Pac-12 · 2026

Colorado State Rams

Head coach Jim Mora · Canvas Stadium
3-51-3 in conference
TDC Rank
#116
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
-13.7
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+0.5
67th in FBS
Defense
-14.2
138th in FBS
Schedule so far
-5.0
78th toughest
Projected
4.4-7.6
bowl-eligible 7%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

-13.7 now, -13.5 preseason · down 11 spots since preseason
-15-10-50FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9#116

Final record odds

4.4-7.6 expected · most likely 4-8 (54%)
8%3-954%4-832%5-76%6-6

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 5vs120WyomingW 35–13 ›+3.4—USA Net
2Sep 12vsSouthern Utah FCSW 58–24 ›+2.8—CBSSN
3Sep 19vs21BYUL 23–41 ›-7.4—CBS
4Sep 26@70UTSAL 45–59 ›-9.8—ESPNU
5Oct 3vs62Oregon StateCONFL 26–56 ›-27.5—USA Net
6—Bye
7Oct 15@60Texas StateCONFL 27–66 ›-22.6—CBSSN
8Oct 24vs98San Diego StateCONFW 56–49 ›-6.3—CW
9Oct 31@86Utah StateCONFL 14–31 ›-18.8—USA Net
10Nov 7vs36Boise StateCONFBoise State −19.0 · o/u 72.5—10%USA Net
11Nov 14@96Washington StateCONFWashington State −9.8 · o/u 62.3—26%CBSSN
12Nov 21@75Fresno StateCONFFresno State −15.9 · o/u 66.0—14%CW
13Nov 28vsTBD FCSCONFColorado State −19.8 · o/u 68.2—87%

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.27015th+0.358138th
Success rate46.7%32nd53.8%138th
Explosiveness1.4215th1.28394th
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate46.6%35th54.9%138th
Rushing success rate47.6%30th53.5%137th
Passing success rate45.8%35th56.8%138th
Explosive run rate10.2%120th19.2%136th
Explosive pass rate11.0%53rd15.8%136th
Line yards / carry3.0192nd3.74137th
Opportunity rate40.3%54th46.5%137th
Stuff rate17.5%81st11.5%134th
Sack rate1.7%6th3.2%125th
3rd-down conversion45.7%33rd55.3%137th
Red-zone TD rate85.7%2nd83.9%137th
Havoc rate11.9%42nd11.6%117th
Box score · season totals
Points / game35.525th42.4138th
Yards / game435.531st526.4138th
Yards / play6.4320th7.89138th
Pass yards / game270.926th265.3129th
Yards / pass att.7.5065th10.61138th
Completion %64.6%51st71.5%136th
Rush yards / game164.659th261.1138th
Yards / carry5.3015th6.43138th
3rd-down conv. %46.4%24th52.3%137th
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.0035th1.7514th
Sacks / game (allowed · made)0.624th1.12123rd
Penalty yards / game39.312th48.5106th

Charting

Where the ball goes, read from the play-by-play: air yards, yards after the catch, run direction, pressure and tempo. Ranks run highest to lowest

Avg. depth of throw
7.2
119th of 138
YAC per catch
6.7
12th of 138
Deep shots (20+)
12%
97th of 138
Shotgun
90%
112th of 138
No-huddle
83%
38th of 138
QB pressured
13%
78th of 138 (1st = most)
Defense: pressure rate
15%
65th of 138
Defense: YAC allowed
7.7
1st of 138 (1st = most)

Offense: where it throws277 throws charted

65% comp7.2 avg. depth6.7 YAC/catch12% 20+ air yds20–5 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 33 throws (12%), 28 caught (85%), 202 yds, 6.1 per throw3385% · 202yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 10 throws (4%), 5 caught (50%), 24 yds, 2.4 per throw1050% · 24yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 21 throws (8%), 15 caught (71%), 115 yds, 5.5 per throw2171% · 115yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 9 throws (3%), 8 caught (89%), 170 yds, 18.9 per throw989% · 170yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 4 caught (57%), 96 yds, 13.7 per throw757% · 96yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 9 throws (3%), 5 caught (56%), 152 yds, 16.9 per throw956% · 152yLeft, 30+ air yards: 5 throws (2%), 1 caught (20%), 37 yds, 7.4 per throw520% · 37yMiddle, Behind air yards: 6 throws (2%), 6 caught (100%), 93 yds, 15.5 per throw6100% · 93yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 9 throws (3%), 7 caught (78%), 37 yds, 4.1 per throw978% · 37yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 26 throws (9%), 15 caught (58%), 144 yds, 5.5 per throw2658% · 144yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 2 caught (29%), 21 yds, 3.0 per throw729% · 21yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 6 throws (2%), 3 caught (50%), 66 yds, 11.0 per throw650% · 66yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 4 throws (1%), 1 caught (25%), 54 yds, 13.5 per throw425% · 54yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 5 throws (2%), 3 caught (60%), 188 yds, 37.6 per throw560% · 188yRight, Behind air yards: 46 throws (17%), 41 caught (89%), 196 yds, 4.3 per throw4689% · 196yRight, 0–4 air yards: 21 throws (8%), 11 caught (52%), 80 yds, 3.8 per throw2152% · 80yRight, 5–9 air yards: 29 throws (10%), 15 caught (52%), 147 yds, 5.1 per throw2952% · 147yRight, 10–14 air yards: 8 throws (3%), 2 caught (25%), 29 yds, 3.6 per throw825% · 29yRight, 15–19 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 4 caught (80%), 73 yds, 14.6 per throw580% · 73yRight, 20–29 air yards: 8 throws (3%), 4 caught (50%), 120 yds, 15.0 per throw850% · 120yRight, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (1%), 2 caught (67%), 87 yds, 29.0 per throw367% · 87y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Defense: where it's thrown on184 throws charted

71% comp7.7 avg. depth7.7 YAC/catch12% 20+ air yds13–9 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 19 throws (10%), 15 caught (79%), 165 yds, 8.7 per throw1979% · 165yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 18 throws (10%), 16 caught (89%), 130 yds, 7.2 per throw1889% · 130yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 12 throws (7%), 10 caught (83%), 105 yds, 8.8 per throw1283% · 105yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 7 throws (4%), 5 caught (71%), 81 yds, 11.6 per throw771% · 81yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 3 caught (50%), 57 yds, 9.5 per throw650% · 57yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 9 throws (5%), 3 caught (33%), 78 yds, 8.7 per throw933% · 78yLeft, 30+ air yards: 5 throws (3%), 3 caught (60%), 158 yds, 31.6 per throw560% · 158yMiddle, Behind air yards: 4 throws (2%), 4 caught (100%), 27 yds, 6.8 per throw4100% · 27yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 3 caught (50%), 32 yds, 5.3 per throw650% · 32yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 8 throws (4%), 7 caught (88%), 143 yds, 17.9 per throw888% · 143yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 8 throws (4%), 3 caught (38%), 59 yds, 7.4 per throw838% · 59yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 3 throws (2%), 2 caught (67%), 97 yds, 32.3 per throw367% · 97yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 1 throws (1%), 1 caught (100%), 29 yds, 29.0 per throw1100% · 29yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 1 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw10% · 0yRight, Behind air yards: 19 throws (10%), 17 caught (89%), 122 yds, 6.4 per throw1989% · 122yRight, 0–4 air yards: 19 throws (10%), 15 caught (79%), 137 yds, 7.2 per throw1979% · 137yRight, 5–9 air yards: 20 throws (11%), 17 caught (85%), 162 yds, 8.1 per throw2085% · 162yRight, 10–14 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 2 caught (33%), 31 yds, 5.2 per throw633% · 31yRight, 15–19 air yards: 5 throws (3%), 5 caught (100%), 111 yds, 22.2 per throw5100% · 111yRight, 20–29 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 3 caught (50%), 93 yds, 15.5 per throw650% · 93yRight, 30+ air yards: 2 throws (1%), 2 caught (100%), 83 yds, 41.5 per throw2100% · 83y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Offense: run direction229 carries

Left
30%
5.9 YPC · 44% succ.
Middle
39%
4.7 YPC · 47% succ.
Right
31%
7.3 YPC · 49% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Defense: runs faced298 carries

Left
21%
7.5 YPC · 55% succ.
Middle
58%
7.2 YPC · 50% succ.
Right
21%
6.5 YPC · 53% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Pressure = the QB was hurried or sacked, as the play-by-play records it (it misses some, so compare teams rather than reading it as an exact rate). Every snap counts, including garbage time and FCS games.

Roster

100 players · Head coach Jim Mora

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
2K'saan FarrarQBSO6' 3"215Newport News, VA
3Darius CurryQBJR5' 10"165Long Beach, CA
8Hauss HejnyQBSO6' 0"206Aledo, TX
13Tommy PoholskyQBSR6' 1"210Evergreen, CO
16Darnell KellyQBFRBarnesville, GA
19Carter EmanuelQBFROrlando, FL
1Mel BrownRBSR5' 9"180Stone Mountain, GA
7Malichi GreavesRBSO5' 9"190Queens, NY
11Durell RobinsonRBSR6' 0"207Seat Pleasant, MD
22Cedric RossRBFRLubbock, TX
23Damian Moore Jr.RBFROrlando, FL
24Jayden FoxRBFR5' 9"170Englewood, CO
34Amare GomezRBSO5' 9"180San Diego, CA
44Oliver LundbergRBJR5' 10"200Gothenburg, Sweden
4Lavon BrownWRSR6' 0"195Chatsworth, CA
6Jackson HarperWRSR6' 2"200Simsbury, CT
9Jordan MosleyWRSR6' 0"195Mobile, AL
10Tommy MaherWRJR5' 10"170Redondo Beach, CA
15Terrence Smith Jr.WRSO5' 11"170Aiken, SC
20Jaivyn MooreWRJRPeoria, IL
25Eli RichWRFRBoise, ID
28Hudson CocchiaraWRFRAlpharetta, GA
29Brandon Brown Jr.WRKilleen, TX
81Troy FosterWRFRLos Alamitos, CA
82Daven AmosWRSOPittsburg, CA
83Yasser JacksonWRFROakland, CA
84Stephon DailyWRJR6' 3"180Phoenix, AZ
87Antoine Martin Jr.WRSO5' 11"170Houston, TX
17Brock CampTESO6' 5"250Columbia, MO
18Pearce Spurlin IIITEJR6' 7"230Santa Rosa Beach, FL
26Ryan McConnellTESR6' 1"225Erie, CO
30Dominic ToyTEJR6' 6"225Chester, PA
85Grant HouserTESO6' 6"230Wapakoneta, OH
88Nader ChirchiTESR6' 7"265Alexandria, VA
52Kentez AllenOLSO6' 2"295Mcdonough, GA
54Quinton HarrisOLSR6' 8"315Arlington, TX
61Diego RodriguezOLJR6' 5"290Hillside, NJ
62Packs AhoveloOLFRWaimanalo, HI
63John HolthausOLJR6' 7"285Portola Valley, CA
65Phillip OconOLJR6' 3"300South Pasadena, CA
68Jeremiah CostillaOLJRTracy, CA
70Berlin LillardOLJR6' 4"365Oakland, CA
71Zach SmithOLJR6' 8"300Highlands Ranch, CO
73Braden HalesOLJR6' 5"305Olathe, KS
74Payton StewartOLJR6' 6"308Kelso, WA
75Sione NetaneOLSO6' 3"350San Mateo, CA
76Toriyan JohnsonOLSR6' 8"330Dorchester, MA
78Uluaki TatafuOLFRWaimanalo, HI
10Brandon KelleyDLSR6' 6"235Pottstown, PA
52Cleto CholDLSR6' 6"270Lynn, MA
55Desman ManuelDLFRDallas, TX
58Peyton GarrettDLJR6' 2"230Parker, CO
71Ismael El BouomraniDLSOFort Myers, FL
77Jack MoranDLJR6' 6"255Arvada, CO
90Keegan ShankDLJR6' 4"255Scottsdale, AZ
93Robby HarrisonDLSR6' 4"320Greenwood, SC
94Alton Tarber IVDLSR6' 4"330Pompano Beach, FL
95Gabe JonesDLJR6' 4"290Dallas, TX
96Tyrone FittenDLFRHogansville, GA
97Amare BellDLFRPhoenix, AZ
99TaVeon RobinsonDLJROlathe, KS
2Oumar DiomandeLBSR6' 1"230Bronx, NY
11Khamani PottsLBSRRochester, MI
16Ace BrownLBFRYoungstown, OH
19Nykobi BrownLBSO6' 3"250Valdosta, GA
23Jaseim MitchellLBSR6' 1"225Colorado Springs, CO
27Jaylen KingLBFRClayton, NC
28Marc PrettoLBSR6' 2"225Montclair, NJ
34Trey DennisonLBFREdmonds, WA
35Jaden HernandezLBFRCarson, CA
36Dakota RichLBFRLittleton, CO
45Caleb OtlewskiLBSR6' 4"235Melissa, TX
50Josh AyersLBSR6' 2"205Castle Rock, CO
56Kenyon AgursLBSR6' 4"240Inglewood, CA
0Caleb PresleyCBJR6' 0"177Seattle, WA
5D'Angelo Hagans Jr.CBSO6' 0"195Las Vegas, NV
6Elijah BrownCBJR6' 2"185Los Angeles, CA
7Jordan LessardCBSRMontreal, Canada
17CJ BlockerCBSR6' 0"180Houston, TX
20Jayden CortellCBSR5' 11"180San Diego, CA
22Makih JohnsonCBSO6' 2"185Tarpon Springs, FL
26Thomas Cook Jr.CBFRFort Worth, TX
30Kallen MartinezCBFRTampa, FL
32Justin LewisCBFRFontana, CA
33Ty StaplesCBColumbus, OH
1D'Mon BrinsonSSR5' 10"180Miami, FL
3Dagan MyersSJR5' 10"185Morrison, CO
4Dylan PhelpsSSR6' 3"190Las Vegas, NV
12Jace BellahSSR5' 11"190Pueblo, CO
13Elijah Mc-CantosSSR6' 0"190Little Haiti, FL
15Tre'Shawn MooreSJR6' 1"190Baxley, GA
18AJ NolandSJR6' 1"185Tualatin, OR
25Jermaine Santana-DiazSFRMissouri City, TX
44Atticus TillmanSFRArvada, CO
36Casey CarrPKSO6' 1"190San Jose, CA
40Kali NgumaPKJR5' 10"186Mission, TX
39Nathan SutcliffePJR6' 6"245Buninyong, Australia
99Cavan CraigPJR5' 11"190Charleston, SC
42Declan McKernanLSFRBoulder, CO
56Walker HimebauchLSSR6' 1"225Monument, CO

Program History

Final TDC rating, rank and record for every season since 2014

Final rating by season

Best: 2014 (+3.5, #46) · worst: 2022 (-13.0, #125)
-15-10-50+5FBS avg201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025#123
SeasonRecordConfRankRatingOffDef
2026 so far3-51-3#116-13.7+0.5-14.2
20252-101-7#123-11.3-6.5-4.8
20248-56-1#98-5.1-3.8-1.3
20235-73-5#111-8.5-3.7-4.8
20223-93-5#125-13.0-11.6-1.4
20213-92-6#100-5.7-2.7-3.0
20201-31-3#102-6.9-1.5-5.4
20194-83-5#107-7.3-0.7-6.6
20183-92-6#116-12.1-4.9-7.2
20177-65-3#64+0.1+3.5-3.4
20167-65-3#57+1.1+3.9-2.7
20157-65-3#82-2.9-0.6-2.3
201410-36-2#46+3.5+3.0+0.5

Colorado State's past seasons use the same rating model as this one. Click a season to see its full page.

Updated Nov 3, 12:25 PM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →