The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 | vs 56UTSA | W 42–24 | +17.4 | — | ESPN |
| 2 | Sep 6 | vs 79Utah State | W 44–22 | +16.9 | — | SEC Network |
| 3 | Sep 13 | @ 3Notre Dame | W 41–40 | +24.0 | — | NBC |
| 4 | — | Bye | ||||
| 5 | Sep 27 | vs 40AuburnCONF | W 16–10 | +8.2 | — | ESPN |
| 6 | Oct 4 | vs 71Mississippi StateCONF | W 31–9 | +19.1 | — | SEC Network |
| 7 | Oct 11 | vs 53FloridaCONF | W 34–17 | +16.8 | — | ESPN |
| 8 | Oct 18 | @ 55ArkansasCONF | W 45–42 | +8.1 | — | ESPNEWS |
| 9 | Oct 25 | @ 39LSUCONF | W 49–25 | +31.9 | — | ABC |
| 10 | — | Bye | ||||
| 11 | Nov 8 | @ 28MissouriCONF | W 38–17 | +31.2 | — | ABC |
| 12 | Nov 15 | vs 51South CarolinaCONF | W 31–30 | +1.2 | — | ESPN |
| 13 | Nov 22 | vs Samford FCS | W 48–0 | +7.6 | — | SECN+ |
| 14 | Nov 28 | @ 16TexasCONF | L 17–27 | +3.6 | — | ABC |
| Bowls | Dec 20 | vs 6Miami | L 3–10 | +7.6 | — | ABC |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 47.4% | 21st | 33.9% | 5th |
| Rushing success rate | 48.1% | 31st | 36.2% | 8th |
| Passing success rate | 46.7% | 21st | 31.8% | 4th |
| Explosive run rate | 15.0% | 45th | 19.0% | 133rd |
| Explosive pass rate | 11.9% | 27th | 8.7% | 37th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.24 | 34th | 2.82 | 27th |
| Opportunity rate | 41.4% | 32nd | 36.5% | 47th |
| Stuff rate | 14.8% | 37th | 19.3% | 34th |
| Sack rate | 3.4% | 16th | 8.5% | 5th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 42.4% | 54th | 24.2% | 1st |
| Red-zone TD rate | 61.5% | 54th | 58.1% | 71st |
| Havoc rate | 8.9% | 12th | 15.1% | 8th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 33.8 | 23rd | 23.5 | 48th |
| Yards / game | 444.5 | 23rd | 307.4 | 18th |
| Yards / play | 6.25 | 21st | 4.81 | 31st |
| Pass yards / game | 259.9 | 32nd | 151.5 | 7th |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.28 | 23rd | 6.03 | 13th |
| Completion % | 60.8% | 82nd | 56.2% | 16th |
| Rush yards / game | 184.7 | 30th | 130.8 | 40th |
| Yards / carry | 4.82 | 32nd | 4.19 | 69th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 40.8% | 58th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.46 | 91st | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.46 | 29th | 3.31 | 2nd |
| Penalty yards / game | 60.7 | 100th | — | — |
78 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →