
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 2 | vs 52Washington State | L 24–50 | -24.8 | — | CBSSN |
| 2 | — | Bye | ||||
| 3 | Sep 16 | @ 83Colorado | L 35–43 | -8.9 | — | ESPN |
| 4 | Sep 23 | @ 103Middle Tennessee | W 31–23 | +4.7 | — | ESPN+ |
| 5 | Sep 30 | vs Utah Tech FCS | W 41–20 | -2.2 | — | |
| 6 | Oct 7 | @ 106Utah StateCONF | L 24–44 | -24.0 | — | |
| 7 | Oct 14 | vs 38Boise StateCONF | W 31–30 | +2.8 | — | FS1 |
| 8 | Oct 21 | @ 61UNLVCONF | L 23–25 | +0.8 | — | |
| 9 | Oct 28 | vs 48Air ForceCONF | L 13–30 | -16.3 | — | CBSSN |
| 10 | Nov 3 | @ 71WyomingCONF | L 15–24 | -7.9 | — | CBSSN |
| 11 | Nov 11 | vs 109San Diego StateCONF | W 22–19 | -7.4 | — | CBSSN |
| 12 | Nov 18 | vs 132NevadaCONF | W 30–20 | -8.7 | — | |
| 13 | Nov 25 | @ 126Hawai'iCONF | L 24–27 | -13.1 | — |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 41.9% | 76th | 43.5% | 83rd |
| Rushing success rate | 39.2% | 116th | 43.0% | 62nd |
| Passing success rate | 43.5% | 46th | 44.0% | 108th |
| Explosive run rate | 9.0% | 130th | 15.9% | 91st |
| Explosive pass rate | 7.9% | 116th | 11.3% | 94th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.83 | 121st | 3.07 | 50th |
| Opportunity rate | 35.4% | 106th | 41.4% | 107th |
| Stuff rate | 19.3% | 110th | 18.6% | 38th |
| Sack rate | 2.4% | 5th | 7.7% | 22nd |
| 3rd-down conversion | 39.6% | 78th | 45.0% | 110th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 55.6% | 102nd | 58.7% | 52nd |
| Havoc rate | 7.2% | 43rd | 10.3% | 19th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 26.1 | 76th | 29.9 | 97th |
| Yards / game | 399.3 | 56th | 415.9 | 107th |
| Yards / play | 5.66 | 58th | 5.50 | 71st |
| Pass yards / game | 306.5 | 9th | 231.9 | 102nd |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.34 | 68th | 7.70 | 98th |
| Completion % | 62.1% | 61st | 71.5% | 133rd |
| Rush yards / game | 92.8 | 125th | 166.3 | 98th |
| Yards / carry | 3.35 | 118th | 4.11 | 63rd |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 41.1% | 50th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 2.08 | 128th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.08 | 13th | 2.75 | 21st |
| Penalty yards / game | 69.8 | 129th | — | — |
60 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →