
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 | @ 30Virginia | L 7–48 | -20.5 | — | ACCNX |
| 2 | Sep 6 | vs Charleston Southern FCS | W 13–0 | -11.8 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 13 | vs 37East Carolina | L 0–38 | -26.3 | — | ESPN+ |
| 4 | Sep 20 | @ 107South AlabamaCONF | W 38–20 | +13.8 | — | ESPN+ |
| 5 | — | Bye | ||||
| 6 | Oct 4 | @ 32Old DominionCONF | L 7–47 | -20.8 | — | ESPN+ |
| 7 | Oct 11 | vs 130UL MonroeCONF | W 23–8 | -1.4 | — | ESPN+ |
| 8 | Oct 18 | @ 115App StateCONF | W 45–37 | +1.9 | — | ESPN+ |
| 9 | — | Bye | ||||
| 10 | Oct 30 | vs 81MarshallCONF | W 44–27 | +11.7 | — | ESPN2 |
| 11 | Nov 8 | vs 131Georgia StateCONF | W 40–27 | -3.8 | — | ESPN+ |
| 12 | Nov 15 | @ 98Georgia SouthernCONF | L 40–45 | -8.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 13 | Nov 22 | @ 51South Carolina | L 7–51 | -25.2 | — | SEC Network |
| 14 | Nov 29 | vs 19James MadisonCONF | L 10–59 | -25.3 | — | ESPNU |
| Bowls | Dec 30 | vs 80Louisiana TechNEUTRAL | L 14–23 | -11.5 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 37.9% | 119th | 43.5% | 84th |
| Rushing success rate | 44.0% | 70th | 43.8% | 74th |
| Passing success rate | 31.2% | 133rd | 43.2% | 98th |
| Explosive run rate | 15.5% | 36th | 15.7% | 107th |
| Explosive pass rate | 9.6% | 82nd | 10.9% | 96th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.01 | 79th | 3.10 | 85th |
| Opportunity rate | 38.1% | 73rd | 38.8% | 83rd |
| Stuff rate | 17.2% | 69th | 16.4% | 81st |
| Sack rate | 4.2% | 40th | 4.2% | 113th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 37.1% | 102nd | 36.8% | 32nd |
| Red-zone TD rate | 51.4% | 104th | 60.5% | 91st |
| Havoc rate | 11.5% | 74th | 10.1% | 112th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 22.1 | 113th | 33.1 | 116th |
| Yards / game | 325.4 | 116th | 443.9 | 132nd |
| Yards / play | 4.72 | 124th | 5.99 | 117th |
| Pass yards / game | 169.5 | 117th | 228.3 | 111th |
| Yards / pass att. | 5.52 | 134th | 7.41 | 86th |
| Completion % | 54.6% | 129th | 62.3% | 76th |
| Rush yards / game | 155.8 | 70th | 208.0 | 129th |
| Yards / carry | 4.28 | 73rd | 5.10 | 127th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 33.0% | 122nd | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.77 | 122nd | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.85 | 66th | 1.54 | 111th |
| Penalty yards / game | 57.2 | 87th | — | — |
70 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →