The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 | vs 32Old Dominion | W 27–14 | +16.2 | — | FS1 |
| 2 | Sep 6 | vs 88Kennesaw State | W 56–9 | +25.6 | — | FS1 |
| 3 | Sep 12 | vs Indiana State FCS | W 73–0 | +16.3 | — | BTN |
| 4 | Sep 20 | vs 27IllinoisCONF | W 63–10 | +38.9 | — | NBC |
| 5 | Sep 27 | @ 14IowaCONF | W 20–15 | +19.3 | — | Peacock |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 11 | @ 5OregonCONF | W 30–20 | +30.5 | — | CBS |
| 8 | Oct 18 | vs 83Michigan StateCONF | W 38–13 | +19.0 | — | Peacock |
| 9 | Oct 25 | vs 89UCLACONF | W 56–6 | +26.5 | — | FOX |
| 10 | Nov 1 | @ 84MarylandCONF | W 55–10 | +31.4 | — | CBS |
| 11 | Nov 8 | @ 18Penn StateCONF | W 27–24 | +16.0 | — | FOX |
| 12 | Nov 15 | vs 72WisconsinCONF | W 31–7 | +20.6 | — | BTN |
| 13 | — | Bye | ||||
| 14 | Nov 28 | @ 100PurdueCONF | W 56–3 | +31.0 | — | NBC |
| 15 | Dec 6 | vs 2Ohio StateNEUTRAL | W 13–10 | +24.2 | — | FOX |
| Bowls | Jan 1 | vs 15AlabamaNEUTRAL | W 38–3 | +39.3 | — | ESPN |
| Bowls | Jan 9 | vs 5OregonNEUTRAL | W 56–22 | +45.2 | — | ESPN |
| Bowls | Jan 19 | vs 6Miami | W 27–21 | +20.6 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 52.1% | 2nd | 35.9% | 10th |
| Rushing success rate | 48.9% | 19th | 32.7% | 4th |
| Passing success rate | 56.1% | 2nd | 38.2% | 35th |
| Explosive run rate | 14.2% | 60th | 6.8% | 1st |
| Explosive pass rate | 13.3% | 14th | 8.9% | 41st |
| Line yards / carry | 3.34 | 23rd | 2.33 | 4th |
| Opportunity rate | 42.4% | 21st | 29.3% | 6th |
| Stuff rate | 13.3% | 13th | 27.6% | 2nd |
| Sack rate | 5.6% | 81st | 8.2% | 8th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 56.0% | 1st | 34.6% | 21st |
| Red-zone TD rate | 65.0% | 30th | 42.1% | 10th |
| Havoc rate | 10.2% | 33rd | 16.9% | 2nd |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 41.6 | 7th | 11.7 | 2nd |
| Yards / game | 452.0 | 17th | 266.0 | 4th |
| Yards / play | 6.63 | 10th | 4.50 | 12th |
| Pass yards / game | 239.1 | 56th | 170.8 | 23rd |
| Yards / pass att. | 9.42 | 3rd | 6.20 | 21st |
| Completion % | 71.9% | 2nd | 62.0% | 71st |
| Rush yards / game | 212.9 | 12th | 77.2 | 2nd |
| Yards / carry | 5.17 | 19th | 2.99 | 11th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 56.5% | 1st | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 0.50 | 3rd | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.56 | 36th | 2.88 | 13th |
| Penalty yards / game | 27.6 | 2nd | — | — |
66 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →