The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 28 | vs Saint Francis FCS | W 29–0 | +0.9 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 6 | @ 15Alabama | L 0–73 | -26.9 | — | SEC Network |
| 3 | — | Bye | ||||
| 4 | Sep 20 | @ 128UTEP | W 31–25 | -4.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 5 | Sep 27 | vs 105Arkansas StateCONF | W 28–16 | +2.6 | — | ESPN+ |
| 6 | Oct 4 | @ 59Northwestern | L 7–42 | -23.4 | — | BTN |
| 7 | Oct 11 | @ 111Coastal CarolinaCONF | L 8–23 | -20.7 | — | ESPN+ |
| 8 | Oct 18 | vs 90TroyCONF | L 14–37 | -29.8 | — | ESPN+ |
| 9 | Oct 25 | @ 102Southern MissCONF | L 21–49 | -28.9 | — | ESPN+ |
| 10 | Nov 1 | vs 32Old DominionCONF | L 6–31 | -21.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 11 | — | Bye | ||||
| 12 | Nov 15 | vs 107South AlabamaCONF | L 14–26 | -21.8 | — | ESPN+ |
| 13 | Nov 22 | @ 62Texas StateCONF | L 14–31 | -12.8 | — | ESPN+ |
| 14 | Nov 29 | @ 103LouisianaCONF | L 27–30 | -6.5 | — | ESPN+ |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 36.4% | 126th | 41.2% | 58th |
| Rushing success rate | 36.4% | 130th | 40.3% | 37th |
| Passing success rate | 36.5% | 114th | 42.1% | 76th |
| Explosive run rate | 16.4% | 28th | 11.7% | 33rd |
| Explosive pass rate | 10.7% | 54th | 11.4% | 107th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.83 | 114th | 2.93 | 44th |
| Opportunity rate | 38.0% | 74th | 34.6% | 27th |
| Stuff rate | 22.8% | 132nd | 16.1% | 84th |
| Sack rate | 5.8% | 86th | 6.2% | 46th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 31.2% | 135th | 45.7% | 113th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 59.1% | 64th | 46.7% | 21st |
| Havoc rate | 16.3% | 132nd | 11.1% | 88th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 16.6 | 131st | 31.9 | 107th |
| Yards / game | 323.5 | 118th | 384.8 | 82nd |
| Yards / play | 5.15 | 99th | 5.54 | 85th |
| Pass yards / game | 160.4 | 124th | 209.6 | 69th |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.35 | 117th | 7.53 | 98th |
| Completion % | 56.8% | 120th | 63.3% | 86th |
| Rush yards / game | 163.1 | 61st | 162.6 | 87th |
| Yards / carry | 4.55 | 51st | 4.29 | 76th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 32.2% | 126th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.58 | 105th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.75 | 57th | 2.00 | 69th |
| Penalty yards / game | 65.0 | 119th | — | — |
68 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →