The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 3 | @ 24Texas A&M | L 24–31 | +3.2 | — | CBS |
| 2 | Sep 10 | vs 110UNLV | W 42–21 | +9.0 | — | PACN |
| 3 | Sep 17 | @ 35BYU | W 17–14 | +11.4 | — | ESPN2 |
| 4 | Sep 24 | vs 17StanfordCONF | L 13–22 | -2.1 | — | ABC |
| 5 | Oct 1 | vs 98ArizonaCONF | W 45–24 | +11.4 | — | ESPN |
| 6 | Oct 8 | @ 85Arizona StateCONF | L 20–23 | -4.4 | — | ESPN2 |
| 7 | Oct 15 | @ 26Washington StateCONF | L 21–27 | +3.6 | — | ESPN |
| 8 | Oct 22 | vs 37UtahCONF | L 45–52 | -3.9 | — | FOX |
| 9 | — | Bye | ||||
| 10 | Nov 3 | @ 20ColoradoCONF | L 10–20 | +0.7 | — | FS1 |
| 11 | Nov 12 | vs 78Oregon StateCONF | W 38–24 | +9.0 | — | PACN |
| 12 | Nov 19 | vs 8USCCONF | L 14–36 | -11.6 | — | ESPN |
| 13 | Nov 26 | @ 62CaliforniaCONF | L 10–36 | -22.1 | — | ESPN2 |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 38.7% | 114th | 40.2% | 34th |
| Rushing success rate | 37.2% | 119th | 42.1% | 47th |
| Passing success rate | 39.5% | 82nd | 38.4% | 36th |
| Explosive run rate | 10.0% | 126th | 11.9% | 16th |
| Explosive pass rate | 10.7% | 59th | 6.5% | 2nd |
| Line yards / carry | 2.51 | 124th | 3.06 | 66th |
| Opportunity rate | 31.4% | 123rd | 35.6% | 33rd |
| Stuff rate | 26.5% | 127th | 15.2% | 114th |
| Sack rate | 4.2% | 25th | 5.2% | 79th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 39.2% | 85th | 36.6% | 25th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 56.4% | 105th | 50.0% | 12th |
| Havoc rate | 13.9% | 99th | 10.8% | 107th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 24.9 | 104th | 27.5 | 49th |
| Yards / game | 379.8 | 91st | — | — |
| Yards / play | 5.28 | 87th | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 295.6 | 19th | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.18 | 68th | — | — |
| Completion % | 55.3% | 96th | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 84.3 | 128th | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 2.93 | 127th | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 35.0% | 103rd | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.00 | 57th | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 59.7 | 91st | — | — |
56 players who recorded a stat in 2016 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Josh Rosen | QB | ||||
| 12 | Mike Fafaul | QB | ||||
| 1 | Soso Jamabo | RB | ||||
| 4 | Bolu Olorunfunmi | RB | ||||
| 23 | Nate Starks | RB | ||||
| 32 | Jalen Starks | RB | ||||
| 40 | Cameron Griffin | FB | ||||
| 45 | Giovanni Gentosi | FB | ||||
| 1 | Ishmael Adams | WR | ||||
| 2 | Jordan Lasley | WR | ||||
| 7 | Darren Andrews | WR | ||||
| 10 | Kenneth Walker | WR | ||||
| 14 | Theo Howard | WR | ||||
| 21 | Mossi Johnson | WR | ||||
| 29 | Brad Sochowski | WR | ||||
| 82 | Eldridge Massington | WR | ||||
| 83 | Alex Van Dyke | WR | ||||
| 11 | Nate Iese | TE | ||||
| 81 | Caleb Wilson | TE | ||||
| 88 | Austin Roberts | TE | ||||
| 73 | Blake Brandel | OL | ||||
| 75 | Boss Tagaloa | OL | ||||
| 35 | Ainuu Taua | DL | ||||
| 90 | Rick Wade | DL | ||||
| 96 | Eli Ankou | DL | ||||
| 98 | Takk McKinley | DE | ||||
| 99 | Matt Dickerson | DE | ||||
| 47 | Eddie Vanderdoes | DT | ||||
| 91 | Jacob Tuioti-Mariner | DT | ||||
| 4 | Cameron Judge | LB | ||||
| 11 | Keisean Lucier-South | LB | ||||
| 12 | Jayon Brown | LB | ||||
| 14 | Krys Barnes | LB | ||||
| 17 | DeChaun Holiday | LB | ||||
| 19 | Josh Woods | LB | ||||
| 26 | Leni Toailoa | LB | ||||
| 42 | Kenny Young | LB | ||||
| 52 | Lokeni Toailoa | LB | ||||
| 58 | Deon Hollins | LB | ||||
| 6 | Adarius Pickett | DB | ||||
| 9 | Marcus Rios | DB | ||||
| 17 | John Johnson | DB | ||||
| 20 | Brandon Stephens | DB | ||||
| 21 | Tahaan Goodman | DB | ||||
| 22 | Nathan Meadors | DB | ||||
| 23 | Will Lockett | DB | ||||
| 10 | Fabian Moreau | CB | ||||
| 2 | Jaleel Wadood | S | ||||
| 3 | Randall Goforth | S | ||||
| 15 | Andrew Strauch | PK | ||||
| 17 | JJ Molson | PK | ||||
| 92 | Austin Kent | PK | ||||
| 20 | Stefan Flintoft | P | ||||
| 39 | Adam Searl | P | ||||
| 52 | Scott Quessenberry | |||||
| Team | - |
Final ratings for 2016, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2016 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2016 power rankings →