The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 | vs Alabama A&M FCS | W 52–7 | +6.5 | — | SEC Network |
| 2 | Sep 6 | vs 105Arkansas State | W 56–14 | +20.9 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 13 | @ 9Ole MissCONF | L 35–41 | +10.5 | — | ESPN |
| 4 | Sep 20 | @ 48Memphis | L 31–32 | +5.3 | — | ABC |
| 5 | Sep 27 | vs 3Notre Dame | L 13–56 | -13.3 | — | ABC |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 11 | @ 25TennesseeCONF | L 31–34 | +7.8 | — | SEC Network |
| 8 | Oct 18 | vs 10Texas A&MCONF | L 42–45 | +7.1 | — | ESPNEWS |
| 9 | Oct 25 | vs 40AuburnCONF | L 24–33 | -6.8 | — | SEC Network |
| 10 | Nov 1 | vs 71Mississippi StateCONF | L 35–38 | -5.9 | — | SEC Network |
| 11 | — | Bye | ||||
| 12 | Nov 15 | @ 39LSUCONF | L 22–23 | +6.9 | — | SEC Network |
| 13 | Nov 22 | @ 16TexasCONF | L 37–52 | -1.4 | — | ABC |
| 14 | Nov 29 | vs 28MissouriCONF | L 17–31 | -9.4 | — | SEC Network |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 49.0% | 16th | 48.3% | 128th |
| Rushing success rate | 54.3% | 1st | 51.0% | 133rd |
| Passing success rate | 44.3% | 38th | 44.9% | 114th |
| Explosive run rate | 23.5% | 1st | 17.2% | 127th |
| Explosive pass rate | 13.7% | 13th | 14.1% | 132nd |
| Line yards / carry | 3.53 | 7th | 3.17 | 97th |
| Opportunity rate | 47.9% | 2nd | 42.7% | 122nd |
| Stuff rate | 18.9% | 101st | 18.7% | 43rd |
| Sack rate | 6.3% | 93rd | 5.3% | 80th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 48.0% | 17th | 46.9% | 122nd |
| Red-zone TD rate | 72.1% | 12th | 68.1% | 118th |
| Havoc rate | 12.7% | 100th | 12.9% | 39th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 32.9 | 30th | 33.8 | 123rd |
| Yards / game | 454.8 | 13th | 425.2 | 122nd |
| Yards / play | 6.70 | 9th | 6.10 | 119th |
| Pass yards / game | 262.9 | 30th | 226.7 | 106th |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.28 | 22nd | 8.47 | 126th |
| Completion % | 60.6% | 85th | 62.8% | 80th |
| Rush yards / game | 191.9 | 28th | 185.9 | 116th |
| Yards / carry | 5.69 | 5th | 4.70 | 102nd |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 47.2% | 16th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.67 | 113th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.42 | 104th | 1.83 | 88th |
| Penalty yards / game | 67.0 | 126th | — | — |
72 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →