
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 2 | @ 24Texas A&M | L 10–52 | -20.5 | — | ESPN |
| 2 | Sep 9 | vs Tennessee Tech FCS | W 56–10 | +8.5 | — | |
| 3 | Sep 16 | vs 78New Mexico State | L 17–27 | -14.6 | — | |
| 4 | Sep 23 | @ 128Massachusetts | W 34–31 | -7.6 | — | ESPN+ |
| 5 | Sep 30 | @ 71WyomingCONF | L 26–35 | -7.9 | — | |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 14 | vs 59San José StateCONF | L 24–52 | -26.8 | — | |
| 8 | Oct 21 | vs 126Hawai'iCONF | W 42–21 | +5.8 | — | |
| 9 | Oct 28 | @ 132NevadaCONF | L 24–34 | -23.7 | — | CBSSN |
| 10 | Nov 4 | vs 61UNLVCONF | L 14–56 | -32.6 | — | |
| 11 | Nov 11 | @ 38Boise StateCONF | L 14–42 | -18.5 | — | FS1 |
| 12 | Nov 18 | @ 65Fresno StateCONF | W 25–17 | +10.2 | — | FS1 |
| 13 | Nov 24 | vs 106Utah StateCONF | L 41–44 | -12.1 | — | CBSSN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 47.4% | 17th | 47.9% | 129th |
| Rushing success rate | 52.3% | 9th | 50.5% | 123rd |
| Passing success rate | 42.3% | 56th | 44.9% | 117th |
| Explosive run rate | 20.9% | 5th | 16.1% | 99th |
| Explosive pass rate | 11.3% | 47th | 14.2% | 128th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.51 | 8th | 3.54 | 127th |
| Opportunity rate | 46.2% | 6th | 46.1% | 131st |
| Stuff rate | 15.4% | 57th | 15.2% | 83rd |
| Sack rate | 3.9% | 27th | 4.2% | 119th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 43.4% | 43rd | 42.0% | 82nd |
| Red-zone TD rate | 69.7% | 27th | 65.9% | 95th |
| Havoc rate | 9.6% | 107th | 6.1% | 111th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 27.3 | 67th | 39.8 | 132nd |
| Yards / game | 410.6 | 45th | 407.5 | 102nd |
| Yards / play | 6.07 | 35th | 6.60 | 131st |
| Pass yards / game | 217.9 | 74th | 225.6 | 94th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.41 | 62nd | 8.85 | 130th |
| Completion % | 56.1% | 109th | 61.1% | 77th |
| Rush yards / game | 192.7 | 20th | 172.2 | 106th |
| Yards / carry | 5.25 | 15th | 5.08 | 122nd |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 40.7% | 54th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.25 | 43rd | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.58 | 39th | 1.25 | 129th |
| Penalty yards / game | 89.7 | 133rd | — | — |
68 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →