The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 | @ 36Clemson | W 17–10 | +15.3 | — | ABC |
| 2 | Sep 6 | vs 80Louisiana Tech | W 23–7 | +10.7 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 13 | vs 53FloridaCONF | W 20–10 | +9.8 | — | ABC |
| 4 | Sep 20 | vs SE Louisiana FCS | W 56–10 | +6.9 | — | SEC Network |
| 5 | Sep 27 | @ 9Ole MissCONF | L 19–24 | +11.5 | — | ABC |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 11 | vs 51South CarolinaCONF | W 20–10 | +10.2 | — | SEC Network |
| 8 | Oct 18 | @ 11VanderbiltCONF | L 24–31 | +7.9 | — | ABC |
| 9 | Oct 25 | vs 10Texas A&MCONF | L 25–49 | -13.9 | — | ABC |
| 10 | — | Bye | ||||
| 11 | Nov 8 | @ 15AlabamaCONF | L 9–20 | +3.3 | — | ABC |
| 12 | Nov 15 | vs 55ArkansasCONF | W 23–22 | +0.5 | — | SEC Network |
| 13 | Nov 22 | vs 78Western Kentucky | W 13–10 | -2.0 | — | SEC Network |
| 14 | Nov 29 | @ 21OklahomaCONF | L 13–17 | +8.2 | — | ABC |
| Bowls | Dec 27 | vs 52HoustonNEUTRAL | L 35–38 | -0.1 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 39.8% | 101st | 40.3% | 43rd |
| Rushing success rate | 38.6% | 117th | 41.0% | 48th |
| Passing success rate | 40.7% | 71st | 39.7% | 50th |
| Explosive run rate | 11.4% | 119th | 13.5% | 65th |
| Explosive pass rate | 7.0% | 125th | 9.0% | 45th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.64 | 132nd | 2.71 | 16th |
| Opportunity rate | 35.1% | 113th | 36.2% | 40th |
| Stuff rate | 24.1% | 134th | 23.0% | 10th |
| Sack rate | 5.5% | 74th | 5.0% | 95th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 37.3% | 100th | 37.1% | 37th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 47.5% | 117th | 62.5% | 98th |
| Havoc rate | 13.4% | 114th | 14.0% | 17th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 25.5 | 92nd | 19.9 | 21st |
| Yards / game | 333.5 | 111th | 328.7 | 27th |
| Yards / play | 5.10 | 101st | 4.89 | 33rd |
| Pass yards / game | 229.5 | 63rd | 188.5 | 38th |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.74 | 94th | 6.42 | 28th |
| Completion % | 65.7% | 31st | 59.7% | 39th |
| Rush yards / game | 104.0 | 126th | 124.1 | 32nd |
| Yards / carry | 3.58 | 115th | 3.73 | 38th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 36.8% | 97th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.08 | 38th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.23 | 95th | 2.08 | 66th |
| Penalty yards / game | 59.3 | 93rd | — | — |
68 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →