The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 2 | vs 122New Mexico | W 52–10 | +16.9 | — | ESPN |
| 2 | Sep 9 | @ 33Miami | L 33–48 | -7.4 | — | ABC |
| 3 | Sep 16 | vs 127UL Monroe | W 47–3 | +15.5 | — | SECN+ |
| 4 | Sep 23 | vs 53AuburnCONF | W 27–10 | +17.0 | — | ESPN |
| 5 | Sep 30 | vs 68ArkansasCONFNEUTRAL | W 34–22 | +11.3 | — | SEC Network |
| 6 | Oct 7 | vs 8AlabamaCONF | L 20–26 | +7.0 | — | CBS |
| 7 | Oct 14 | @ 16TennesseeCONF | L 13–20 | +5.3 | — | CBS |
| 8 | — | Bye | ||||
| 9 | Oct 28 | vs 60South CarolinaCONF | W 30–17 | +11.5 | — | ESPN |
| 10 | Nov 4 | @ 15Ole MissCONF | L 35–38 | +10.3 | — | ESPN |
| 11 | Nov 11 | vs 77Mississippi StateCONF | W 51–10 | +25.5 | — | ESPN2 |
| 12 | Nov 18 | vs Abilene Christian FCS | W 38–10 | +2.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 13 | Nov 25 | @ 13LSUCONF | L 30–42 | +3.4 | — | ESPN |
| Bowls | Dec 27 | vs 43Oklahoma StateNEUTRAL | L 23–31 | -4.6 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 44.4% | 48th | 39.0% | 30th |
| Rushing success rate | 44.7% | 59th | 36.9% | 12th |
| Passing success rate | 44.1% | 39th | 40.9% | 65th |
| Explosive run rate | 12.3% | 101st | 17.0% | 108th |
| Explosive pass rate | 13.5% | 19th | 12.1% | 109th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.04 | 87th | 2.61 | 7th |
| Opportunity rate | 33.7% | 120th | 34.2% | 21st |
| Stuff rate | 13.4% | 28th | 21.7% | 11th |
| Sack rate | 5.7% | 68th | 8.7% | 5th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 44.4% | 34th | 34.8% | 25th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 58.2% | 92nd | 62.5% | 75th |
| Havoc rate | 8.0% | 63rd | 11.9% | 8th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 32.9 | 28th | 22.2 | 37th |
| Yards / game | 406.9 | 50th | 316.1 | 19th |
| Yards / play | 5.81 | 49th | 4.96 | 29th |
| Pass yards / game | 270.8 | 30th | 188.3 | 32nd |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.26 | 28th | 7.39 | 83rd |
| Completion % | 64.3% | 33rd | 59.5% | 49th |
| Rush yards / game | 136.2 | 91st | 108.8 | 14th |
| Yards / carry | 3.88 | 95th | 3.36 | 18th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 43.4% | 33rd | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.15 | 34th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.23 | 82nd | 3.23 | 8th |
| Penalty yards / game | 45.5 | 43rd | — | — |
64 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →