Mountain West · 2023 · Final

Air Force Falcons 2023

9-45-3 in conference
Final TDC rank
#48
of 133 FBS teams
Rating
+3.2
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-1.3
74th in FBS
Defense
+4.5
27th in FBS
Schedule
-4.9
114th toughest
Preseason
+2.5
rating going in

2023 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

+3.2 now, +2.5 preseason · down 10 spots since preseason
0+5+10FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Bowls#47

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 2vsRobert Morris FCSW 42–7+4.6—
2Sep 9vs119Sam HoustonNEUTRALW 13–3-0.2—CBSSN
3Sep 15vs106Utah StateCONFW 39–21+8.9—CBSSN
4Sep 22@59San José StateCONFW 45–20+28.0—FS1
5Sep 30vs109San Diego StateCONFW 49–10+18.9—CBSSN
6—Bye
7Oct 14vs71WyomingCONFW 34–27+3.0—CBSSN
8Oct 21@100NavyW 17–6+7.8—CBS
9Oct 28@111Colorado StateCONFW 30–13+11.1—CBSSN
10Nov 4vs89ArmyNEUTRALL 3–23-24.1—CBSSN
11Nov 11@126Hawai'iCONFL 13–27-24.1—
12Nov 18vs61UNLVCONFL 27–31-6.3—CBSSN
13Nov 24@38Boise StateCONFL 19–27-1.1—FS1
BowlsDec 23vs22James MadisonNEUTRALW 31–21+17.8—ABC

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate45.7%35th40.1%38th
Rushing success rate46.8%37th37.8%20th
Passing success rate39.8%81st42.2%85th
Explosive run rate12.9%89th9.7%6th
Explosive pass rate18.4%2nd8.5%24th
Line yards / carry3.519th2.8018th
Opportunity rate37.8%68th32.8%10th
Stuff rate8.8%1st17.8%51st
Sack rate8.8%117th7.3%33rd
3rd-down conversion49.0%15th37.2%40th
Red-zone TD rate69.8%26th79.2%130th
Havoc rate4.9%5th8.3%63rd
Box score · season totals
Points / game28.061st18.112th
Yards / game366.579th277.76th
Yards / play5.7153rd4.7015th
Pass yards / game85.0133rd171.119th
Yards / pass att.10.522nd6.9446th
Completion %52.4%124th61.7%88th
Rush yards / game281.52nd90.87th
Yards / carry5.0918th3.048th
3rd-down conv. %46.4%14th——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.3150th——
Sacks / game (allowed · made)0.856th2.3149th
Penalty yards / game24.81st——

Players

66 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)

66 players

Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →