
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 26 | @ 115Vanderbilt | L 28–35 | -13.6 | — | SEC Network |
| 1 | Sep 1 | vs 113Stanford | L 24–37 | -24.2 | — | CBSSN |
| 2 | Sep 9 | vs UAlbany FCS | W 31–20 | -12.2 | — | |
| 3 | Sep 16 | @ 3Oregon | L 10–55 | -10.7 | — | PACN |
| 4 | Sep 23 | vs 78New Mexico State | W 20–17 | -1.6 | — | |
| 5 | Sep 30 | @ 61UNLVCONF | L 20–44 | -21.2 | — | |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 14 | vs 109San Diego StateCONF | L 34–41 | -17.4 | — | CBSSN |
| 8 | Oct 21 | @ 122New MexicoCONF | L 21–42 | -29.3 | — | |
| 9 | Oct 28 | vs 59San José StateCONF | L 0–35 | -29.3 | — | |
| 10 | Nov 4 | @ 132NevadaCONF | W 27–14 | -0.7 | — | |
| 11 | Nov 11 | vs 48Air ForceCONF | W 27–13 | +14.7 | — | |
| 12 | Nov 18 | @ 71WyomingCONF | L 9–42 | -26.0 | — | |
| 13 | Nov 25 | vs 111Colorado StateCONF | W 27–24 | -8.0 | — |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 40.9% | 88th | 43.4% | 80th |
| Rushing success rate | 40.4% | 108th | 44.2% | 69th |
| Passing success rate | 41.2% | 65th | 42.4% | 87th |
| Explosive run rate | 15.1% | 58th | 16.3% | 101st |
| Explosive pass rate | 8.7% | 102nd | 13.5% | 124th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.84 | 118th | 3.18 | 74th |
| Opportunity rate | 38.8% | 60th | 42.5% | 116th |
| Stuff rate | 20.8% | 126th | 17.3% | 53rd |
| Sack rate | 6.9% | 92nd | 5.4% | 80th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 39.1% | 81st | 47.9% | 125th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 56.4% | 98th | 58.5% | 50th |
| Havoc rate | 10.5% | 121st | 8.3% | 63rd |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 21.5 | 108th | 32.4 | 112th |
| Yards / game | 351.8 | 91st | 385.3 | 74th |
| Yards / play | 5.08 | 98th | 6.00 | 111th |
| Pass yards / game | 276.4 | 27th | 203.1 | 56th |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.69 | 96th | 8.42 | 123rd |
| Completion % | 62.8% | 53rd | 61.6% | 87th |
| Rush yards / game | 75.4 | 132nd | 170.9 | 104th |
| Yards / carry | 3.02 | 124th | 4.62 | 95th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 37.2% | 81st | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.77 | 115th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 3.00 | 113th | 1.77 | 97th |
| Penalty yards / game | 56.4 | 87th | — | — |
63 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →