
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 | vs Morgan State FCS | W 38–21 | -7.8 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 6 | vs 41Tulane | L 31–33 | -0.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 13 | @ 40Auburn | L 15–31 | -8.2 | — | SEC Network |
| 4 | Sep 20 | vs 111Coastal CarolinaCONF | L 20–38 | -29.3 | — | ESPN+ |
| 5 | Sep 27 | @ 23North Texas | L 22–36 | -2.7 | — | ESPNU |
| 6 | Oct 4 | @ 90TroyCONF | L 24–31 | -8.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 7 | — | Bye | ||||
| 8 | Oct 14 | vs 105Arkansas StateCONF | L 14–15 | -10.4 | — | ESPN2 |
| 9 | Oct 23 | @ 131Georgia StateCONF | W 38–31 | -4.2 | — | ESPN2 |
| 10 | Nov 1 | vs 103LouisianaCONF | L 22–31 | -18.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 11 | — | Bye | ||||
| 12 | Nov 15 | @ 130UL MonroeCONF | W 26–14 | +1.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 13 | Nov 22 | vs 102Southern MissCONF | W 42–35 | -2.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 14 | Nov 29 | @ 62Texas StateCONF | L 26–49 | -18.8 | — | ESPN+ |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 42.3% | 76th | 43.1% | 79th |
| Rushing success rate | 44.0% | 70th | 46.2% | 102nd |
| Passing success rate | 39.7% | 87th | 39.4% | 49th |
| Explosive run rate | 12.3% | 105th | 14.4% | 78th |
| Explosive pass rate | 7.9% | 114th | 11.2% | 102nd |
| Line yards / carry | 3.14 | 51st | 3.17 | 98th |
| Opportunity rate | 39.9% | 53rd | 40.6% | 106th |
| Stuff rate | 14.5% | 32nd | 16.3% | 82nd |
| Sack rate | 5.0% | 61st | 2.6% | 134th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 42.9% | 47th | 38.5% | 49th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 54.5% | 82nd | 70.3% | 128th |
| Havoc rate | 8.8% | 10th | 11.1% | 88th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 26.5 | 87th | 39.6 | 135th |
| Yards / game | 380.8 | 75th | 381.6 | 76th |
| Yards / play | 5.29 | 84th | 5.75 | 101st |
| Pass yards / game | 181.2 | 114th | 198.2 | 54th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.01 | 78th | 7.24 | 74th |
| Completion % | 68.4% | 13th | 60.9% | 57th |
| Rush yards / game | 199.7 | 18th | 176.6 | 103rd |
| Yards / carry | 4.51 | 58th | 4.77 | 112th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 42.6% | 38th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.00 | 25th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.92 | 75th | 1.00 | 132nd |
| Penalty yards / game | 53.7 | 64th | — | — |
60 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →