
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 26 | @ 25USC | L 28–56 | -15.8 | — | PACN |
| 1 | Sep 3 | vs 20Oregon State | L 17–42 | -18.5 | — | CBS |
| 2 | Sep 9 | vs Cal Poly FCS | W 59–3 | +12.0 | — | |
| 3 | Sep 16 | @ 50Toledo | L 17–21 | +1.4 | — | ESPN+ |
| 4 | Sep 22 | vs 48Air ForceCONF | L 20–45 | -23.6 | — | FS1 |
| 5 | — | Bye | ||||
| 6 | Oct 7 | @ 38Boise StateCONF | L 27–35 | -1.1 | — | CBSSN |
| 7 | Oct 14 | @ 122New MexicoCONF | W 52–24 | +17.1 | — | |
| 8 | Oct 21 | vs 106Utah StateCONF | W 42–21 | +11.9 | — | CBSSN |
| 9 | Oct 28 | @ 126Hawai'iCONF | W 35–0 | +17.8 | — | |
| 10 | — | Bye | ||||
| 11 | Nov 11 | vs 65Fresno StateCONF | W 42–18 | +21.1 | — | CBSSN |
| 12 | Nov 18 | vs 109San Diego StateCONF | W 24–13 | +0.6 | — | CBSSN |
| 13 | Nov 25 | @ 61UNLVCONF | W 37–31 | +8.8 | — | |
| Bowls | Dec 23 | vs 64Coastal CarolinaNEUTRAL | L 14–24 | -10.2 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 45.9% | 33rd | 43.1% | 74th |
| Rushing success rate | 48.5% | 23rd | 45.7% | 90th |
| Passing success rate | 43.5% | 46th | 39.7% | 47th |
| Explosive run rate | 21.5% | 3rd | 14.1% | 59th |
| Explosive pass rate | 11.3% | 47th | 6.8% | 6th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.34 | 38th | 3.50 | 123rd |
| Opportunity rate | 46.1% | 7th | 41.4% | 107th |
| Stuff rate | 20.0% | 117th | 13.6% | 107th |
| Sack rate | 4.8% | 44th | 4.9% | 99th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 49.2% | 12th | 49.7% | 131st |
| Red-zone TD rate | 68.2% | 33rd | 82.9% | 133rd |
| Havoc rate | 8.3% | 70th | 7.2% | 92nd |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 31.9 | 35th | 25.6 | 60th |
| Yards / game | 403.5 | 51st | 353.2 | 44th |
| Yards / play | 6.36 | 18th | 5.28 | 58th |
| Pass yards / game | 219.5 | 72nd | 170.1 | 17th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.59 | 55th | 6.63 | 26th |
| Completion % | 61.2% | 67th | 61.0% | 73rd |
| Rush yards / game | 184.1 | 32nd | 170.2 | 102nd |
| Yards / carry | 5.58 | 6th | 4.55 | 91st |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 44.4% | 24th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 0.77 | 9th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.54 | 35th | 1.85 | 88th |
| Penalty yards / game | 49.1 | 57th | — | — |
61 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →