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SEC · 2026

Texas A&M Aggies

Head coach Mike Elko · Kyle Field
4-41-4 in conference
TDC Rank
#25
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
+12.8
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+4.7
36th in FBS
Defense
+8.2
21st in FBS
Schedule so far
+4.5
21st toughest
Projected
5.7-6.3
bowl-eligible 56%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

+12.8 now, +16.0 preseason · down 10 spots since preseason
0+10+20FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9#24

Final record odds

5.7-6.3 expected · most likely 6-6 (35%)
12%4-832%5-735%6-618%7-58-4

Team Leaders

National leaderboards →

Passing
Marcel Reed
QB · SR · 84th in FBS
1388yds
8 TD · 8 INT
Rushing
KJ Edwards
RB · FR · 164th in FBS
360yds
55 car · 2 TD
Receiving
Isaiah Horton
WR · SR · 233rd in FBS
314yds
23 rec · 3 TD
Tackles
Ray Coney
LB · SR · 351st in FBS
41tkl
2.5 TFL
Sacks
Marco Jones
DE · SO · 229th in FBS
2.5sacks
3 hurries
Interceptions
Dezz Ricks
CB · SR · 145th in FBS
1INT
0 PD

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 5vs118Missouri StateW 50–0 ›+14.8—ESPN
2Sep 12vs53Arizona StateW 48–20 ›+26.4—ABC
3Sep 19vs30KentuckyCONFL 21–31 ›-1.8—ESPN
4Sep 26@4LSUCONFL 6–35 ›+2.7—ABC
5Oct 3vs68ArkansasCONFW 34–7 ›+22.6—ESPN2
6Oct 10@18MissouriCONFL 6–27 ›-2.3—ABC
7Oct 17vsThe Citadel FCSW 41–0 ›-3.7—SECN+
8Oct 24@7AlabamaCONFL 20–31 ›+15.5—ABC
9—Bye
10Nov 7@28South CarolinaCONFSouth Carolina −3.0 · o/u 53.8—42%ESPN
11Nov 14vs13TennesseeCONFTennessee −0.4 · o/u 48.5—49%
12Nov 21@31OklahomaCONFOklahoma −2.8 · o/u 43.1—43%
13Nov 27vs9TexasCONFTexas −5.8 · o/u 44.0—35%ABC

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.08993rd+0.04644th
Success rate42.5%68th39.4%44th
Explosiveness1.139122nd1.307104th
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate42.8%70th39.6%44th
Rushing success rate44.6%58th36.7%23rd
Passing success rate41.0%78th42.9%99th
Explosive run rate12.1%104th13.6%80th
Explosive pass rate6.9%128th14.0%132nd
Line yards / carry3.1470th2.8138th
Opportunity rate37.2%94th32.2%18th
Stuff rate15.6%45th19.1%50th
Sack rate5.7%80th3.5%120th
3rd-down conversion43.2%49th35.5%31st
Red-zone TD rate63.3%68th73.3%125th
Havoc rate13.5%72nd13.0%87th
Box score · season totals
Points / game28.370th18.927th
Yards / game347.0106th315.030th
Yards / play4.96118th5.4379th
Pass yards / game191.6109th182.530th
Yards / pass att.6.30121st7.68104th
Completion %56.8%119th57.4%29th
Rush yards / game155.472nd132.555th
Yards / carry4.1087th3.9767th
3rd-down conv. %41.6%52nd31.3%20th
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.3876th1.2558th
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.8864th0.88135th
Penalty yards / game45.827th45.9114th

Charting

Where the ball goes, read from the play-by-play: air yards, yards after the catch, run direction, pressure and tempo. Ranks run highest to lowest

Avg. depth of throw
8.8
70th of 138
YAC per catch
5.3
73rd of 138
Deep shots (20+)
13%
83rd of 138
Shotgun
98%
37th of 138
No-huddle
90%
18th of 138
QB pressured
14%
58th of 138 (1st = most)
Defense: pressure rate
13%
91st of 138
Defense: YAC allowed
6.8
5th of 138 (1st = most)

Offense: where it throws231 throws charted

57% comp8.8 avg. depth5.3 YAC/catch13% 20+ air yds10–9 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 19 throws (8%), 15 caught (79%), 115 yds, 6.1 per throw1979% · 115yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 10 throws (4%), 4 caught (40%), 25 yds, 2.5 per throw1040% · 25yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 21 throws (9%), 12 caught (57%), 158 yds, 7.5 per throw2157% · 158yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 8 throws (3%), 6 caught (75%), 71 yds, 8.9 per throw875% · 71yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 9 throws (4%), 6 caught (67%), 126 yds, 14.0 per throw967% · 126yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 1 caught (20%), 27 yds, 5.4 per throw520% · 27yLeft, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (2%), 1 caught (25%), 37 yds, 9.3 per throw425% · 37yMiddle, Behind air yards: 3 throws (1%), 3 caught (100%), 17 yds, 5.7 per throw3100% · 17yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 11 throws (5%), 6 caught (55%), 35 yds, 3.2 per throw1155% · 35yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 20 throws (9%), 13 caught (65%), 126 yds, 6.3 per throw2065% · 126yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 13 throws (6%), 6 caught (46%), 96 yds, 7.4 per throw1346% · 96yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 2 caught (33%), 48 yds, 8.0 per throw633% · 48yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 1 caught (17%), 21 yds, 3.5 per throw617% · 21yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 5 throws (2%), 1 caught (20%), 32 yds, 6.4 per throw520% · 32yRight, Behind air yards: 20 throws (9%), 18 caught (90%), 88 yds, 4.4 per throw2090% · 88yRight, 0–4 air yards: 22 throws (10%), 15 caught (68%), 118 yds, 5.4 per throw2268% · 118yRight, 5–9 air yards: 19 throws (8%), 13 caught (68%), 104 yds, 5.5 per throw1968% · 104yRight, 10–14 air yards: 13 throws (6%), 5 caught (38%), 69 yds, 5.3 per throw1338% · 69yRight, 15–19 air yards: 8 throws (3%), 2 caught (25%), 39 yds, 4.9 per throw825% · 39yRight, 20–29 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 4 caught (80%), 100 yds, 20.0 per throw580% · 100yRight, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (2%), 1 caught (25%), 36 yds, 9.0 per throw425% · 36y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Defense: where it's thrown on184 throws charted

57% comp8.8 avg. depth6.8 YAC/catch17% 20+ air yds11–6 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 21 throws (11%), 18 caught (86%), 90 yds, 4.3 per throw2186% · 90yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 14 throws (8%), 11 caught (79%), 82 yds, 5.9 per throw1479% · 82yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 14 throws (8%), 7 caught (50%), 73 yds, 5.2 per throw1450% · 73yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 11 throws (6%), 4 caught (36%), 64 yds, 5.8 per throw1136% · 64yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 3 caught (75%), 86 yds, 21.5 per throw475% · 86yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 7 throws (4%), 2 caught (29%), 62 yds, 8.9 per throw729% · 62yLeft, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (2%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw30% · 0yMiddle, Behind air yards: 1 throws (1%), 1 caught (100%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw1100% · 0yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 4 caught (100%), 46 yds, 11.5 per throw4100% · 46yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 13 throws (7%), 8 caught (62%), 96 yds, 7.4 per throw1362% · 96yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 4 caught (67%), 65 yds, 10.8 per throw667% · 65yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 1 throws (1%), 1 caught (100%), 15 yds, 15.0 per throw1100% · 15yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 3 throws (2%), 2 caught (67%), 93 yds, 31.0 per throw367% · 93yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 2 throws (1%), 1 caught (50%), 53 yds, 26.5 per throw250% · 53yRight, Behind air yards: 17 throws (9%), 11 caught (65%), 28 yds, 1.6 per throw1765% · 28yRight, 0–4 air yards: 14 throws (8%), 9 caught (64%), 91 yds, 6.5 per throw1464% · 91yRight, 5–9 air yards: 16 throws (9%), 7 caught (44%), 76 yds, 4.8 per throw1644% · 76yRight, 10–14 air yards: 10 throws (5%), 3 caught (30%), 54 yds, 5.4 per throw1030% · 54yRight, 15–19 air yards: 7 throws (4%), 6 caught (86%), 120 yds, 17.1 per throw786% · 120yRight, 20–29 air yards: 10 throws (5%), 4 caught (40%), 161 yds, 16.1 per throw1040% · 161yRight, 30+ air yards: 6 throws (3%), 3 caught (50%), 105 yds, 17.5 per throw650% · 105y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Offense: run direction278 carries

Left
23%
4.7 YPC · 44% succ.
Middle
62%
4.7 YPC · 50% succ.
Right
15%
5.5 YPC · 44% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Defense: runs faced248 carries

Left
21%
4.3 YPC · 33% succ.
Middle
62%
4.5 YPC · 40% succ.
Right
18%
4.4 YPC · 39% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Pressure = the QB was hurried or sacked, as the play-by-play records it (it misses some, so compare teams rather than reading it as an exact rate). Every snap counts, including garbage time and FCS games.

Roster

100 players · Head coach Mike Elko

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
10Marcel ReedQBSR6' 1"185Nashville, TN
13Brady HartQBSO6' 4"200Cocoa, FL
14Eli MorcosQBSO6' 1"204Montgomery, TX
16Helaman CasugaQBFR6' 0"213Kona, HI
19Paxton LandQBJR6' 4"214Austin, TX
0KJ EdwardsRBFR5' 10"197Carthage, TX
2Jamarion MorrowRBSO5' 9"200Memphis, TN
4Rueben Owens IIRBSR5' 11"215El Campo, TX
5Carsyn BakerRBFR6' 0"210Fairburn, GA
5Tiger Riden Jr.RBSO5' 10"219Desoto, TX
23DeDe MurrayRBSO5' 10"219Bellville, TX
1Mario CraverWRJR5' 9"180Birmingham, AL
3Aaron GregoryWRFR6' 2"191Augusta, GA
6Terry BusseyWRJR5' 10"205Timpson, TX
7Isaiah HortonWRSR6' 4"215Nashville, TN
8Ashton Bethel-RomanWRJR6' 0"193Missouri City, TX
11Kelshaun JohnsonWRSO5' 11"173Hitchcock, TX
18TK NormanWRSO6' 0"186Montgomery, AL
20Mike BrownWRFR6' 0"191Houston, TX
80Jerome MylesWRFR6' 2"220Draper, UT
83Will HargettWRSO5' 9"167College Station, TX
84Blake BuntynWRFR6' 1"200Franklin, TN
85Chase BurtonWRSR5' 10"187Dallas, TX
9Kiotti ArmstrongTESO6' 5"285Jasper, TX
19KK JohnsonTEFR6' 5"262Houston, TX
43Carter BraughTEJR6' 6"255Austin, TX
81Luke BradenTEJR6' 4"238Stratford, TX
84Richie Anderson IIITESR6' 4"265Tualatin, OR
86Evan JacobsonTEFR6' 5"241Waukee, IA
88Micah RileyTESR6' 5"263Omaha, NE
50Isendre AhfuaOLJR6' 3"342Seattle, WA
52Blake IvyOLJR6' 3"324League City, TX
54Mark Nabou Jr.OLSR6' 4"307Lynnwood, WA
55Hunter McKinneyOLFR6' 3"319Montgomery, TX
56Nelson McGuireOLFR6' 4"319Dallas, TX
62Marcus GarciaOLSO6' 3"307Denton, TX
64Sam RoseboroughOLFR6' 3"303Clearwater, FL
65Avery MorchoOLFR6' 6"298Houston, TX
70Robert BourdonOLJR6' 6"312Collierville, TN
71Tyree AdamsOLSR6' 7"305Marrero, LA
72Joshua MosesOLSO6' 2"334Houston, TX
73Ashton FunkOLJR6' 6"319Katy, TX
74Zaden KrempinOLFR6' 4"298Prosper, TX
75Wilkin FormbyOLSR6' 7"320Tuscaloosa, AL
76Trovon BaughOLSR6' 4"335Atlanta, GA
78Coen EcholsOLJR6' 4"305Katy, TX
79Lamont RogersOLSO6' 6"340Mesquite, TX
10Marco JonesDESO6' 5"261Dublin, CA
12Nana Boadi-OwusuDESR6' 1"242Arlington, TX
15Sam M'PembaDESR6' 3"257Olivette, MO
16Bryce Perry-WrightDEFR6' 2"269Atlanta, GA
17Ryan HendersonDESR6' 3"256Las Vegas, NV
22Tristian GivensDEFR6' 3"232Columbus, GA
42Kendall JacksonDEJR6' 3"260Gainesville, FL
55Samu MoalaDEFR6' 4"255Carson, CA
98Jesse ChukwuDESR6' 0"225Cypress, TX
5DJ HicksDTSR6' 3"293Katy, TX
11Brandon Davis-SwainDTJR6' 4"307Detroit, MI
92CJ MimsDTSR6' 2"312New Bern, NC
93Nathan MabonDTSO6' 0"298Arlington, TX
94Angelo McCullomDTJR6' 2"317Pickerington, OH
98Jermaine KinslerDTFR6' 5"311Ocala, FL
99Landon RinkDTSO6' 2"295Cypress, TX
0Noah MikhailLBSO6' 2"230La Verne, CA
21Ray ConeyLBSR6' 2"240Fairfield, OH
32Tank KingLBFR6' 0"225Port Arthur, TX
33Storm MillerLBFR6' 2"229Strongsville, OH
34Kyle GarvisLBJR5' 10"203Houston, TX
45Tommy ColliganLBSR6' 1"233San Antonio, TX
46Qui BeckLBFR6' 0"228Carthage, TX
54Jordan LockhartLBJR6' 1"233Redlands, CA
1Bryce AndersonDBSR5' 10"186Beaumont, TX
19Bravion RogersDBSR5' 11"186La Grange, TX
24Camren HamielDBFR5' 10"180Detroit, MI
29Justin EcholsDBSR6' 1"203Katy, TX
39Adam GrahamDBJR5' 11"201Kingwood, TX
2Dezz RicksCBSR6' 1"193Norfolk, VA
6Julio HumphreyCBSR6' 1"197Galveston, TX
9Rickey Gibson IIICBSR6' 0"181Trussville, AL
16Jamar Beal-GoinesCBSO5' 11"178Phoenix, AZ
20Adonyss CurrieCBSO6' 0"181Lancaster, CA
23Brandon ArringtonCBFR6' 2"201San Diego, CA
31Deyjhon PettawayCBSO5' 10"182Katy, TX
86Ryan BurtinCBSR5' 7"170Bryan, TX
3Marcus RatcliffeSSR6' 3"211Chula Vista, CA
4Tawfiq ByardSSR6' 1"198Hyattsville, MD
7Dalton BrooksSSR6' 0"202Shiner, TX
13Myles DavisSJR6' 1"203Converse, TX
22Tom Tom Johnson Jr.SSO6' 1"201Bushnell, FL
26Layne GerkeSJR5' 10"196Hallettsville, TX
28Chance CollinsSFR6' 1"201Mansfield, TX
37Peyton GaySJR5' 10"199Panama City, FL
24David OlanoPKSR5' 11"177Naperville, IL
83Colton ChmelarPKSO6' 0"190College Station, TX
90Asher MurrayPKFR5' 10"175Shreveport, LA
95Alex AbbottPJR6' 0"185Montgomery, TX
96Waylon PetersPFR6' 4"214Montgomery, TX
31Shea FreibaumLSSR6' 1"202Scottsdale, AZ
40Gray EvansLSSO6' 2"237Houston, TX
42Boomer GrahamLSJR5' 9"195Houston, TX

Program History

Final TDC rating, rank and record for every season since 2014

Final rating by season

Best: 2025 (+12.9, #10) · worst: 2022 (+2.3, #59)
0+5+10+15FBS avg201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025#10
SeasonRecordConfRankRatingOffDef
2026 so far4-41-4#25+12.8+4.7+8.2
202511-27-1#10+12.9+7.8+5.1
20248-55-3#20+8.4+4.0+4.4
20237-64-4#24+7.2+3.2+4.0
20225-72-6#59+2.3-3.5+5.8
20218-44-4#15+8.6-0.1+8.7
20209-18-1#13+10.7+3.4+7.3
20198-54-4#27+8.1+2.7+5.4
20189-45-3#16+10.1+7.9+2.1
20177-64-4#53+2.4+5.0-2.5
20168-54-4#24+7.7+4.3+3.4
20158-54-4#33+6.8+1.6+5.2
20148-53-5#28+8.2+7.4+0.8

Texas A&M's past seasons use the same rating model as this one. Click a season to see its full page.

Updated Nov 3, 12:25 PM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →