
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 23 | vs 134Sam HoustonCONF | W 41–24 | -3.0 | — | CBSSN |
| 1 | Aug 30 | vs North Alabama FCS | W 55–6 | +7.9 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 6 | @ 33Toledo | L 21–45 | -15.3 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | — | Bye | ||||
| 4 | Sep 20 | vs 121Nevada | W 31–16 | +1.0 | — | ESPN+ |
| 5 | Sep 27 | @ 108Missouri StateCONF | W 27–22 | +0.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 6 | Oct 3 | @ 112DelawareCONF | W 27–24 | -2.9 | — | CBSSN |
| 7 | — | Bye | ||||
| 8 | Oct 14 | vs 104Florida InternationalCONF | L 6–25 | -28.3 | — | ESPNU |
| 9 | Oct 21 | @ 80Louisiana TechCONF | W 28–27 | +1.3 | — | CBSSN |
| 10 | Nov 1 | vs 127New Mexico StateCONF | W 35–16 | +4.3 | — | ESPN+ |
| 11 | — | Bye | ||||
| 12 | Nov 15 | vs 133Middle TennesseeCONF | W 42–26 | -1.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 13 | Nov 22 | @ 39LSU | L 10–13 | +4.9 | — | SEC Network |
| 14 | Nov 29 | @ 92Jacksonville StateCONF | L 34–37 | -4.7 | — | ESPN+ |
| Bowls | Dec 23 | vs 102Southern MissNEUTRAL | W 27–16 | +4.7 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 42.6% | 68th | 36.3% | 12th |
| Rushing success rate | 45.2% | 55th | 38.9% | 18th |
| Passing success rate | 40.7% | 71st | 33.8% | 11th |
| Explosive run rate | 16.1% | 32nd | 14.5% | 79th |
| Explosive pass rate | 11.2% | 42nd | 8.5% | 33rd |
| Line yards / carry | 3.01 | 76th | 2.83 | 30th |
| Opportunity rate | 41.9% | 25th | 37.2% | 54th |
| Stuff rate | 19.4% | 106th | 20.1% | 24th |
| Sack rate | 4.6% | 53rd | 3.8% | 120th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 46.3% | 28th | 35.0% | 24th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 64.4% | 33rd | 34.1% | 3rd |
| Havoc rate | 12.2% | 89th | 12.5% | 53rd |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 29.7 | 61st | 22.9 | 38th |
| Yards / game | 406.7 | 45th | 400.8 | 96th |
| Yards / play | 5.67 | 52nd | 5.48 | 77th |
| Pass yards / game | 272.1 | 22nd | 212.4 | 79th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.15 | 69th | 6.25 | 23rd |
| Completion % | 65.7% | 33rd | 55.1% | 10th |
| Rush yards / game | 134.5 | 93rd | 176.5 | 102nd |
| Yards / carry | 4.22 | 79th | 4.92 | 119th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 45.9% | 25th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.62 | 107th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.77 | 60th | 1.46 | 116th |
| Penalty yards / game | 60.8 | 101st | — | — |
66 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →