Final TDC rank
#88
of 136 FBS teams
Rating
-3.6
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-1.8
82nd in FBS
Defense
-1.8
80th in FBS
Schedule
-5.2
102nd toughest
Preseason
-9.2
rating going in
2025 Season
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Rating by week
-3.6 now, -9.2 preseason · up 45 spots since preseason
Team Leaders
Results
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 29 | @ 57Wake Forest | L 9–10 | +4.0 | — | ACC Network |
| 2 | Sep 6 | @ 1Indiana | L 9–56 | -5.8 | — | FS1 |
| 3 | Sep 13 | vs Merrimack FCS | W 27–13 | -10.8 | — | ESPN+ |
| 4 | Sep 20 | vs 105Arkansas State | W 28–21 | -2.4 | — | ESPN+ |
| 5 | Sep 27 | vs 133Middle TennesseeCONF | W 24–16 | -9.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 9 | vs 80Louisiana TechCONF | W 35–7 | +20.1 | — | ESPNU |
| 8 | — | Bye | ||||
| 9 | Oct 21 | @ 104Florida InternationalCONF | W 45–26 | +15.3 | — | ESPN2 |
| 10 | Oct 28 | vs 128UTEPCONF | W 33–20 | -2.7 | — | ESPNU |
| 11 | Nov 8 | @ 127New Mexico StateCONF | W 24–21 | -6.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 12 | Nov 15 | @ 92Jacksonville StateCONF | L 26–35 | -10.7 | — | ESPNU |
| 13 | Nov 22 | vs 108Missouri StateCONF | W 41–34 | -3.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 14 | Nov 29 | @ 101LibertyCONF | W 48–42 | +2.7 | — | CBSSN |
| 15 | Dec 5 | @92Jacksonville State | W 19–15 | +2.3 | — | CBSSN |
| Bowls | Dec 19 | vs 67Western MichiganNEUTRAL | L 6–41 | -27.5 | — | ESPN |
Team Stats
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 42.6% | 68th | 42.4% | 71st |
| Rushing success rate | 44.1% | 68th | 45.4% | 93rd |
| Passing success rate | 40.9% | 69th | 38.9% | 45th |
| Explosive run rate | 15.6% | 34th | 15.2% | 96th |
| Explosive pass rate | 11.9% | 27th | 9.5% | 58th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.05 | 70th | 3.18 | 99th |
| Opportunity rate | 39.0% | 67th | 39.3% | 89th |
| Stuff rate | 17.5% | 75th | 16.7% | 77th |
| Sack rate | 3.9% | 31st | 7.3% | 16th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 42.8% | 49th | 36.8% | 32nd |
| Red-zone TD rate | 50.0% | 108th | 57.8% | 69th |
| Havoc rate | 12.2% | 89th | 13.8% | 23rd |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 31.3 | 45th | 25.5 | 64th |
| Yards / game | 402.4 | 50th | 404.6 | 102nd |
| Yards / play | 5.67 | 51st | 5.62 | 90th |
| Pass yards / game | 243.1 | 53rd | 206.9 | 67th |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.04 | 34th | 7.32 | 80th |
| Completion % | 61.5% | 76th | 61.0% | 59th |
| Rush yards / game | 159.4 | 66th | 184.6 | 115th |
| Yards / carry | 4.11 | 87th | 4.65 | 100th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 40.0% | 69th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.36 | 81st | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.93 | 80th | 2.21 | 53rd |
| Penalty yards / game | 66.1 | 123rd | — | — |
Players
60 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
60 players
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →