The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 28 | vs Alabama State FCS | W 52–42 | -14.8 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 6 | @ 49NavyCONF | L 24–38 | -7.7 | — | CBSSN |
| 3 | Sep 13 | vs 120Akron | W 31–28 | -10.9 | — | ESPN+ |
| 4 | Sep 20 | @ 25Tennessee | L 24–56 | -16.0 | — | SEC Network |
| 5 | — | Bye | ||||
| 6 | Oct 4 | vs 69ArmyCONF | L 13–31 | -20.9 | — | ESPNU |
| 7 | Oct 11 | @ 110Florida AtlanticCONF | L 33–53 | -25.4 | — | ESPN+ |
| 8 | Oct 18 | vs 48MemphisCONF | W 31–24 | +7.7 | — | ESPN2 |
| 9 | — | Bye | ||||
| 10 | Nov 1 | @ 75UConn | L 19–38 | -17.4 | — | CBSSN |
| 11 | Nov 8 | @ 126RiceCONF | L 17–24 | -16.0 | — | ESPN+ |
| 12 | Nov 15 | vs 23North TexasCONF | L 24–53 | -20.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 13 | Nov 22 | vs 22South FloridaCONF | L 18–48 | -19.6 | — | ESPN+ |
| 14 | Nov 29 | @ 116TulsaCONF | W 31–24 | -0.5 | — | ESPN+ |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 42.6% | 68th | 48.4% | 129th |
| Rushing success rate | 42.3% | 94th | 50.1% | 130th |
| Passing success rate | 42.9% | 53rd | 45.6% | 119th |
| Explosive run rate | 13.2% | 81st | 13.4% | 62nd |
| Explosive pass rate | 9.9% | 73rd | 16.2% | 136th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.05 | 69th | 3.43 | 130th |
| Opportunity rate | 36.8% | 93rd | 41.4% | 114th |
| Stuff rate | 18.1% | 81st | 12.5% | 129th |
| Sack rate | 6.7% | 101st | 5.1% | 89th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 49.3% | 16th | 51.1% | 134th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 65.8% | 27th | 77.8% | 135th |
| Havoc rate | 11.7% | 76th | 7.9% | 133rd |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 26.6 | 85th | 38.3 | 132nd |
| Yards / game | 404.3 | 49th | 423.3 | 119th |
| Yards / play | 5.62 | 61st | 6.36 | 130th |
| Pass yards / game | 265.6 | 28th | 224.7 | 101st |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.29 | 63rd | 9.74 | 136th |
| Completion % | 65.7% | 32nd | 66.1% | 120th |
| Rush yards / game | 138.7 | 87th | 191.1 | 120th |
| Yards / carry | 4.20 | 83rd | 4.63 | 97th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 46.4% | 21st | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.75 | 118th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.50 | 111th | 1.50 | 113th |
| Penalty yards / game | 62.0 | 109th | — | — |
61 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →