Final TDC rank
#48
of 136 FBS teams
Rating
+3.5
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+2.7
40th in FBS
Defense
+0.9
58th in FBS
Schedule
-4.0
91st toughest
Preseason
+2.5
rating going in
2025 Season
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Rating by week
+3.5 now, +2.5 preseason · down 8 spots since preseason
Team Leaders
Results
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 | vs Chattanooga FCS | W 45–10 | +3.0 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 6 | @ 131Georgia State | W 38–16 | +10.8 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 13 | @ 90Troy | W 28–7 | +19.8 | — | ESPNU |
| 4 | Sep 20 | vs 55Arkansas | W 32–31 | +0.5 | — | ABC |
| 5 | Sep 27 | @ 110Florida AtlanticCONF | W 55–26 | +20.4 | — | ESPN2 |
| 6 | Oct 4 | vs 116TulsaCONF | W 45–7 | +15.8 | — | ESPNU |
| 7 | — | Bye | ||||
| 8 | Oct 18 | @ 125UABCONF | L 24–31 | -15.9 | — | ESPN2 |
| 9 | Oct 25 | vs 22South FloridaCONF | W 34–31 | +9.5 | — | ESPN2 |
| 10 | Oct 31 | @ 126RiceCONF | W 38–14 | +15.0 | — | ESPN2 |
| 11 | Nov 7 | vs 41TulaneCONF | L 32–38 | -4.2 | — | ESPN |
| 12 | Nov 15 | @ 37East CarolinaCONF | L 27–31 | +4.1 | — | ESPNU |
| 13 | — | Bye | ||||
| 14 | Nov 27 | vs 49NavyCONF | L 17–28 | -10.3 | — | ESPN |
| Bowls | Dec 19 | vs 42NC StateNEUTRAL | L 7–31 | -19.6 | — | ESPN |
Team Stats
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 45.6% | 38th | 41.3% | 61st |
| Rushing success rate | 50.1% | 13th | 39.3% | 22nd |
| Passing success rate | 41.2% | 65th | 43.2% | 98th |
| Explosive run rate | 18.8% | 5th | 14.0% | 72nd |
| Explosive pass rate | 8.9% | 97th | 10.6% | 88th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.52 | 8th | 2.79 | 23rd |
| Opportunity rate | 45.2% | 6th | 33.0% | 12th |
| Stuff rate | 16.7% | 63rd | 19.0% | 38th |
| Sack rate | 6.6% | 99th | 4.7% | 103rd |
| 3rd-down conversion | 43.3% | 46th | 41.7% | 77th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 65.9% | 25th | 55.9% | 63rd |
| Havoc rate | 11.0% | 58th | 12.5% | 53rd |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 32.5 | 35th | 23.1 | 44th |
| Yards / game | 411.6 | 35th | 359.2 | 60th |
| Yards / play | 5.84 | 42nd | 5.34 | 63rd |
| Pass yards / game | 228.4 | 65th | 212.8 | 81st |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.21 | 66th | 7.53 | 96th |
| Completion % | 67.5% | 16th | 60.7% | 53rd |
| Rush yards / game | 183.2 | 31st | 132.1 | 42nd |
| Yards / carry | 5.05 | 26th | 3.73 | 40th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 41.7% | 49th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 0.92 | 18th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.54 | 113th | 1.69 | 100th |
| Penalty yards / game | 48.1 | 41st | — | — |
Players
61 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
61 players
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →