 37.1% | 80th | 46.3% | 132nd |
| Stuff rate | 14.9% | 49th | 10.9% | 127th |
| Sack rate | 5.4% | 60th | 3.5% | 126th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 40.3% | 65th | 40.7% | 73rd |
| Red-zone TD rate | 54.5% | 108th | 68.8% | 104th |
| Havoc rate | 5.8% | 15th | 5.0% | 129th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 20.5 | 113th | 26.9 | 71st |
| Yards / game | 326.0 | 109th | 406.9 | 100th |
| Yards / play | 4.91 | 106th | 6.01 | 113th |
| Pass yards / game | 171.8 | 115th | 231.8 | 101st |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.46 | 106th | 7.38 | 82nd |
| Completion % | 63.3% | 47th | 56.6% | 19th |
| Rush yards / game | 154.3 | 72nd | 165.8 | 96th |
| Yards / carry | 4.08 | 87th | 4.95 | 116th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 35.1% | 106th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.42 | 68th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.00 | 63rd | 1.50 | 117th |
| Penalty yards / game | 44.0 | 37th | — | — |
61 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →