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Pac-12 · 2026

Oregon State Beavers

Head coach Jamarcus Shephard · Reser Stadium
5-33-1 in conference
TDC Rank
#62
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
+2.4
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+3.1
49th in FBS
Defense
-0.7
72nd in FBS
Schedule so far
-7.3
90th toughest
Projected
6.6-4.4
bowl-eligible 93%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

+2.4 now, -15.0 preseason · up 54 spots since preseason
-100FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9#62

Final record odds

6.6-4.4 expected · most likely 7-4 (45%)
7%5-636%6-545%7-412%8-3

Team Leaders

National leaderboards →

Passing
Braden Atkinson
QB · SO · 1st in FBS
2979yds
25 TD · 2 INT
Rushing
AJ Newberry
RB · SR · 93rd in FBS
465yds
72 car · 3 TD
Receiving
Jesse Legree
WR · FR · 1st in FBS
1110yds
53 rec · 14 TD
Tackles
Aiden Sullivan
LB · SR · 84th in FBS
60tkl
4 TFL
Sacks
Takari Hickle
LB · SR · 17th in FBS
6sacks
6 hurries
Interceptions
Sailasa Vadrawale III
DB · JR · 49th in FBS
2INT
5 PD

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 5@32HoustonL 20–33 ›+2.5—ESPNEWS
2Sep 12vs12Texas TechL 24–35 ›+3.1—CBS
3Sep 19vsMontana FCSW 52–17 ›+12.0—USA Net
4Sep 26@137UTEPW 33–7 ›+2.9—MW+
5Oct 3@116Colorado StateCONFW 56–26 ›+16.1—USA Net
6Oct 10vs98San Diego StateCONFW 66–14 ›+20.5—USA Net
7Oct 17vs96Washington StateCONFW 48–30 ›+6.7—USA Net
8—Bye
9Oct 31@75Fresno StateCONFL 22–38 ›-13.9—USA Net
10Nov 7vs60Texas StateCONFOregon State −3.2 · o/u 66.8—58%CW
11Nov 14@36Boise StateCONFBoise State −10.3 · o/u 61.5—25%USA Net
12Nov 21vs86Utah StateCONFOregon State −11.6 · o/u 47.4—78%CBSSN

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.26717th+0.10882nd
Success rate48.8%21st40.2%57th
Explosiveness1.29546th1.23267th
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate49.9%13th40.4%57th
Rushing success rate54.1%1st40.7%57th
Passing success rate47.7%26th40.1%63rd
Explosive run rate15.3%38th11.6%46th
Explosive pass rate11.4%47th9.0%53rd
Line yards / carry3.569th2.9964th
Opportunity rate43.5%15th36.1%51st
Stuff rate11.8%8th17.1%85th
Sack rate3.4%24th6.4%51st
3rd-down conversion43.7%44th40.2%75th
Red-zone TD rate74.2%14th57.9%64th
Havoc rate11.9%42nd15.1%41st
Box score · season totals
Points / game40.17th25.071st
Yards / game517.44th351.162nd
Yards / play6.867th5.1661st
Pass yards / game383.41st204.555th
Yards / pass att.8.8019th6.5235th
Completion %67.5%22nd63.4%93rd
Rush yards / game134.0103rd146.674th
Yards / carry4.4067th4.2686th
3rd-down conv. %45.7%27th38.5%78th
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)0.7515th1.2558th
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.7555th2.2552nd
Penalty yards / game57.374th58.953rd

Charting

Where the ball goes, read from the play-by-play: air yards, yards after the catch, run direction, pressure and tempo. Ranks run highest to lowest

Avg. depth of throw
9.2
51st of 138
YAC per catch
7.0
8th of 138
Deep shots (20+)
18%
18th of 138
Shotgun
96%
62nd of 138
No-huddle
37%
90th of 138
QB pressured
12%
83rd of 138 (1st = most)
Defense: pressure rate
18%
16th of 138
Defense: YAC allowed
4.8
101st of 138 (1st = most)

Offense: where it throws341 throws charted

68% comp9.2 avg. depth7.0 YAC/catch18% 20+ air yds29–2 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 33 throws (10%), 30 caught (91%), 288 yds, 8.7 per throw3391% · 288yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 31 throws (9%), 24 caught (77%), 142 yds, 4.6 per throw3177% · 142yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 20 throws (6%), 15 caught (75%), 159 yds, 8.0 per throw2075% · 159yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 6 throws (2%), 2 caught (33%), 32 yds, 5.3 per throw633% · 32yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 6 throws (2%), 3 caught (50%), 59 yds, 9.8 per throw650% · 59yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 8 throws (2%), 4 caught (50%), 94 yds, 11.8 per throw850% · 94yLeft, 30+ air yards: 8 throws (2%), 1 caught (13%), 71 yds, 8.9 per throw813% · 71yMiddle, Behind air yards: 8 throws (2%), 8 caught (100%), 32 yds, 4.0 per throw8100% · 32yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 24 throws (7%), 16 caught (67%), 154 yds, 6.4 per throw2467% · 154yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 15 throws (4%), 11 caught (73%), 143 yds, 9.5 per throw1573% · 143yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 13 throws (4%), 8 caught (62%), 124 yds, 9.5 per throw1362% · 124yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 11 throws (3%), 7 caught (64%), 166 yds, 15.1 per throw1164% · 166yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 8 throws (2%), 5 caught (63%), 151 yds, 18.9 per throw863% · 151yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 9 throws (3%), 2 caught (22%), 138 yds, 15.3 per throw922% · 138yRight, Behind air yards: 28 throws (8%), 24 caught (86%), 167 yds, 6.0 per throw2886% · 167yRight, 0–4 air yards: 26 throws (8%), 23 caught (88%), 183 yds, 7.0 per throw2688% · 183yRight, 5–9 air yards: 30 throws (9%), 22 caught (73%), 203 yds, 6.8 per throw3073% · 203yRight, 10–14 air yards: 14 throws (4%), 7 caught (50%), 98 yds, 7.0 per throw1450% · 98yRight, 15–19 air yards: 13 throws (4%), 8 caught (62%), 158 yds, 12.2 per throw1362% · 158yRight, 20–29 air yards: 21 throws (6%), 8 caught (38%), 254 yds, 12.1 per throw2138% · 254yRight, 30+ air yards: 9 throws (3%), 2 caught (22%), 146 yds, 16.2 per throw922% · 146y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Defense: where it's thrown on236 throws charted

63% comp7.8 avg. depth4.8 YAC/catch10% 20+ air yds12–7 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 10 throws (4%), 8 caught (80%), 22 yds, 2.2 per throw1080% · 22yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 29 throws (12%), 25 caught (86%), 141 yds, 4.9 per throw2986% · 141yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 20 throws (8%), 14 caught (70%), 103 yds, 5.2 per throw2070% · 103yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 10 throws (4%), 6 caught (60%), 120 yds, 12.0 per throw1060% · 120yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 3 caught (43%), 51 yds, 7.3 per throw743% · 51yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 3 throws (1%), 3 caught (100%), 98 yds, 32.7 per throw3100% · 98yLeft, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (2%), 2 caught (50%), 84 yds, 21.0 per throw450% · 84yMiddle, Behind air yards: 2 throws (1%), 1 caught (50%), 2 yds, 1.0 per throw250% · 2yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 9 throws (4%), 6 caught (67%), 32 yds, 3.6 per throw967% · 32yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 16 throws (7%), 8 caught (50%), 83 yds, 5.2 per throw1650% · 83yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 10 throws (4%), 4 caught (40%), 39 yds, 3.9 per throw1040% · 39yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 3 caught (60%), 63 yds, 12.6 per throw560% · 63yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 1 throws (0%), 1 caught (100%), 18 yds, 18.0 per throw1100% · 18yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (2%), 2 caught (50%), 83 yds, 20.8 per throw450% · 83yRight, Behind air yards: 28 throws (12%), 22 caught (79%), 161 yds, 5.8 per throw2879% · 161yRight, 0–4 air yards: 24 throws (10%), 21 caught (88%), 165 yds, 6.9 per throw2488% · 165yRight, 5–9 air yards: 26 throws (11%), 18 caught (69%), 195 yds, 7.5 per throw2669% · 195yRight, 10–14 air yards: 11 throws (5%), 4 caught (36%), 50 yds, 4.5 per throw1136% · 50yRight, 15–19 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw70% · 0yRight, 20–29 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw50% · 0yRight, 30+ air yards: 5 throws (2%), 1 caught (20%), 40 yds, 8.0 per throw520% · 40y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Offense: run direction219 carries

Left
18%
5.2 YPC · 45% succ.
Middle
68%
5.4 YPC · 52% succ.
Right
14%
4.6 YPC · 47% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Defense: runs faced242 carries

Left
21%
5.9 YPC · 47% succ.
Middle
55%
4.7 YPC · 42% succ.
Right
24%
5.6 YPC · 42% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Pressure = the QB was hurried or sacked, as the play-by-play records it (it misses some, so compare teams rather than reading it as an exact rate). Every snap counts, including garbage time and FCS games.

Roster

100 players · Head coach Jamarcus Shephard

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
2Braden AtkinsonQBSO6' 1"208Raleigh, NC
6Maalik MurphyQBSR6' 5"238Inglewood, CA
10Brady JonesQBSR6' 4"210Murrieta, CA
13Danny LearyQBFR6' 3"185Portland, OR
19Isaiah ArriazaQBFR5' 9"182La Verne, CA
3Cornell Hatcher Jr.RBSO6' 0"210Corona, CA
22Tre GarrisonRBFR5' 10"190New Orleans, LA
23AJ NewberryRBSR6' 1"200Grand Prairie, TX
25Kourdey GlassRBFR5' 10"210Hanford, CA
27Rocco De La RosaRBFR6' 1"202Philomath, OR
33Skyler JacksonRBFR6' 1"220Las Vegas, NV
34Jake ReichleRBSR6' 2"225Lake Oswego, OR
0Aaron ButlerWRSO6' 0"180Calabasas, CA
1Adonis McDanielWRSR5' 8"172Columbia, SC
4Xayvion NolandWRJR5' 6"170San Diego, CA
5Karson BoschmaWRSR6' 3"202Tigard, OR
7Aeryn HamptonWRSO5' 10"194Daingerfield, TX
12Jesse LegreeWRFR5' 10"172Baltimore, MD
14Eddie FreauffWRSO6' 4"220Prineville, OR
15Jameson PowellWRFR5' 10"175Folsom, CA
16Cynai ThomasWRFR6' 3"188East Palo Alto, CA
17Malachi DurantWRSO6' 2"190Seattle, WA
18Jayden PadgettWRFR6' 4"202Tampa, FL
21MJ KennybrewWRFR6' 0"185Portland, OR
41Jhae DrummerWRSR5' 10"190Long Beach, CA
88Ross NicksonWRJR6' 2"190Los Angeles, CA
8DeCorion TempleTESR6' 6"245Ypsilanti, MI
80Eric OlsenTESR6' 5"240St. George, UT
81Landon CookTEFR6' 5"220Concord, CA
82Gabe MilbournTESR6' 5"250Sonora, CA
84Cody SiegnerTEFR6' 7"255Crane, OR
87Jackson BowersTEJR6' 5"255Mesa, AZ
50Teko ShoatsOLJR6' 3"295Miami, FL
51Maddox ConwayOLFR6' 5"290Corvallis, OR
52Tanu A'aituiOLFR6' 3"285Layton, UT
56Carter GuillaumeOLSO6' 1"295Louisville, KY
59Frankie PetuyaOLJR6' 5"318Novato, CA
61Jake NormoyleOLFR6' 4"300West Linn, OR
65Peter LangiOLFR6' 4"380San Francisco, CA
69Kwan JohnsonOLSO6' 5"305Blue Island, IL
70Michael LangiOLFR6' 2"285San Bruno, CA
71Josiah TimoteoOLJR6' 5"310Waianae, HI
72Noah ThomasOLFR6' 6"305Vancouver, WA
74Jacob AndersonOLJR6' 6"300Billings, MT
75Will LarkinsOLJR6' 5"312Hollywood, FL
76Ben HartmanOLJR6' 5"315Austin, TX
78Nathan EluOLSR6' 5"320San Mateo, CA
79Tyler VoltinOLSR6' 5"335Stayton, OR
45Jesse MyersDTFR6' 3"256Ukiah, CA
59Tevita Pome'eDTJR6' 3"310Hofoa, Tonga
60Tiger BlackDTJR6' 1"310Roseburg, OR
62Jacob SchusterDTSR6' 2"330Lacey, WA
90Daniel MatagiDTSR6' 0"305Chehalis, WA
91Jaylen HillDTFR6' 5"305Portland, OR
92Nick NorrisDTSR6' 5"285Fort Morgan, CO
93Lolani FinauDTJR6' 3"285Hawthorne, CA
94Cameron HewittDTSO6' 2"320Pearl, MS
96Luke LevengoodDTSR6' 3"275Vacaville, CA
97Tyler BaileyDTJR6' 2"308Hammond, LA
1Dylan LayneLBSR6' 2"225Lake Oswego, OR
2Aiden SullivanLBSR6' 1"230Twentynine Palms, CA
3Jabari OdoemenemLBSR6' 1"234Woodbridge, VA
9Raesjon DavisLBSR6' 0"228Norco, CA
10Logan KnappLBFR6' 7"255Clayton, CA
12Gyriece GoodmanLBSR6' 2"212De Pere, WI
13Jeremiah BrownLBFR6' 2"205Menifee, CA
14Kord ShawLBSR6' 4"230Ogden, UT
17Ish FindlayterLBJR6' 4"260Toronto, CA
18Jarrel ComerLBJR6' 4"245Gainesville, FL
42Caleb MetznerLBFR6' 2"256Mobile, AL
44Takari HickleLBSR6' 3"270Tenino, WA
47Tyree BlakeLBSR6' 2"230Portland, OR
48Jessaia MoalaLBJR5' 11"232Syracuse, UT
50Will HaverlandLBSO6' 6"250Eugene, OR
54Clive PondLBJR6' 2"225Enumclaw, WA
55Jeremiah IoaneLBFR6' 1"220Las Vegas, NV
58Adrian OnyiegoLBSO6' 3"230Rogers, MN
88Adel DorrLBFR6' 4"230Issaquah, WA
99Niklas FisherLBFR6' 4"260Cypress, TX
0Harlem HowardDBJR6' 0"190Pompano Beach, FL
4TJ CrandallDBJR6' 1"190Sammamish, WA
5Xander ChisolmDBJR6' 2"190Bakersfield, CA
6Jaheim PattersonDBSR6' 4"205Fort Worth, TX
7Kahanu KalahikiDBSO6' 1"200Kaimuki, HI
8Sailasa Vadrawale IIIDBJR5' 11"185Rohnert Park, CA
19Trey GlasperDBSO6' 1"185Las Vegas, NV
20David MadisonDBFR6' 0"176Plano, TX
21Noble Thomas Jr.DBJR5' 11"190Orange, FL
22Isaiah HouiDBJR5' 10"175Rockton, IL
23Exodus AyersDBSO6' 2"200Albuquerque, NM
24Tyjai HopperDBSO6' 2"195Alpharetta, GA
26Marquis RaspberryDBSR6' 0"185Washington, DC
28Blake ThompsonDBFR6' 1"185Richmond, TX
33Sean CraigDBFR6' 3"210Las Vegas, NV
36Drake VickersDBSR6' 3"204North Hollywood, CA
38Milan ClarkDBJR6' 1"182Portland, OR
28Caleb OjedaPKSR5' 9"185Morgan Hill, CA
37Cameron SmithPKJR5' 11"175Loomis, CA
98Jadyn OhPKSR6' 0"180Chantilly, VA
47Tug SanfordLSSR6' 0"210Allen, TX

Program History

Final TDC rating, rank and record for every season since 2014

Final rating by season

Best: 2022 (+9.0, #15) · worst: 2017 (-13.4, #120)
-100+10FBS avg201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025#118
SeasonRecordConfRankRatingOffDef
2026 so far5-33-1#62+2.4+3.1-0.7
20252-101-1#118-10.6-6.3-4.3
20245-71-0#99-5.1-2.2-2.9
20238-55-4#20+8.4+4.2+4.2
202210-36-3#15+9.0+3.4+5.6
20217-65-4#57+2.5+3.1-0.6
20202-52-5#84-2.5+2.0-4.5
20195-74-5#73-1.4+3.3-4.7
20182-101-8#118-13.1-1.0-12.1
20171-110-9#120-13.4-5.0-8.4
20164-83-6#78-2.5-1.9-0.5
20152-100-9#103-9.4-6.1-3.4
20145-72-7#79-2.6-0.4-2.1

Oregon State's past seasons use the same rating model as this one. Click a season to see its full page.

Updated Nov 3, 12:25 PM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →