Pac-12 · 2016 · Final

Oregon State Beavers 2016

4-83-6 in conference
Final TDC rank
#78
of 128 FBS teams
Rating
-2.5
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-1.9
80th in FBS
Defense
-0.5
64th in FBS
Schedule
+2.6
22nd toughest
Preseason
-5.8
rating going in

2016 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

-2.5 now, -5.8 preseason · up 30 spots since preseason
-50FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Bowls#77

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 1@40MinnesotaL 23–30+0.2—BTN
2—Bye
3Sep 17vsIdaho State FCSW 37–7+3.1—PACN
4Sep 24vs29Boise StateL 24–38-9.9—FS1
5Oct 1@20ColoradoCONFL 6–47-19.3—PACN
6Oct 8vs62CaliforniaCONFW 47–44+0.6—PACN
7Oct 15vs37UtahCONFL 14–19-1.9—PACN
8Oct 22@5WashingtonCONFL 17–41-4.5—PACN
9Oct 29vs26Washington StateCONFL 31–35+0.6—ESPN2
10Nov 5@17StanfordCONFL 15–26+0.9—FS1
11Nov 12@58UCLACONFL 24–38-10.6—PACN
12Nov 19vs98ArizonaCONFW 42–17+14.7—
13Nov 26vs69OregonCONFW 34–24+6.5—PACN

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate40.0%104th45.2%91st
Rushing success rate48.2%27th52.7%123rd
Passing success rate31.0%127th37.3%30th
Explosive run rate15.9%50th16.4%91st
Explosive pass rate7.9%113th10.4%70th
Line yards / carry3.2238th3.49124th
Opportunity rate43.3%18th45.5%121st
Stuff rate16.2%33rd13.2%121st
Sack rate5.7%61st4.4%102nd
3rd-down conversion41.2%72nd41.8%70th
Red-zone TD rate78.1%5th56.1%31st
Havoc rate12.3%66th12.1%74th
Box score · season totals
Points / game26.295th31.068th
Yards / game365.5105th——
Yards / play5.3581st——
Pass yards / game173.8110th——
Yards / pass att.5.91122nd——
Completion %54.7%103rd——
Rush yards / game191.749th——
Yards / carry5.2028th——
3rd-down conv. %37.2%93rd——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)————
Sacks / game (allowed · made)2.0865th——
Penalty yards / game71.8123rd——

Players

53 players who recorded a stat in 2016 (from box scores)

53 players

Final ratings for 2016, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2016 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2016 power rankings →