The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 31 | vs 3Notre Dame | W 27–24 | +20.4 | — | ABC |
| 2 | Sep 6 | vs Bethune-Cookman FCS | W 45–3 | +5.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 13 | vs 22South Florida | W 49–12 | +35.0 | — | CW |
| 4 | Sep 20 | vs 53Florida | W 26–7 | +18.8 | — | ABC |
| 5 | — | Bye | ||||
| 6 | Oct 4 | @ 43Florida StateCONF | W 28–22 | +13.2 | — | ABC |
| 7 | — | Bye | ||||
| 8 | Oct 17 | vs 24LouisvilleCONF | L 21–24 | +2.2 | — | ESPN |
| 9 | Oct 25 | vs 93StanfordCONF | W 42–7 | +20.3 | — | ESPN |
| 10 | Nov 1 | @ 20SMUCONF | L 20–26 | +6.5 | — | ESPN |
| 11 | Nov 8 | vs 106SyracuseCONF | W 38–10 | +15.6 | — | ESPN |
| 12 | Nov 15 | vs 42NC StateCONF | W 41–7 | +29.1 | — | ESPN |
| 13 | Nov 22 | @ 91Virginia TechCONF | W 34–17 | +15.7 | — | ESPN |
| 14 | Nov 29 | @ 31PittsburghCONF | W 38–7 | +35.6 | — | ABC |
| Bowls | Dec 20 | @ 10Texas A&M | W 10–3 | +22.7 | — | ABC |
| Bowls | Dec 31 | vs 2Ohio StateNEUTRAL | W 24–14 | +31.2 | — | ESPN |
| Bowls | Jan 8 | vs 9Ole MissNEUTRAL | W 31–27 | +17.7 | — | ESPN |
| Bowls | Jan 19 | @ 1Indiana | L 21–27 | +20.2 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 47.4% | 21st | 37.9% | 21st |
| Rushing success rate | 46.3% | 46th | 39.2% | 20th |
| Passing success rate | 48.6% | 12th | 37.0% | 27th |
| Explosive run rate | 12.4% | 102nd | 11.1% | 26th |
| Explosive pass rate | 11.5% | 34th | 7.5% | 15th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.27 | 29th | 2.74 | 19th |
| Opportunity rate | 35.8% | 104th | 34.1% | 24th |
| Stuff rate | 12.6% | 9th | 17.8% | 59th |
| Sack rate | 3.5% | 20th | 8.5% | 5th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 45.7% | 35th | 32.1% | 10th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 62.7% | 48th | 46.7% | 21st |
| Havoc rate | 10.1% | 29th | 15.7% | 5th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 30.9 | 49th | 14.8 | 5th |
| Yards / game | 405.0 | 48th | 294.1 | 12th |
| Yards / play | 5.99 | 29th | 4.46 | 10th |
| Pass yards / game | 253.2 | 41st | 181.3 | 32nd |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.18 | 28th | 6.29 | 24th |
| Completion % | 71.7% | 3rd | 59.9% | 40th |
| Rush yards / game | 151.8 | 77th | 89.3 | 6th |
| Yards / carry | 4.28 | 72nd | 2.95 | 9th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 45.7% | 27th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 0.94 | 24th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.25 | 16th | 3.12 | 5th |
| Penalty yards / game | 57.3 | 88th | — | — |
66 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →