The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 | @ 79Utah State | L 16–28 | -11.5 | — | CBSSN |
| 2 | Sep 6 | vs UT Martin FCS | W 42–17 | -0.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 13 | @ 16Texas | L 10–27 | -3.4 | — | SEC Network |
| 4 | Sep 20 | vs 130UL Monroe | L 25–31 | -22.4 | — | ESPN+ |
| 5 | Sep 27 | vs 80Louisiana TechCONF | L 11–30 | -24.3 | — | ESPN+ |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 8 | vs 101LibertyCONF | L 8–19 | -19.9 | — | CBSSN |
| 8 | Oct 15 | @ 134Sam HoustonCONF | W 35–17 | +3.6 | — | CBSSN |
| 9 | — | Bye | ||||
| 10 | Oct 28 | @ 88Kennesaw StateCONF | L 20–33 | -13.8 | — | ESPNU |
| 11 | Nov 8 | vs 92Jacksonville StateCONF | L 27–30 | -10.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 12 | Nov 15 | @ 108Missouri StateCONF | L 24–38 | -18.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 13 | Nov 22 | vs 127New Mexico StateCONF | L 31–34 | -17.7 | — | ESPN+ |
| 14 | Nov 29 | @ 112DelawareCONF | L 31–61 | -32.0 | — | ESPN+ |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 32.8% | 136th | 39.3% | 30th |
| Rushing success rate | 37.1% | 125th | 38.3% | 14th |
| Passing success rate | 29.2% | 135th | 40.7% | 64th |
| Explosive run rate | 14.4% | 58th | 13.9% | 70th |
| Explosive pass rate | 9.0% | 94th | 8.0% | 22nd |
| Line yards / carry | 2.67 | 131st | 2.86 | 34th |
| Opportunity rate | 34.4% | 122nd | 36.2% | 40th |
| Stuff rate | 21.8% | 126th | 20.0% | 26th |
| Sack rate | 5.6% | 81st | 5.6% | 68th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 31.4% | 134th | 28.5% | 3rd |
| Red-zone TD rate | 54.2% | 85th | 51.1% | 39th |
| Havoc rate | 14.4% | 120th | 13.3% | 30th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 32.5 | 34th | 33.3 | 118th |
| Yards / game | 331.8 | 112th | 391.3 | 87th |
| Yards / play | 4.90 | 114th | 5.19 | 52nd |
| Pass yards / game | 216.3 | 85th | 205.6 | 65th |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.31 | 119th | 7.00 | 59th |
| Completion % | 54.5% | 131st | 61.8% | 68th |
| Rush yards / game | 115.6 | 117th | 169.5 | 96th |
| Yards / carry | 3.70 | 108th | 4.10 | 62nd |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 30.3% | 133rd | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 2.00 | 131st | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.17 | 91st | 2.33 | 44th |
| Penalty yards / game | 57.1 | 85th | — | — |
67 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →